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[This series intends to introduce you to each of the legitimate Chicago Cubs GM candidates, and give you a quick, clean rundown of the most important information to know about that candidate as the Cubs' search process continues. Previously: Brian Cashman, Theo Epstein.]

Name and Age: Andrew Friedman, 34.

Current Role and Contract Status: Tampa Bay Rays General Manager since November 2005, “free agent” after 2011. His current salary is unknown, but it’s probably less than the $1.5/2 million made by his peers in Brian Cashman and Theo Epstein.

Previously on BN: Andrew Friedman is Getting EndorsementsRays Owner Doesn’t Expect Friedman to Leave, Has Andrew Friedman Left the Building?,  Bullets, More Bullets

Record in Current Role: The Rays have made the playoffs twice under Friedman (including the first time in the franchise’s history), making it to the World Series in 2008. The Rays were deeply under .500 in Friedman’s first two years in charge, but have had winning records ever since.

Notable Prior Experience: Friedman is a Rays lifer, having started in the organization in 2004 as the Director of Development, and then becoming the GM a couple years later at the tender age of 28 (you want to feel like a failure? Just think about all that Friedman and Theo Epstein accomplished before their 30th birthdays … bastards). Before he came to work for his friends at the Rays, Friedman was a financial analyst at Bear Stearns and private equity shop, MidMark Capital. Friedman is proof that, sometimes, being super smart can be enough to achieve.

Reason(s) for Including as Candidate: While his current success as a GM probably precludes our calling him “up-and-coming,” Friedman is a young, brilliant, hotshot executive, deeply in the mold of what Tom Ricketts professes to desire. The fact that he comes from a financial analysis background – as does Ricketts – can’t hurt.

Tom Ricketts’ Criteria: Track record of success in a winning organization? Check. Demonstrated commitment to player development? Big check. Strong analytical background? Big check.

Pros/Hype: Friedman has overseen the transformation of the Rays’ organization from perennial laughing stock to perennial contender, all while playing against the big boys in the AL East. More impressive, the Rays’ Opening Day payroll has never been higher than $72 million (last year), and he has the Rays in the race again this year despite slashing that payroll to something just north of $40 million.

Cons/Cynical Criticism: Friedman’s success with substantially less resources is doubtlessly impressive, but he’s done it in front of a ballpark two-thirds empty. He’s done it before a media that easily impressed, and light on the criticism. He’s done it under an ownership group with exceedingly low expectations. Friedman has never had money to spend, so how exactly would he know best how to spend it? The history books are not overflowing with examples of dominating small market GMs who’ve successfully transitioned to a large market.

Desirability: Very high. While the cynism is fair, I have a hard time believing that a guy like Friedman, who is bright enough to build the Rays into what they are, having had no background in baseball, would somehow be too dim to work wisely with money. While the “edges” to be gleaned in Major League Baseball are shrinking every year, I am tickled to think about what Friedman might be able to do, not only with a larger payroll budget, but with a larger scouting and analysis budget. I suspect he could do well.

Likelihood/Probable Outcome: The chances Friedman is the Cubs’ next GM is, unfortunately, low. Like Epstein and Cashman, I have no doubt that Friedman is a guy for whom Tom Ricketts is content to wait. Friedman, looking squeeze additional dollars of Rays ownership – be those dollars for his own pocket or for his team’s payroll – may even consider taking an interview with the Cubs or the Houston Astros. But would he actually leave? His closeness to Rays owner Stuart Sternberg and team president Matt Silverman, among others, would make it a tough sell. Still, the challenge, the resources, and the escape from AL East hell could be enough to entice him. For those keeping score at home, I’d put the chances of Friedman at just slightly better than Theo Epstein, who is himself just slightly more likely than Brian Cashman. None of the three, mind you, is a particularly likely.

  • die hard

    too young…needs to be old enough to know that doesnt know everything…usually comes at around age 45…boy wonders usually self destruct at some point in time and then rise from the ashes…….don’t want that happening here….he needs a big failure and crash and burn elsewhere before I would give him the reins here…

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      All of Cashman, Epstein and Friedman took over their GM duties in their early 30s/late 20s, and each has had unqualified success. Maybe it’s just the 29-year-old in me, but I have to disagree with you on that one.

      • hansman1982

        wow, first Andrew Friedmann and Theo Epstein and now YOU, Brett…you all make me feel like a giant failure at the age of 28 and my GLORIOUS (in my best Will Ferrill (god now I feel like an even bigger failure that I don’t know if I spelled his last name correctly)voice) cubicle at my GLORIOUS corporate America job…

        IM ON MY KNEES, PRETTY PRETTY PLEASE, KIILLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL ME, I WANT TO DIE

        (please note that this is a line off of The Wedding Singer and I have no suicidal feelings)

  • Mike Foster

    Nice article Brett. So, if Epstein, Friedman and Cashman are low probability in your opinion, who do you think has a higher/highest chance…..besides you.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      You’ll just have to wait until I get to him!

      Just kidding. No candidate is going to have a “high” probability (the highest odds, just by virtue of the secretive nature of the search and wide body of candidates, would probably be something like 1 in 10), but the most likely will probably be some from the Byrnes/Hahn/Cherington/DiPoto type group.

      • Jason

        No Beane in that group? For some reason, my gut tells me that’s who we end up with. And I still like John Coppolella among the numerous assistant GMs.

        • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

          I see Beane in between those two groups in terms of desirability, and probably likelihood, too. You might be right.

          • Jason

            Thanks for that – I’m not basing it on anything in particular. Just feel like eventually, Beane is going to get tired of constantly bringing a knife to a gunfight

  • Mike Foster

    Thanks, looking forward to the next installment.

  • Toosh

    Ooh, that’s gotta leave a mark! Cards cough, cough up 6 in the 9th at home to the Mets. Yeah, Baby!

    • CubFan Paul

      maybe Friedman won’t get a chance to interview. the Red Sox are choking and finding ways to lose (20plus errors in 20 games & injuries) and all i read is: It’s Theo’s Fault!

      so with Theo out of the playoffs earlier than Friedman and the pitchforks in beantown looking for him, maybe he’ll ask out of Boston to seek refuge in Chicago..

  • Coal

    Beane still scares me as a candidate because in a sense he’s already “made it” – I guess maybe the World Series validates his methods, but I have a hard time thinking the guy is hungry enough.

    I read somewhere recently (not validated) that no NFL coach has ever won Super Bowls with 2 different teams. The point was/is in part that they lose the hunger, the fire, end up probably sampling time with their family too much after the first victory and the commitment level, drive, or maybe just luck, are hard to recapture.

    In that sense, it probably doesn’t really matter among the top choices – but that’s where guys like Theo and Beane feel wrong to me.

    I do trust Ricketts here. He may be richer than he is smart, but I’m certain he’s not dumb, and he has a lot riding on the long term success of the Cubs. He’s not going to screw it up.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      Hmm. Interesting thoughts.

    • Hogie

      Consider it validated. A couple have made it to the dance with different teams, but never has one won with both. Huh

  • Alex

    It’s too hard for Friedman to stay competitive every year in the AL East with the Yankees and Red Sox budgets. After a while, being competitive might not be enough.

    The resources he would get with the Cubs should be extremely enticing for him. At some point I think he would want to be the big fish in the little pond (NL Central) rather than the little fish in the big pond where he currently resides.

    • Toosh

      And yet the Rays are competitive every season. It has nothing to do with their budget. It’s player evaluation.

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