Series Preview: Cubs v. Mets, July 6 – July 8, 2012

The Cubs head to New York just a week after facing the Mets at Wrigley. The Cubs won that series, so maybe they’ve got the Mets’ number.

By way of reminder, the Series Preview hooks you up with what you need to know about every series this year – streaks, broadcast information, pitchers, expected lineups, etc. That way, if you want to check only one place to get a sense about an upcoming series, or to plan ahead, you’ve got it. Oh, and there will be pictures of beautiful women, too.

We’re Going Streaking

The Cubs just split a four-gamer with the Braves after winning a couple series in a row. Overall, they’ve won seven of their last ten.

The Mets are in second place in the NL East, just 4.5 back of the surging Nationals. The Mets have won six of their last eight.

Game Times and Broadcasts

  • Friday, July 6 at 6:10 CT on CSN.
  • Saturday, July 7 at 3:10 CT on WGN.
  • Sunday, July 8 at 12:10 CT on CSN.

Expected Starters and Lineups

These lineups are likely to be pretty close to what actually gets fielded, but you’ll want to check each day’s Pre-Gamin’ post for the actual lineup.

Cubs

Starters: Travis Wood (3-3, 3.05), Jeff Samardzija (6-7, 4.77), TBA (either Chris Volstad or Ryan Dempster)

Lineup:

  1. David DeJesus, CF
  2. Starlin Castro, SS
  3. Anthony Rizzo, 1B
  4. Alfonso Soriano, LF
  5. Bryan LaHair, RF
  6. Geovany Soto, C
  7. Darwin Barney, 2B
  8. Luis Valbuena, 3B
  9. Pitcher

Mets

Starters: Johan Santana (6-4, 2.76), Dillon Gee (5-7, 4.34), Jon Niese (7-3, 3.35)

Lineup:

  1. Kirk Nieuwenhuis, CF
  2. Ruben Tejada, SS
  3. David Wright, 3B
  4. Scott Hairston, LF
  5. Lucas Duda, RF
  6. Justin Turner, 1B
  7. Daniel Murphy, 2B
  8. Josh Thole, C
  9. Pitcher

Hot or Not and Whom to Watch

Travis Wood has been scorching hot, and he always seems to face former Cy Young winners. It’s Johan Santana again today for Wood, who beat Santana last time out.

Not so hot? Starlin Castro is hitting a paltry .128/.244/.128 over his last 11 games. He could use the All-Star break.

Jeff Samardzija was brilliant in Atlanta after a terrible June.

Ike Davis, who put up some solid numbers against the Cubs last time out, is still having a rough season: .201/.273/.382.

David Wright continues to sizzle, hitting .355/.400/.710 over his last eight games. The amazing thing? That’s not that much better than his .354/.443/.570 overall season line. Man. He is really killing it.

Series She-View

The Series She-View is one beautiful woman representing the Cubs taking on another (usually) beautiful woman representing the opponent. The Cubs’ representative will change as the team’s needs change – in other words, if the Cubs are winning, the rep will stay the same. But if the Cubs’ performance calls for a change, someone new will step in. The opponent’s representative will change from series to series, at my whim. But at least she’ll probably be wearing the opponent’s colors or have some connection to the team or something like that. It is immature, and the connection to baseball is tenuous at best. These things, I know.

Given that the Cubs’ current hot run started when they faced the Mets, and their new rep for that series was Stacy Keibler, why don’t we just keep everything the same as it was the last time around? The Cubs get Stacy Keibler, the Mets get Cobie Smulders. (Bonus: Cobie gets the Glamor Shots by Deb treatment.)

versus

Brett Taylor is the editor and lead writer at Bleacher Nation, and can also be found as Bleacher Nation on Twitter and on Facebook.

24 responses to “Series Preview: Cubs v. Mets, July 6 – July 8, 2012”

  1. Fishin Phil

    Stacy for the win!

    1. JP

      Stacy wins……in a land slide…….not even close. Goodness gracious!

  2. Cubbie Blues

    Castro isn’t really going to be getting much of a break since he will be in the All-Star game (and everything that goes with it). Hope he takes advantage of being able to stay out of the heat of the day though.

  3. Myles

    It is ridiculous that Castro hasn’t gotten a game off this season. He should sit 6 games or so a year, not 0 games a year.

    1. Myles

      Also, an update on his defense:

      He still has a 90% Field to Out percentage, slightly higher than the league average (89%) and well higher than his previous seasons (85% each in 10 and 11). He’s on pace for 26 errors, which is 3 less than last year. His fielding percentage is .967, which is less than the .971 league average but .006 higher than last year (which was .009 higher than the year before that). His range his 4.82, way higher than the 4.59 he had last year and it blows away the league average SS (at 4.28). He’s a legit average – slightly above-average fielder. With the bat, he’s an above-average SS (7th of 21 qualified SS in OPS+)

      1. Jackalope

        Looking at some more advanced defensive metrics, for what they’re worth:

        UZR/150
        2010: -3.0
        2011: -8.8
        2012: 13.5

        Defensive Runs Saved (DRS)
        2010: -4
        2011: -10
        2013: 13

        Definitely moving in the right direction. I would also like to see him take a few days off here and there. Shortstop is a demanding position, and I’d rather sacrifice a few games in a lost season for the long term health of one of the Cubs’ top assets.

        1. DocPeterWimsey

          This is another reason why I’d like to see the DH in the NL.  It would greatly behove the Cubs to give even their young players a day “off” DH’ing.  Paradoxically, DH’ing once every couple of weeks probably would help Castro’s fielding at the end of the season.

        2. Chad

          I am one that beleive’s Castro is going to be an elite feilder, if not close already. However, how much of the significant improvement this year is due to the Cubs playing shifts for various players. I think this has improved his numbers a ton….it really came to light in this last Braves series with Freddie Freeman.

          1. Jackalope

            Good point on the shifts. I suppose the gaining prevalence of shifting in MLB is going to make it more difficult to analyze the fielding ability of individual players.

  4. EB

    Hopefully the Cubbies can cool Wright off. How is he not starting in the all star game again? What a joke! Only reason Sandoval is starting is cause he has a cool nickname

  5. kevin

    Even though Castro has cooled off its promising to see that his obp is almost double his avg.

    1. djriz

      yea…he added a few walks and lost a bunch of hits with his new approach….did i say yea?

  6. Patrick G

    I will be attending tonights game with my girlfriend(no, not Stacey Keibler). Glad I get to see Rizzo in action. GO CUBS!

  7. auggie1955

    Just did a quick check of the Cubs numbers vs Santana. Most were pretty anemic, but Reed Johnson’s were real good – 13/28 .464. So don’t be surprised to see Johnson in the starting lineup tonight.

  8. cubs217

    I see Castro is getting the day off today. First time all year

    1. hardtop

      didn they sit him after he thought he made the 3rd out and didnt attempt the double play throw to first? i thought they sat him? or was it just dale talking tough?

      1. cubs217

        I believe he still started that next game ( i could be wrong though). Also, I dont know who “Matt” is that sponsors Starlin’s baseball reference page but I love the guy. Check it out, very funny

        http://www.baseball-reference.com/players/c/castrst01.shtml

        1. Jackalope

          Nice.

  9. Mysterious4th

    Oh they’re both very hot. Except with cobie when I watch her on “how I met your mother” when she smiles she has a lot of gum with little teeth. Jus had to point that out.

    The mets and Cobie will fall flat otheir face against the cubbies!

  10. nkniacc13

    No Castro or LaHair tonight. Barney at SS and baker at 2nd

    1. Cyranojoe

      That’s hysterical. Wasn’t there an article recently on the Chicago Cubs site about how Sveum wasn’t likely to give Castro a day off any time soon?

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