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While the All-Star break doesn’t actually mark the end of the first half of the season – with 85 games in the book for the Cubs, there are just 77 left – it has become the nominal “first half” for these kind of mid-season run downs. And I’m nothing if not a lemming, so here is your Cubs’ first half, by the numbers:

33 – The number of Cubs wins.

52 – The number of Cubs losses.

1 – The number of days the Cubs were reasonably in contention.

.291 – Starlin Castro’s team-leading batting average.

.736 – Starlin Castro’s OPS.

.722 – Travis Wood’s OPS.

.177 – Geovany Soto’s team … losing batting average.

1.055 – Anthony Rizzo’s OPS! (RizzOMG!)

49 – Anthony Rizzo’s plate appearances. (oh.)

1 – The number of walks Anthony Rizzo has taken in those 49 plate appearances.

.843 – Jeff Baker’s OPS against lefties.

14 – The number of Bryan LaHair homers.

30 – The number of Bryan LaHair RBI.

0 – The number of Alfonso Soriano homers in April.

15 – The number of Alfonso Soriano homers thereafter.

.288 – Steve Clevenger’s OBP.

25 – The number of Tony Campana stolen bases.

1 – The number of times Tony Campana has started in the last 17 days.

.308 – Tony Campana’s OBP.

6 – The team-leading number of wins, shared by Jeff Samardzija and Paul Maholm.

4.57 – Paul Maholm’s ERA.

4.71 – Jeff Samardzija’s ERA.

10 – The number of walks issued by Shawn Camp in 45 innings.

28 – The number of walks issued by Carlos Marmol in 25.2 innings.

1.99 – Ryan Dempster’s team-leading, and pretty-much-league-leading ERA.

1.80 – Manny Corpas’s ERA (15 innings).

8.31 – Kerry Wood’s ERA.

1 – The number of times Kerry Wood retired.

100% – The amount I still love Kerry Wood.

54 – The number of days since you last thought about Lendy Castillo (he last pitched on May 11, and was put on the DL on May 16).

4.36 – The Cubs’ team ERA.

.686 – The Cubs’ team OPS.

25, 26 – The Cubs’ rank in MLB in ERA and OPS, respectively.

0 – The number of Cubs in the top 70 of runs scored.

37 – The place of David DeJesus in OBP ranking in baseball, which .359 OBP leads the Cubs.

98 – The place of Alfonso Soriano in OBP ranking in baseball, which .323 OBP is second on the Cubs among qualifiers.

15 – Games back the Cubs are in the NL Central.

0.5 – Games ahead of the Astros the Cubs are, landing them in fifth place (not last) at the turn.

0.0% – The chance the Cubs have of making the playoffs at this point, according to Baseball Prospectus.

.623 – The winning percentage the Cubs would need over the remaining 77 games just to get to 81 wins.

0 – The number of teams that presently enjoy a winning percentage better than .612.

If you’ve got more, offer ‘em up in the comments.

  • Paducah Cub Fan

    Great post, Brett! Actually sums it us nicely and has an opptimistic vibe.

    • ETS

      I think you must have brought that vibe to it. I could easily see how someone thought all that was terribly pessimistic.

      • Cubbie Blues

        I thought it had more of a humorous vibe to it. Or, maybe that is how I’m getting through this season.

  • CubFan Paul

    Bryan LaHair’s OBP doesn’t count?

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      Not qualified. (Barely.)

  • Cerambam

    0… the number of runs allowed by dempster in the last 27 innings.

  • Featherstone

    The best way the baseball season was described to me was as such, “Just about every team wins at least 60 games in the season and loses at least 60 games in the season. So what really matters is those 42 games in between.”

    The way I see it the Cubs have just got most of those 60 losses out of the way early. It’s all winning from here folks.

    • Featherstone

      /removetonguefromcheek

  • Cubbie Blues

    43%/57% – The percentage of balls/strikes Marmol has thrown (254 balls & 336 strikes).

    2 – The number of birds Dick Tidrow can kill with one stone.

    • MichiganGoat

      My friend you need to multiply that 2 by infinity since Mr. Tidrow can kill us all and a couple other galaxies with one stone. The only reason he leaves is at 2 is because he is practicing compassion.

      • Cubbie Blues

        He can also kill two stones with one bird.

  • MichiganGoat

    6 – the number of Founder’s Dirty Bastard that MG consumes during a Marmol 9th inning in April/May

  • Nick

    Part of me wants to see the Cubs have an above .500 second half of the season. However, the other half realizes that the number 1 pick in the 2013 draft might be worth suffering through many more losses.

  • MichiganGoat

    0 – the amount of stupid nicknames Sveum has given players

    0 – the days Quade is even close to the Cubs organization

    • dreese

      Actually lol, at work, people are staring…

  • DocPeterWimsey

    -116: “net” walks by Cubs batters and pitchers.
    -53: the 2nd worst “net” walk total by an NL Team (the Astros)
    -0.052: Cubs OPS – Opponent OPS. (13th in the NL: the Astros, Rox and Pads actually are worse.)

    • JulioZuleta

      Wow, that doesn’t seem possible.

      • MichiganGoat

        don’t question a robot, but yeah those are interesting

        • DocPeterWimsey

          Road kill is interesting, too….

          • MichiganGoat

            yum… us goats love some good fresh roadkill. I would love if you gave us a list of the more advanced sabermetrics concerning the Cubs first half

            • dob2812

              Cubs relievers’ FIP: 4.68. Worst in baseball. Cardinals are second at 4.39.

              Cubs wRC+ (offense adjusted for league and park, relative to average which is 100): 80. Worst in baseball. Well joint-worst, with the Mariners. Being the same as the Mariners’ offense is the same as being very, very bad.

              Cubs Team WAR: 7.0. Not the worst! Only third worst… The Braves lead MLB with 19.2. The Orioles are the worst with 5.7 (which tells you quite a lot about how big a factor luck can play in a season. It doesn’t tell you WAR is broken; not that it’s perfect, it’s just not totally wrong either. The Orioles are not a good team.).

              By advanced metrics, the fielding has been okay and the base-running has been pretty decent too. Half season fielding metrics, in particular, mean very little of course. The rotation hasn’t been the worst in baseball either, though it hasn’t been good. But then very little has.

              Is it 2013 yet?

            • DocPeterWimsey

              I would not call those that advanced! However, I did quickly cobble together ∆wOBA*.

              -0.027: Cubs wOBA – Opponent wOBA. That’s good for 15th in the NL. Only the Rox are worse. (The Rox are going to be serious contenders for the #1 draft slot; people should not underestimate them out of Tyler Love.)

              Incidentally, “net” wOBA explains 84% of the variance in winning percentage this year, whereas net OPS explains 85%. That’s indistinguishable, really.

              *I couldn’t get data on runners reaching base on errors as “E” totals do not give you that.

              • DocPeterWimsey

                dob2812: I was referring to my prior post, not yours…..

  • Nick

    0% – The chance Carlos Marmol pitches a 1-2-3 9th inning

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

      Hasn’t he already done that this season?

      • MichiganGoat

        okay maybe its 0.1% chance, at least it always feels that way. although I must say he isn’t causing me to drink as much as he use to.

      • andrew

        Exactly the chances of it happening again are 0

  • MichiganGoat

    263 – Days since Theo was offically named President (October 21, 2011)… and I still squeal from time to time

  • CubFan Paul

    25 – the number of good hearted Bryan LaHair stories written today

  • MichiganGoat

    100,000 – complaints about the Marshall trade

    100,001 – complaints about the Colvin trade

    *and thats just on this blog ;)

    • Toby

      Goat, those numbers will rise by the end of the day

  • andrew

    2- The amount of 5th place in the NL Central Cubs Allstars

    2- The amount of 1st place in the NL Central Pirates Allstars

    0- The amount of Allstars named Albert Pooholes

  • hansman1982

    100 – the percentage that I believe if the cubs just do this or that and X happens that the Cubs could still make the playoffs

    100 – the percantage of me that wants the #1 draft pick next year because I know what’s above is unrealistic

    100 – the percentage of me that believes next year is the year

    100 – the percentage of me that believes that we will be contending for first in something next year

    Eleventy bajillion – the number of scenarios that play out in my head thinking how we could be #1 in the NL Central next year

    0 – the number of those scenarios that will come true.

  • Evan

    0 – The amount of brains the people at Baseball Prospectus have if they think there’s a 0% chance of the Cubs (or several other teams for that matter) making the playoffs. I know I’m nitpicking, and the odds are obviously very close to 0%, but they could at least write “~0%” and be slighlty less depressing…

    • Evan

      And yes, I do know that the people at Baseball Prospectus are actually quite smart. The whole “0%” thing is just a pet peeve of mine.

  • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

    A Whole Lot – The amount of money the Cubs have to spend this winter.

    Not So Wee – The size of the Cubs’ need for good starting pitching.

    1500 – The volume of the collective screams, measured in jet engines, that will be uttered by Cub fans if Marmol and Soriano are still on the roster August 1.

    Eleventy Billion – The number of demands for Theo’s head that will be made by Cub fans if Soriano and Marmol are still on the roster on August 1.

    Eleventy Billion and One – The number of times diehard has tried to move Castro to right field.

    • Caleb

      Ha! Like the last one.

  • Mick

    5 – The amount of Old Styles consumed at my last Cubs game (July 2009)

    0 – The amount of Old Styles consumed since then

    • beerhelps

      Only 5? I am amazed by your restraint. Next time try to put a 1 in front of that. We all gotta do our part.

  • andrew

    .843 – Jeff Baker’s OPS against lefties

    .338- Lahairs OPS against lefties this season

    5,978,610,283- number of people that will complain when Sveum puts out his next lineup against a lefty with Baker starting instead of Lahair

    30- Home runs Rizzo will hit this season if he keeps up this pace

    0.00002%- Chance that Rizzo keeps up this pace

  • EQ76

    Here’s some for the rest of the season…

    60 – number of times we’ll hear “Go Cubs Go” this year at Wrigley.

    22 – number of “semi wood’s” I’ll get this year after RizzOMG!’s HR’s he hits.

    32 – number of “full wood’s” I’ll get everytime I think about or see DeJesus’ wife!

    1 – number of emmy’s Kerry Wood should get for outstanding actor in an insurance commercial.

    • Sircub

      19 – number of home games the cubs have won this year.

      42- the number of home games the cubs have left this year.

      .976 – the winning percentage the funds would have to sport in home games the rest of the year to get to 60 wins.

  • Cub Gone Wild

    If the Cubbies can come out after the break and do another run through the end of the month. They could move up in the NL Central. We got the Astros, Padres, Pirates and Brewers, Dodgers skattered around. It would be amazing to see us scare the crap out of some teams up above us in the standings. At least we have some fire power in our lineup.

    I am wondering what Clevenger’s win vs games caught ratio is thus far. He doesn’t throw anybody out stealing. But does he win games behind the plate? Is Castillo better in these area’s. I think Castillo has a better arm and has more power. Whats the best solution at catcher? What if Clevenger was a trade chip? He is controllable for a long time and that might make him very valuable on the market. More so than Soto. Just wondering out loud.

    • andrew

      I think a better to examine for the catchers would be the ERA or FIP of the pitchers when they catch them vs. when other people catch them. I doubt this season’s stats will give any good indication though because not only were all three catchers injured, but there were so many different crappy relievers that rotated in and out that would skew the numbers.

      • DocPeterWimsey

        That’s been done a few times in the past. Basically, it seems to fluctuate quite a bit year-to-year for individual catchers. That probably reflects the fact that a well-hit ball reflects a poorly executed pitch much more frequently than it reflects a poorly-called well-pitched ball. (“Hung curve,” “hung slider,” and “tipped changeup” actually are not in the catcher’s finger singles….)

      • Edwin

        I just don’t think that catchers influence pitcher performance that much at the big league level. Or any professional level.

        • DocPeterWimsey

          It is possible that they did once upon a time, when catchers would truly call games on their own based on personal knowledge and prior scouting reports. However, most teams call pitches from the bench now. Moreover, most pitchers (and catchers) prepare for the games with computerized scouting reports. It’s been suggested that a lot of pitchers are “aiming” at those blue zones from those reports rather than at the catcher’s target now. It is a small difference, but some extrapolation is needed to get the ball over the plate at the right spot given a target a foot plus behind it. Now, pitchers are aiming for a mental image next to the batter.

  • andrew

    453.5- the millions of dollars the Cubs would have committed if they signed Darvish, Cespedes, CJ Wilson, and Albert Pujols, like some people thought they should have.

    5.5- the bWAR of those 4 players this season

    39-46 – The approximate projected record of the cubs had they signed those guys

    • Featherstone

      You forgot about Prince Fielder. He would play Right Field with Pujols at First, obviously

    • Sircub

      Haha. Nice.

  • Cub Gone Wild

    If LaHair and Sori are still Cubs after the deadline I think we can hurt some teams in the NL as the season wears on. I would like to see Candaleiro and Jay Jackson get call ups to the bullpen. They throw strikes and get people out. They throw hard and get people out. They don’t walk anybody EVER. You don’t need to season bullpen pitchers that can bring it and don’t walk hitters. These two are exactly what we need in our pen. They should be the next call ups. I don’t want to see the Wells and Volstadts anymore. Unless Volstadt is converted to the pen don’t bring him back up as a starter. Well’s is as useless as tits on a bore hog.
    Bringing up these two bullpen pitchers is exactly what this team needs and we have it in house. You don’t throw them to the wolves when you bring them up. Get their feet wet and give them a chance to have some success and build confidence. Sveum hurt Dolis this year putting to much pressure on the kid with no ML experience. With Corpas and Ascenio and Dolis, Candaleiro and Jackson would give us some nice fireballers in our pen and some of them can actually throw strikes.

  • Jack Swift

    0- number of errors made by Soriano

    • Cyranojoe

      This is awesome. Who else was yelling and laughing at the TV when they sent Chipper around third as Soriano snagged a one-hopper in mid-to-short left? I knew he was gonna gun him down… what a foolish choice… Alfonso’s legs may be gone, but his arm’s still a pretty deadly accurate weapon.

  • Cub Gone Wild

    Andrew, I agree with your comments. I wonder what other GM’s would say if we marketed Clevenger as trade bait. Would there be suitors? would he bring back something better than him that’s a year away. Maybe we can get some value for Soto but I think Clevenger might bring more just because he is cheap and controllable for a while. Those are two good reasons to keep him as well. For some reason I don’t see Soto getting traded. I don’t know if Jed has the cahoonies to trade him and just have Clevenger and Castillo.

    • MaxM1908

      I know Clevenger has struggled recently, but I’d hate to see him go. I think it’s more likely that we non-tender Soto at the end of the year and start next year with a Castillo/Clevenger catching corps with Clevenger serving the back-up role. It’d be nice to trade Soto, but I don’t see it happening.

  • http://www.bobbyfunzone.com bobbydouglass

    > 1. The number of people that like this thread.

    • http://www.bobbyfunzone.com bobbydouglass

      That OPS of Castro’s is a bit depressing. Number of Duvels I will now consume: 1.

  • Serious Cubs Fan

    Sox fans are killing with all this Chris Sales talk. They are comparing him to Randy Johnson, Justin Verlander and any guy who ever threw hard and had success. I think kid has a ton of talent and will be a great pitcher but I hate when people brag about him and say he could be better then Randy Johnson. He doesn’t quite throw as hard as Randy, and until he wins multiple cy young awards I think people should just pipe down about saying he could be better. The kid has had a good first half, but I want to see him have a good decade before they say hes better the Randy

    • Featherstone

      You’re completely right about the premature comparisons to Randy Johnson or even Justin Verlander at this point. What made Johnson’s career or any HoF pitcher career amazing is the high attrition rate of pitchers, that at any given moment they are one blown rotator cuff away from being done. Let’s talk about comps when Sale puts up a full dominating season, anyone remember Ubaldo Jimenz’s first half a couple years back when he was with the Rockies still?

  • Josh

    Love this post. Sort of makes me sad and happy at the same time

  • Cub Gone Wild

    I was at the Dayton Dragons and Great Lakes Loons game on Sunday. The Loons catcher had 3 or 4 caught stealing. He has a gun. But the Dragons stole about 4 or 5 on the pitchers for the Loons who were just god awful at holding runners. They had a kid throwing 97 and 98 who the Dragons ran on at will for 3 innings. That Loons catcher was pissed. That kid throwing 97 and 98 just got rocked all over the yard by the Dragons. His fastball was stick straight.

  • Njriv

    MLBTR just said that a possible destination for Ryan Sweeney is the Cubs, uh….why?

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