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alfonso soriano hittingComing off a banner year, and entering the 2013 season carrying a big salary with a team that does not project to be competitive, it’s fair to wonder why Alfonso Soriano is still on the Chicago Cubs.

There has to be some measure of interest out there, and his no-trade rights aren’t going to completely preclude a trade. So, what gives?

Well, for a while now it has seemed clear that the reason Soriano is still with the Cubs is because the Cubs believe he has genuine value – both to the team as constructed, and in trade, if it should come to that. There are reasons to believe that the aforementioned banner year wasn’t a fluke (instead, it was probably a reflection of his true ability right now, when healthy). So why wouldn’t the Cubs be hesitant to part with Soriano, even if they were desperately looking to dump him for anything just one year ago?

Indeed, as Nick Cafardo reports, that’s precisely what’s going on. From Cafardo:

During his time in Chicago, Theo Epstein has come to realize what a tremendous teammate Soriano is and how willing he is to help younger players. Epstein considers Soriano an excellent clubhouse presence, and after a 32-homer, 108-RBI season, the Cubs president contends that he will need a player of note in return if he is to trade Soriano and assume a majority of the $36 million left on his contract. Soriano will only accept a deal to an East Coast team, so the Phillies, Rays, Orioles, Yankees, and Marlins are teams that could benefit by him.

A player of note.

Translated: the Cubs aren’t “dumping” Soriano this time around. They recognize he has value, and could hold onto him into the 2013 season if they don’t get an acceptable offer in the next two months. They would then get the benefit of seeing what’s what with this 2013 Cubs team (enormous surprises do happen), and/or shopping him again at the trade deadline. So, Epstein and Jed Hoyer are asking for quite a bit in return for Soriano right now.

The natural question, though … setting aside that backdrop, and what your gut tells you about Soriano’s value, is he really worth “a player of note” when considering the outfield market?

This is an important question, given that Soriano would not be valued and traded in a vacuum. It’s easy to say that Soriano, if the Cubs eat some of his salary, is worth a quality prospect or a young pitcher, but if there were 50 other Sorianos on the market at the same price, we could hardly make that claim, right?

Presently, the free agent outfield market is thin. It was, perhaps, the most plentiful free agent group of of the various positions when the offseason began, but signings have thinned the herd, and only a small handful of reasonable options remain. When it comes to a reliable power bat, in fact, there’s probably only one free agent option remaining: Scott Hairston. Delmon Young could arguably fall into that category as well, but his off-the-field issues and on-field defensive woes probably place him a rung below Hairston, particularly on the reliability/predictability scale.

On the trade front, of the players who could reasonably play an outfield spot (most think Michael Morse is a 1B/DH at this point), Jason Kubel and Justin Upton are probably the best power bat types available, together with Soriano. Because Upton is in a different tier from Kubel and Soriano, his availability probably doesn’t impact the market for Soriano too greatly (that is to say, if a team is going to go after Upton, the availability of Soriano isn’t going to give them pause). So, for the most part, Kubel is the guy whose availability could drive down the price in trade for Soriano.

That is all to say, in the Cubs’ efforts to trade Soriano, the availability of a comparable free agent – Hairston – and a comparable trade candidate – Kubel – must be considered. Soriano is the oldest of the three, having just turned 37. Kubel is just 30 (turns 31 in May), and Hairston is just 32 (he actually turns 33 on the very same day in May). Soriano’s contract situation is also the least enviable – while he makes $36 million over the next two seasons, Kubel makes just $7.5 million in 2013 and $7.5 million in 2014 (or a $1 million buyout). Hairston comes at a free agent’s price, which could be in the same range as Kubel – let’s say $16 million over two years.

Although the Cubs cannot account for the age difference, they can do something about the contract. Indeed, it’s been reported that they are willing to eat all but $10 million of his contract in the right trade, making Soriano a mere $5 million per year player – a bargain considering his expected production.

What about that production?

The three actually had strikingly similar slash lines in 2012, with Soriano going .262/.322/.499, Kubel going .253/.327/.506, and Hairston going .263/.299/.504. Soriano put his line up over more plate appearances (615) than Kubel (571) and, in particular, Hairston (398), who saw a disproportionate amount of his time against lefties. In total, Soriano’s offensive production was probably just a touch better than Kubel’s, and a fair bit better than Hairston’s.

Given the ages of each of the players, it should be no surprise that Bill James projects Soriano’s line to fall to .245/.304/.462 next year, while Kubel’s falls slightly less (.259/.333/.465). Hairston is projected at .250/.307/.444 in a part-time role. Here, the box checks for Kubel, but only a touch ahead of Soriano.

Of course, offensive production doesn’t tell the whole story – if it did, Soriano wouldn’t have a 4.0 WAR in 2012, as compared to Kubel’s (1.9) and Hairston’s (2.0) more modest sums. The primary difference, together with a little bit of base running, is defense. Defensive metrics are imperfect, though they tend to be pretty good at spotting trends. In Soriano’s case, he’s been an above-average outfielder (in some years, waaaaay above average) every single season but one since he converted to the outfield back in 2006. In 2012, he was one of the best defensive left fielders in baseball, according to FanGraphs.

Kubel, on the other hand, has been a below average defensive player every single year of his career. Hairston, who does offer the versatility to play all over the outfield, has been below average each of the last three years. I know it is difficult to accept, but Soriano’s strong defensive ability (particularly when he’s feeling healthy) sets him far, far apart from guys like Kubel and Hairston.

Then, of course, there are the intangibles, to which I won’t speak at length, because I know very little about Kubel or Hairston. What I do know is that Soriano is roundly considering one of the hardest working, best teammates in the game, and is the kind of veteran presence any playoff contender should want to have. (That would include the Cubs if they had actual playoff aspirations in 2013.) I suppose I can add here that Kubel bats lefty, which could be a distinguishing point for teams that prefer a righty bat in the middle of their otherwise very left-handed lineup (like the Phillies, for example).

At bottom, then, should a team be willing to give up “a player of note” for two years of Soriano at $5 million when they could have Kubel in a similar trade or Hairston for $16 million over two years?

Actually, yes.

His contract price would be cheaper, and he offers more overall value than either Kubel or Hairston. Further, if the Diamondbacks wind up trading Justin Upton, they might keep Kubel. And reports suggest Hairston would prefer to stay in New York. Thus, a handful of teams looking for offense in the outfield or at a DH spot – the Phillies, the Orioles, and the Rays come to mind – may soon have little other option than to part with “a player of note” for Soriano.

  • tim815

    Theo rarely trades anyone without getting a ‘key piece’ in return. See Roni Torreyes in the Sean Marshall trade.

    • Noah

      While I like Torreyes, I find the fact that people see a guy who just can never add the size to hit for power and probably cannot play shortstop as the “key piece” in the Marshall trade as opposed to a solid back end of the rotation starter like Travis Wood.

      • Noah

        Ugh. I’m still on Hawaii time (I know, I know, you’re all playing the world’s smallest violin for me). I meant to say I find the above INTERESTING. Instead of just saying that I find the above, but leaving it up to you to determine what I find it. Could be a fun Mad Libs set, though.

      • http://www.wavesoftalent.webs.com tim815

        I never said Torreyes is better than Wood. Wood and Marshall are arguably very similar. Wood is/was cheaper. Wood plus a key piece in Torreyes makes the trade.

        If Dom Brown represented Soriano numbers (he doesn’t), Epstein would still want a ‘key piece’ in return. That Brown is little or no better than DDJ/Schierholtz indicates that he might not be desired coming over. So the ‘key piece’ would need to be higher upside.

        • Noah

          I still don’t think Torreyes was the key piece. Torreyes is, at best, a back end of the Top 10 prospect organizationally for the Cubs. He wasn’t in BA’s Top 10 for the Cubs, and many are concerned that his lack of size combined with not having burner type of speed on the base paths means he won’t even be a Major Leaguer.

          I like Torreyes, but it’s very rare that you can ever legitimately call the key piece in a trade the player who is by far the least likely to contribute at the MLB level. If the Royals trade Luke Hochevar and Bubba Starling, Starling would be the key player despite having a much lower likelihood than playing in the Majors, but Starling’s ceiling is through the roof (his problem is his basement is somewhere around the third circle of hell). Torreyes is an interesting prospect because of the contact skills, but he doesn’t have much upside because of the small stature. And just being interesting doesn’t change him from a C or C+ prospect to something better.

    • Marc N.

      David Sappelt is underrated. Right now he and Soriano are the only guys in the OF who can hit lefties.

      Torreyes is an interesting lottery ticket and hopefully a strong trade chip after 2013.

      • CubFan Paul

        “David Sappelt ..and Soriano are the only guys in the OF who can hit lefties.”

        So much for sleeping well tonight.

  • mudge

    So they want to trade him for a musician?

  • Gcheezpuff

    Just mentioned this on the other post, but I heard on MLB hot stove this morning Cubs and Phillies talking Soriano. Not sure if this is a rehash of the existing rumor or new news of recent talks. It was treated as new news and discussed so hopefully there is something to it.

    Anyone hearing anything new on this?

  • tim815

    Hendry would have accepted a poor man’s Abner Abreu.

    • cubtex

      Actually Hendry’s track record of making good trades is much better than Theo’s. Theo hasn’t made many great trades.

      • MightyBear

        Cashner for Rizzo. Great trade.

        • Noah

          And that’s without even going back to the Red Sox years.

          Hendry really only made two great trades: getting Ramirez for scrap in 2003 and Lee for Hee Seop Choi prior to 2004. They were great trades, but harder to make now that more teams are smarter.

  • JoeyCollins

    I’ve assumed for a while now the lack of a soriano trade has more to die with his value to the cubs being higher than his assumed market value.

    • JoeyCollins

      Do*

  • Ben

    And, if push came to shove, and the player coming back was someone the Cubs wanted, I could see them eating all but 8 million or so. I doubt they would let a few million stop them from getting someone that could help them long-term.

  • Kurt

    The Cubs Are Asking For a Lot in Trade for Alfonso Soriano – Should They Be?

    Yes they should.

    The default position with too many Cub fans is to eat a contract and then spend money on someone else not recognizing the incongruity of that position. Other teams seem to be able to get the most out of their trades, we just want to pay to make them go away. Zambrano maybe, Soriano no.

    Hopefully Theo sticks to his guns.

  • itzscott

    Words strung together that don’t mean anything: “he will need a player of note in return”.

    What is a “player of note”??

    If someone can figure that one out and cite examples, maybe the rest of us can decide if the Cubs are being reasonable in their demands or not and gauge the likelihood of Soriano being a Cub in 2013.

    • Cubbie Blues

      Headly is a player of note, Theriot is not.

      Cite Cubbie Blues 2013.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      Valuable piece. Not a pure salary dump. Not a guy you can forget about the next day.

      Even something as fungible as “player of note” has meaning.

      • SirCub

        Just curious, if you were to make it a little less fungible (more immutable?), how would you put it?

        Top 15 guy, maybe a little fringy?

        • http://thecubcontrarian.blogspot.com Kyle

          Better than that, I’m pretty sure. If that was all the Cubs wanted, someone would have bit by now.

          • SirCub

            Yea, I think so too, in the case of Soriano. I was just referring to the minimum basis for a trade piece to be considered a “player of note.”

          • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

            Oh yes. I wouldn’t be surprised if they’d been asking for fringe top 100 value (depending on the money eaten).

    • http://www.wavesoftalent.webs.com tim815

      Someone that has a reasonable chance of being a regular contributor on the 2015 squad and beyond.

      Dom Brown had represented that, until he reached the majors. Now he appears to be a 4th/5th outfielder type with limited value as a pinch hitter.

      When talking ‘players of note’, I like to go to the team’s website, and look at their second through fifth selection’s in the two preceding drafts. Find a guy with some upside, and another from the 10th-20th Rounds in the same timeframe.

      That way, they aren’t forced onto the Cubs 40 Man immediately.

      Or, look at the second half of a current (2013) Prospects list, and find a position of relative need.

      The Phils drafted LHP Adam Morgan early in 2011. The ex-Alabama hurler is in AA already, and did fairly well. I would consider him ‘of note’. Cameron Rupp was an early pick in 2010, and had a OPS of .770 in the Florida State League. I’d prefer Morgan, but find your own player of note. It’s fun.

      • yield51

        I was looking at Phil’s prospects a couple weeks ago, and fell in love with Morgan’s numbers, but I don’t really know anything of significance about him.

      • Big Daddy

        What about Jesse Biddle (lhp) and Peter Lavin (of)?

  • JR

    Good stuff Brett! I like that the Cubs want to make sure they get value. But I believe there is a lot of risk going into the year with Soriano too. Considering his age and knees a lot could go wrong if the Cubs wait until after the all star break. And if they are truly wanting to get a great return for Soriano why not pay all of Soriano’s contract to a team? I know that’s a lot to eat, but if it helps with the return why not?

  • mudge

    I enjoy Soriano’s game and would be glad to watch him roam left field in 2013. It seems like he’s got a good routine down for maintaining his knees. If it wasn’t my imagination, he appeared to be laying off the low slider more as the year went on. Considering he didn’t homer for the first six weeks till he went to the lighter bat, he may well hit more rather than fewer home runs this year.

  • Voice of Reason

    Nick Cafardo report:

    During his time in Chicago, Theo Epstein has come to realize what a tremendous teammate Soriano is and how willing he is to help younger players. Epstein considers Soriano an excellent clubhouse presence, and after a 32-homer, 108-RBI season, the Cubs president contends that he will need a player of note in return if he is to trade Soriano and assume a majority of the $36 million left on his contract. Soriano will only accept a deal to an East Coast team, so the Phillies, Rays, Orioles, Yankees, and Marlins are teams that could benefit by him.

    Translation: The Cubs are trying to build any sort of value that they can to trade Soriano!!!!! They’re trying to get someone to take on whatever part of the salary that they can and get as solid of a prospect or prospects that they can. Build the value by saying he is a good team mate and can still play. Blah, blah, blah.

    I hope nobody posts that they want to keep Soriano because without him we have no offense. The reason is, even with him the offense is TERRIBLE! The bottom line is getting in more young kids that we can hopefully develop and get up to the bigs. The problem is, we don’t have a reputation of developing position players!

  • Frank

    Truth be told, they can ask for whatever they want. They probably won’t get it, but oh well. He’s a productive player and not blocking anyone. There’s no reason to rush him out of town for the next JaBrycaih LaFoxPauir.

    It goes without saying that if someone is willing to give us the right package, we definitely take it; This being said, if we do trade him, we should be willing to eat up to 100% of his contract in exchange for the optimal player/prospect return. We’re in no need of financial relief, so if we trade him it should be solely to strengthen the farm system or acquire young players.

    However, I can’t imagine anyone going overboard for him, not at this time anyway. While
    Alfonso Soriano may be a upgrade over most remaining FA outfielders, if giving up too much in terms of prospects, most GMs would likely prefer go with someone like Delmon Young or whomever’s still out there.

  • Sam Rash

    No doubt Soriano will be with the team next year. He’s too valuable to trae for scraps while paying off the rest of his contract, while not valuable enough for teams to give up prospects for an inconsistent 37 year old overpaid by 13 million dollars a year. He’ll help, so it’s a push. We’re putting too much emphasis on him because the team lacks stars, sustainable talent, and a future.

    • Voice of Reason

      Trade Soriano right now before he gets hurt (see Garza injury) LOL!!!

      Honestly, we will lose 90 games with Soriano and and we will probably lose 95 plus games without him. What’s the difference?

      The difference COULD BE that we get a young prospect in return who ends up contributing the next time we are ready to compete.

      And, we’re going to pay his salary whether or not he stays, we release him or we trade him! If you want to look at it from a financial point, don’t look at it like we’re giving him away and paying his salary. Look at it like we’re paying money and getting a decent prospect or two in return by trading him.

      As for right now, we need to stock the shelves of our minor league system.

      • LWeb23

        At the same time, if we trade him, we don’t get a chance at a compensation pick for the 2014 draft. So is whatever prospect we get going to be better than a Sandwich round draft pick? Just playing devil’s advocate…

        • LWeb23

          Brain fart. For some reason I thought Soriano’s contract was up after this season.

        • http://www.viewfromthebleachers.com Norm

          The Cubs won’t get any pick from Soriano. They would have to give him a qualifying offer (which will be something like 1 year, $14M)

          • Sam Rash

            And no doubt he’d accept such an offer.

  • josh

    my hope is that the cubs trade soriano and campana for d. brown and a pitcher who isn’t on the 40 man. this way we get rid of a 40 man spot so we can add villanueva, add a replacement in left for soriano who still has some upside and adds a pitching prospect, which is what theo/jed are trying to add in every trade. kills 3 birds with one stone.

    • http://www.wavesoftalent.webs.com tim815

      Brown’s OPS is around .700 in Philly. That pitcher had better be really good. I’d prefer to leave Brown out entirely.

  • yield51

    This is just messing around what do you think?

    MLBTR just posted that Arizona wants Porcello, and Detroit would be asking for late inning relief, a shortstop, or a RH outfielder. As a Cub fan I immediately started wondering how the Cubs could fit in. I really would prefer to extend Garza, but I know the rotation is full. I’m not sure I love it, but is this practical?

    Det gets Upton, Barney, maybe Marmol could fit in?
    Arz gets Garza (plus salary relief), Porcello, other DET prospects?
    Cubs get Skaggs, Castellanos, other DET prospects?

    Detroit obviously gets WAY better right now while sacrificing some future.
    Arizona relieves themselves of Upton, and acquires two MLB ready P’s for Skaggs, and $
    Cubs get the future lefty they have needed, and maybe future 3B while trading away good players at the system deepest positions.

    • Kygavin

      As good as that sounds (really every team benefits) I dont see the Tigers moving Castellanos. Plus Det would still need a SS because Barney couldnt hold the position being an average defensive 2B that was elevated due to the shifting the Cubs employed. i would love to get Skaggs and Castellanos for Garza, Barney and Marmol though.

      • bails17

        Barney is an average defensive second basemen? You, my friend, are delusional! The shift has nothing to do with the fact that Barney made plays. And not just the everyday plays. He made great plays!! He might have gotten to more balls because of the shift, but you still have to make the plays.

        • CubFan Paul

          Barney is an average 2B. Sveum’s shifts had alot to do with Darwin’s defensive success (more chances)

          Luis Valbuena would of looked alot more fluid/fast/agile at 2B in 2012 than Barney.

          • bails17

            Now we have two guys to send to the nut house.

            • CubFan Paul

              I’ll take the more athletic ball player over Barney (scrappy) any day (if the more physically gifted player gets to use Sveum’s positioning too).

          • Dale’s Ear

            I do not understand where you are coming up with this stuff, Barney was a monster defender and beat out a guy with a way better bat for the gold glove. I wish the guy could hit better and take a pitch or two but as far as defense goes I don’t think the Cubs are going to find anyone who plays the position better than Barney did last season.

            • CubFan Paul

              I’ll take the more athletic ball player over Barney (scrappy) any day (if the more physically gifted player gets to use Sveum’s positioning too).

      • http://thecubcontrarian.blogspot.com Kyle

        Defensive metrics that accounted for the shift still considered Barney the best defensive 2b in baseball.

        • bails17

          Thank you Kyle! Crazy that anyone would even think he was average last year.

  • JR

    Is there any word that Soriano is cool with opening up his trade options yet? I have heard nothing about his willingness to go to more teams. And if he is still only open to go to 2 or 3 teams, that could be the main reason there still isn’t a match in a trade with the Cubs having no leverage.

  • Fastball

    V of R….
    Okay let me start by saying this. I like Soriano and I don’t want to trade him because I do not want pay him $13M a year to hit 30+ HR’s and 100+ RBI’s for someone else. Anybody can say he won’t do that again. I will bet he does! Also now that he actually has a flippin coach he taught him how to play the OF he was pretty damned good. We have nobody who can replace him. We don’t have 3 guys who you could bring up and combine all their numbers to match his production. You can say he is streaky and he sucks when he isn’t hot. I can say that about most guys who hit HR’s. If he had somebody hitting behind him he would be even more dangerous and put up even better numbers. I don’t want to trade because these kids needs somebody to show them the ropes in the ML. And it is not all learning the ropes on the field. These kids need a guy like Soriano who can keep them out of trouble off the field. If I’m Theo I keep him. If you move him who protects Rizzo? Nobody….What kind of year do you want Rizzo to have? He won’t be a world beater being the only guy in the lineup with power. At this stage in his career you can’t do that to him. He would end up pressing all season trying to be something he isn’t ready to be. The result won’t be pretty. If we had a player you thought could replace Soriano and build a solid case for I would gladly listen. He doesn’t exist. I’m not giving at bats to Campana, maybe Sappelt in a platoon in RF. Jackson isn’t the answer. He make Sori look like a contact hitter. Lastly, we don’t need salary relief! We can afford Soriano all day long. Do you trade your best run producer an HR hitter so you can save $10M over two years and still payout $26M. Somebody is going to have to put a smile on my face 24/7 for 2 years to get that kind of deal. Theo is basically saying if you can do that we’ll trade him. It ain’t happening.

    • http://www.viewfromthebleachers.com Norm

      The 2 years, $36M is a sunk cost.
      So, here is what you can get out of that money:
      1 – Alfonso Soriano’s 2013 and 2014 season
      2 – Domonic Brown’s 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017 seasons.
      3 – Some other prospects (no service time) 2013, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, and 2018 seasons.

      If you think Soriano’s 2013 and 2014 season is better for the Cubs organization than a player that can be here through 2017 or 2018 before hitting free agency, then cool.

      • bails17

        It that guy hits like Tony Campana I do!

      • http://thecubcontrarian.blogspot.com Kyle

        When that player is Brown, I do. Not a fan at all.

        We’ll see what prospects we are offered.

  • matt

    The real answer is “who cares?”. The “player of note” will not hit 38 bombs, and have 90+ RBI, so what’s the point? The Cubs who already have a low salary cut a few million to get a AA player that will not be an every day player at any point in the “rebuilding”. They will likely lose 100 games again without a stick like Soriano in the lineup, and the will still continue to be terrible for the next two years….so who really cares if the Cubs trade him or not? By the time his contract is up…their rebuilding should be complete and they can replace him one way or the other.

  • james

    I know Soraino turned down the Orioles before because he didn’t want to DH full time. I wonder if his name came up in the three team talks with the Tigers. I would think Soraino might start thinking of DH soon. Also to jump in on the comment early Barney is a averge defensive second basemen.

  • Forlines

    I say keep Soriano until his contract is up (or a trade occurs that is too good to be true)

    He is a solid defensive AND offensive threat (which we don’t really have any others)
    He is a SOLID older player that a lot of our younger players can learn from (which we don’t really have any others)
    Why pay him so much to produce for another team? (unless that trade I mentioned occurs)
    Adjusting his swing/selection really opened up his big play making ability.

  • Forlines

    Oh yeah, btw, I think you guys are confusing defense with offense in regards to Barney. Defensively he’s lights out! Offensively, he is…..he is…..below average.

  • Kygavin

    Offensively yes Barney is below average and defensively he is average. Last year in UZR (how many runs saved on D) rating he was the best 2B in the league, in 2011 he was 8th. In both these years his zone rating (how many balls he got to) was statistically the same (.838 in 2011 .836 in 2012) So what changed between those 2 years? The defensive strategy of shifting that the Cubs implemented, which turned Barney from an average 2B into a Gold Glove winning 2B

    • CubFan Paul

      Try explaining that to the scrappy-do lovers.

      • Kygavin

        I did my best lol

    • DocPeterWimsey

      The shift idea is popular, but it seems to be damned by the data. John Dewan calculated the runs saved by shifts for entire teams last year:

      Most runs saved by shifts in 2012
      Team Shifts Runs Saved
      Toronto Blue Jays 12
      Tampa Bay Rays 10
      Cleveland Indians 8
      Baltimore Orioles 8
      Boston Red Sox 7

      A couple of things stand out. One, no NL team even made the list, in large part due to the fact that all of the AL east teams do this heavily (and have been for a couple of years). Two, the shifts would have been doing little for overall UZR, and thus are not doing too much for individual UZR.

      So, unless shifts caused other Cubs players to lose a lot of outs (and thus some smaller number of runs), it does not look like shifting strongly affected Barney’s UZR.

  • Mick

    Aside from the Phillies, I only see 3 other possible destinations for Soriano:

    Braves-Yes, but I don’t see any MLB-ready pitchers coming back in return. Hudson and Maholm will be FA’s at the end of the season which makes for a perfect time to promote Tehran and Delgado into the rotation for 2014. This will also save them money to extend Prado, Heyward, Medlan, and possibly McCann.

    Possible trade: Soriano for J.R. Graham and Juan Jaime

    Rays-Maybe. It’s not often that Andrew Friedman trades prospects rather than trades for them? Soriano makes sense though because he still has 30-home run potential and would neatly fit within their modest budget. Plus, with the amount of new prospects acquired for James Shields and with another slew coming next offseason for David Price there could be some leftovers.

    Possible trade: Soriano for Enny Romero, Parker Markel, and Patrick Leonard

    Red Sox-Doubtful. The Sox have already addressed their OF needs this offseason by signing Victorino and Gomes. The only other glaring need the Sox might have is at 1B if Napoli doesn’t sign but there’s been talk of moving Daniel Nava there in case this happens. Also, recent Cafardo write-ups have talked about the Red Sox moving back to developing talent in-house rather than trading prospects. If a trade does occur, it will probably be mid-season due to a rash of injuries.

    Possible trade: Soriano for Franklin Morales and Jose Iglesias

    Orioles-No. He’s already vetoed a trade to Baltimore.
    Yankees-No. If the Yankees are going to trim payroll to $189 by 2014, they’ll need all of the prospects they have.
    Blue Jays-No. They have zero need for Soriano.
    Mets-No. It hasn’t been their M.O. to trade prospects of late and are in full rebuilding mode.
    Nationals-No. They’re also trading a LF in Morse which is probably hurting Soriano’s value.
    Marlins-No. The Marlins are a deplorable franchise and even though he’d be close to home, it takes two to tango and I doubt the rebuilding Marlins would have any interest.

    • CubFan Paul

      Soriano for Delgado please.

      • Mick

        It seems the Braves have shifted positions on Delgado post trade fallout. Earlier this offseason the Braves wouldn’t include Delgado in trade talks with the Twins for either Span or Willingham. Dempster really screwed us on that deal although getting Vizcaino for Maholm and Johnson was still a pretty good haul.

  • Marc N.

    I’m late but there is zero reason to just hand Soriano to someone. Cubs should be getting someone of significance or they just keep him.

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