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iowa cubs mascotHalf the teams in the Cubs organization had yesterday off, but those same three teams all have interesting promotions running when they resume play today.

Beginning with Iowa Cubs, tonight is an Iowa Cubs Unplugged night. Starting an hour and a half before game time there will be live music and drink specials somewhere on the concourse behind home plate. This likely means there will be fewer fans lining field railing calling for autographs, so be sure to get to the park early to take advantage of the musical distraction. Wells Fargo customers can double their fun by bringing a friend with them for free. If you bring a collectors mug to the game with you, the Iowa Cubs will even spot you a free beverage. After an hour and a half of trying to shout over a live band to your non-paying friend, you’ll likely need it.

The Tennessee Smokies not only want you to bring food to the ballpark, they’ll give you a free ticket if you do so… provided the food is Orville Redenbacher’s popcorn. Any kids at the game, in addition to presumably eating all your popcorn, can pick up a free meal with ticket purchase. And on top of that, just showing up the game is for a good cause as tonight is Pack the Park to End Polio Night. Free tickets, free food, a great cause, and great baseball. This would be a good day to live in Eastern Tennessee.

And then we have Boise. The Hawks are hosting something called Women, Wine, and Baseball. Rather than try to summarize this, I’ll just quote the PR blurb directly (without the all caps style of the original).

Dress up night, pink out the park! Come to the game dressed in as much pink as you possibly can! There will be barefoot wine tasting on the concourse.

So, yeah. There’s that.  Barefoot wine.  Hopefully the promotion is referring to the winery of that name. If you go, be sure to lift a glass to the former Hawk that apparently just won the Bachelorette. If you can survive all that excitement you will get to watch Paul Blackburn, one of the best young pitching prospects in the organization, take the mound.

Scores From Yesterday

Iowa - Iowa had the day off as they finally return home.
Tennessee - Tennessee also had the day off as they travel home.
Daytona - It took ten innings before they lost, but Daytona did lose 6-5.
Kane County - Kane County used a three run eighth to pull away for an 8-3 win.
Boise - This was the last day of the Northwest League All-Star break. Boise resumes play today.
Arizona - Arizona scored seven times in the fifth on their way to an 11-4 win.

Performances of Note

  • [Daytona] Zeke DeVoss doubled again as he finished 3 for 4 with a pair of walks.
  • [Daytona] Anthony Giansanti and Pin-Chieh Chen each had two hits for the Cubs. Giansanti stole his first Daytona base, and was also caught stealing at home.
  • [Daytona] Due to a rain delay (I think that’s the only reason), C.J. Edwards tossed a single inning for the Cubs. He allowed one hit and struck out one.
  • [Kane County] Gioskar Amaya walked 3 times and finished 1 for 2 with his 13th stolen base.
  • [Kane County] Jeimer Candelario hit his first triple of the season as part his 2 hit game. Carlos Escobar (with a double) and Jose Dore each had a pair of hits as well.
  • [Arizona] Trey McNutt began working his way back to Tennessee with an inning in the desert. He struck out 2 and allowed nothing.
  • [Arizona] Erick Leal gave up 4 hits and a walk while striking out five in his 4.1 innings of work.
  • [Arizona] The AZL Cubs won despite having a single extra base hit. That hit was a double off the bat of shortstop Francisco Sanchez.

Other News

  • Now that Iowa is returning home, keep any eye on their roster today. Thanks to the injuries on the Chicago Cubs yesterday I would not be surprised to see Iowa lose a player to the major league roster. That said, this Iowa team was already depleted and had two very young prospects on loan from Boise. Suddenly the team that was log-jamming the farm system with major league depth type signings at the beginning of the year could be the driving force behind some unexpected promotions.
  • MichiganGoat

    Hmmmm Boise is Drunk Ladies Night… Alright alright alright

    • Die hard

      Chauvinist 🐖

      • Fishin Phil

        I believe he prefers the term “Horny Old Goat”. You can call him HOG for short.

        • MichiganGoat

          Yup and now I’ve found a way to bottle my essence
          [img]http://images.iherb.com/l/NRT-07321-0.jpg[/img]

        • MichiganGoat

          Okay so that didn’t work… Or did it?
          [img]http://img.gawkerassets.com/img/184si0u9joe1jjpg/ku-medium.jpg[/img]

          • Borocks

            Sweet. I love reading your posts goat. What part of Michigan are you from?

            • MichiganGoat

              Beer City USA aka Grand Rapids

              • Borocks

                Cool, Saint Joseph here. Nice to meet ya…..

                • MichiganGoat

                  I assume you’ve been to the Getaway Cubbie Bar in Bridgman?

                  • Borocks

                    Staggered out of there more than once. Great place for a burger and a game. Well I guess they serve beer there too.

                • Austin

                  I’m down the Highway in Niles and love going up to St Joe.

              • Spriggs

                Sat next to a really nice older couple (prolly in their 70′s) from Grand Rapids on the plane last week. They apparently have some kind of stand up comedy routine and play across the country. Very nice people!

              • Danny Ballgame

                Beer City? Come to Fort Collins

                • jpeck

                  Did they finally catch the mountain lion walking down main street? Nice breweries too.

                  • Danny Ballgame

                    They did get that little kitten. Along with bear and a moose last year. Good thing even the animals drink beer. It could be a scary place to be

    • John (ibcnu2222)

      Giggity, Giggity, Giggity

  • Blublud

    Luke, what section are you going to be in Saturday, again, couldn’t remember what you said.

    • ssckelley

      Stalker!

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

      Monday and Tuesday, and 104, about a row up. I can’t see ball movement well from the first base side seats, but I have a nice view of pitcher mechanics, hitter mechanics, and can get a very good look at the middle infield.

      And without Junior Lake at short this year, I doubt I’ll have the impulse to dive behind the wall every time a throw is made to first base. His arm at short… impressive. Frighteningly impressive.

      • Blublud

        Ok. I going to be there Saturday. My wife and kids are going to meet me in knoxville this weekend.

  • Bwa

    Luke, just wondering what your rationale is behind rarely showing pitchers earned runs in these reports. Is it that you think earned runs are a non factor in determining prospect value at These levels?

    • Cubbie Blues

      Obviously, not Luke, but there are better numbers to use for pitchers than ERA. Also, each player referenced is linked to their B-R page for your perusal. Ks and BBs are a better way to look at most prospects since it tends to tell more about “stuff”.

    • Timothy Scarbrough

      Ks, BBs, GO/AO, are all better stats for comparison of pitchers in minor leagues, because the situation in which they are laying in can vary a lot from park to park.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

      For the Daily I am generally referring to performance for that day, and one day ERA is pretty much meaningless.

      I do use monthly and yearly ERA from time to time – it does have value when used correctly – but I prefer K/BB, GO/AO, H/9, and WHIP when trying to assess pitchers, particularly at the lower levels.

  • On The Farm

    “Gioskar Amaya walked 3 times and finished 1 for 2 with his 13th stolen base. ”
    This kid has a chance to be really good.

    Also, last night on twitter:

    Sahadev Sharma @sahadevsharma
    “Apparently McLeod said expect some promotions (not to majors) in the next 7-10 days. Almora (if healthy), Bryant & Vogelbach are candiates, IMO

    So there is that

    • Spriggs

      I’m really high on Amaya. After a slow first half, he’s putting together a nice season. Liked him from the first time I saw him play.

    • Jp3

      Interesting where Bryant could go? Kane county has a high upside prospect and I think he could skip a league then it would be Daytona which is in its rain season…. Who knows, what about Vogulbach? How’s that going to work with Geiger playing everyday?

      • On The Farm

        Well if they are willing to promote Almora and Vogelbach to Daytona, I doubt they will worry about promoting Bryant there regardless of the weather. I think too much epmhasis gets placed on the rainouts. It is some of the factor, but some posters (not saying you) act like its the end all be all, don’t send a prospect there at the end of the year.

        • Jp3

          Yeah that’s what I’m saying, don’t send them there at the end Of the season. The rainouts are a plenty. If you’re goal is to get them consistent ABs I’d probably leave them where they are.

      • Lou Brown

        You could make the case for all of their 1B to move up. Bour to Iowa, Geiger to Tenn, and Vogs to Daytona.

        • On The Farm

          Rock Shoulders to play full time 1B in Kane County. Sorry I just wanted to say something about Rock Shoulders, its been a while since he has seemed relevent.

          • willis

            Hmmm, I do hate all the rainouts, but it would be fine with me to give Almora, Vogelbomb and Bryant a taste of Daytona, because they all will be there to begin next season. Just keep fingers crossed they can get some steady playing time while there.

      • Noah

        Cubs could give Candelario some time at 1B or DH. While I like Candelario, he’s a fringe prospect type, and development of Bryant has to take precedence.

  • gratefulled

    Really, really looking forward to seeing Hendricks throw tonight. Go Cubs!

  • miggy80

    Dustin Smith and the Sunday Silo’s playing tonight at Principal park! That’s some good music.

  • David

    Been a lot of talk about rainouts in Daytona. Why don’t we move to a dryer location? Seems like a quite an inconvenience/ pain in the a$$.

    • On The Farm

      Because there is no other place to go, the Carolina league is just as bad

    • wvcubsfan

      Because the Florida State League isn’t moving out of the state of Florida.

  • TWC

    Ugh. Barefoot Wine? That stuff is pretty much bottom shelf swill, like $4.50/bottle. Barf. A bare step above Ernest & Julio Gallo jug wine.

    • wvcubsfan

      Well at least it’s not MD or Boone’s Farm

      • hansman1982

        I think I have a few fond memories of MD. Then again, I don’t remember if I do.

        • willis

          We had a Mad Dog Ice Luge one year at BBQ fest. We haven’t had it since. Twas not pretty. But the girls liked it.

        • Spriggs

          Yes, me too. I do remember purple blotches and a hole in the wall panel. Who knew it was fake wood?

          • miggy80

            Did you know that MD can be consumed by beer bong?
            You’ll have some on the ceiling in the morning.

  • Tommy

    When I went to see Kane County play Peoria, the announcer was pronouncing Jeimer Cadelario’s first name as JayMere. Is that the correct pronunciation? Anyone know? I always thought it was pronounced HiMe.

    • DarthHater

      A few weeks back in the podcast, Bert speculated that it might be: “high-mare”

      • DarthHater

        Personally, I think it’s: Jimmer.

    • Spriggs

      I just kind of mumble it quickly.

    • hansman1982

      If I remember, last winter it was settled as Jay-mere.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

      It’s Jay-mer, so far as I know.

      Even though the Cubs signed him out of the Caribbean, he was born in New York City. I’d not be surprised if the pronunciation of his name is Americanized from what we might otherwise expect.

  • BigPappa

    It’d be great results for the top 5 or 10 prospects (if they are in action) were always included.

  • Joepoe321

    Lets say only 2 of the cubs top 4 prospects reach there full potential, which 2 would you want?

    • UCF

      Bryant & Baez

    • jh03

      Kris Bryant and Javier Baez.

    • wvcubsfan

      Bryant or Baez – because we need a third baseman

      Almora – lead off hitter.

    • Jon

      I’d probably give up Almora first. I think he’s going to be a solid big leaguer, but I don’t know if he’s ever going to hit for enough power to be a star.

      • hansman1982

        Is this a “Who would you trade away” or a “Who would you give up your first born child for so they could hit their ceiling”?

    • Edwin

      Josh Vitters and Brett Jackson.

      • hansman1982

        troll

        • Edwin

          anti-troll.

        • Jono

          I actually like the logic behind that. If you get to pick two guys to reach their ceilings, why not have them beto guys who most likely wont do it anyways? There’s a better chance baez and brant reach their potential without the magic wand. You might as well use the magic wand on guys who will fail without it. If course, if the other part of the question is that those are the only two guys to reach their potential, no one besides them will, then yea, baez and bryant

          • Jono

            On further review if the question, yes, he’s being a troll

          • Edwin

            Truth be told, I was just trying to make a smartass comment by pretending that Vitters and Jackson were still part of the “Top 4″ prospects.

            I pick Baez and Bryant, cause the kind of power they both have is exciting.

            • hansman1982

              If Bryant has 80 power and Baez is 65 power. That gives you, easily, 70 home runs a year between the two. That’d push 30 HR Rizzo to 5th and 20 HR Castro to 6th.

            • Jono

              sometimes I have this lawyer instinct that tries to defend any argument I hear / read. And I’m not even a lawyer, although most people in my life tell me I should be

              • wvcubsfan

                You must not agree with Billy Shakes

                • Jono

                  like, shakespeare?

                  • wvcubsfan

                    yes, in particular his fondness for committing felonies against the profession of which you speak

                    • Jono

                      haha, nice

    • Joepoe321

      The consensus seems to be Bryant and Baez, now if u got Bryant and Baez to their full potential where would u play them? Castro will probably not move and they can’t both play 3rd.

      • willis

        Bryant LF, Baez 3B…

        • hansman1982

          If they were full potential, I’d say Baez 2B/SS (depending on if his full-potential is better than Castro at SS defense) and Bryant to 3B.

          This would give us, arguably, the best offensive IF in the majors (120 plus homers a year), all of whom would be 25 and under.

          • willis

            The other day I was thinking about that, and it was grand. Then I remembered Alcantara if he makes it also, then 3B becomes an issue. One of Baez or Bryant have to move to OF. Would be top notch if that became a problem.

            • Jono

              Alcantara 2B
              Almora CF
              Rizzo 1B
              Byant LF
              Baez 3B
              Soler RF
              Castro SS
              ——– C
              ——– P

              = Happy Jono

              • deej34

                All of those guys making it to the pro level is pretty wishful thinking.

                I don’t know what kind of conversion rate there is from prospect to everyday mlb starter but it is much lower than that projected lineup would support.

                • Jono

                  oh yea, it’s cubs day dreaming time

                • Jono

                  just don’t get me started with the 2015 rotation…here’s a little taste: 3 finger brown makes a comeback

                • hansman1982

                  For the big 4, I’d say you expect one of them to hit their ceiling (or close to), 2 of them will have productive but non-ceiling careers and 1 of them will flop.

                  • deej34

                    We all know the Cubs bad history with prospects living up to expectations. Hopefully this is the start of the change. Go back and look at 1st round picks or even organizational top tens from 2008 – 2012. It isn’t pretty.

                    • hansman1982

                      I know the Cubs have had terrible times with that, thankfully the new regime has, historically, been good at identifying and developing prospects.

                      This is also what we should expect (based on running these same 4 guys through alternate universes 1000 times) based on historical reviews of prospects and an off-the-cuff analysis.

                  • Jono

                    you’re ruining my day dreaming, hansman

                  • Mr. B. Patient

                    3 out of 4 would be very realistic considering all of them were Top 10 draft picks (or the equivalent in the case of Soler) so you would expect a 75% success rate

                    Sidenote: Last night I made cheeseburgers for dinner. For the first time ever, I stuffed them with bacon, then fried them in the bacon grease, topping them with swiss cheese, onions, more bacon, and hot mustartd.
                    Best. Burgers. Ever.
                    (took extra Lipitor just in case).

              • TheDondino

                One thing that lineup is missing, Vogelbach’s left-handed bat. I hate the DH, but man, Vogs is making me rethink that position quickly. How much better would the lineup look like with another lefty:

                1. Almora (CF) – R
                2. Alcantara (2B) – S
                3. Bryant (LF) – R
                4. Rizzo (1B) – L
                5. Baez (3B) – R
                6. Vogelbach (DH) – L
                7. Soler (RF) – R
                8. Castro (SS) – R
                9. Catcher

                • Jono

                  [drooling] Except when Wood pitches. He’d fit into the 6 hole very well

      • TheDondino

        Half the evaluators out there see Bryant as an OF anyways, so put him in LF/RF and stick Baez at third.

  • Edwin

    I wonder why Pedro Martinez never got more credit for being a “smart” pitcher. He threw hard early in his career, but from 2002 on his fastball wasn’t that hard. Even without a great fastball, he still dominated hitters though.

    • wvcubsfan

      I think that most every pitcher that last over 5 years in the league (especially starting pitchers) are smart pitchers to one extent or the other.

      There’s no way any player can last for an extended period of time without adapting to what is changing outside of their control. IMO, the great ones have a feel for the game and a work ethic to study all of their opponents where they can almost predict what the opponent is going to do before they do it.

      Pedro toward the end of his career was what I would consider a “crafty righty” where he almost pitched backwards to some hitters.

  • Mike

    If Rizzo has a similar season next year, and Vogelbach has another monster year in the minors, would the Cubs ever consider giving the nod to Vogelbach in 2015?

    • cms0101

      No because Vogelbach will be slated to start in AA Tennessee in 2015.

    • On The Farm

      Consider the following:

      1) Rizzo is having a really good season (watch out Hansman will becoming to elaborate more on this)

      2) The Cubs just gave Rizzo a big contract, so he isn’t going anywhere

      3) Vogelbach will in all likelihood start in A+ which means even with a Baez-esce like season he only gets to AA next season. Meaning he starts 2015 in AA and probably wouldn’t get to the MLB until May at the earliest (and we are talking about him absoultely murdering the ball, like way more than he is doing this season).

      Given those three facts I say no

      • Mike

        You think .238 is a “really good” season?

        • On The Farm

          You think batting average is the best way to evaluate good and bad seasons?

          • Mike

            No not at all, but I certainly wouldn’t say that .238 qualifies anyone to be having a “really good” season. (As he hits an opposite field double)

            • hansman1982

              le sigh…Rizzo is about 10 balls-in-play being hit a micro-second sooner or later or a nano-meter higher or lower on the bat away from having a season that blows last year’s campaign out of the water.

              • jh03

                Hans, do you care to elaborate on that? I know you have before, and I apologize. But, I was in a similar argument with somebody yesterday (saying Rizzo has disappointed this year) and no matter what I said I couldn’t get the point across..

                • hansman1982

                  His BABIP is at least .030 points below what could be considered “normal”. So far this year that means that about 10 balls finding gaps (I used what actually needed to happen at the point of contact) should put his OPS above where it was last year.

                  My last sentence was a bit of hyperbole.

                  • jh03

                    Yeup, I pretty much said the exact same thing…. and then was told I was relying on “BABIP luck” that we can’t count on… Ugh. The struggle. lol

                  • Cubbie Blues

                    Your “at least” part is playing it very safe, Hansman. It’s .046 lower than last year.

                  • hansman1982

                    If all 10 of those balls fall in as singles, that’d give him an .820 OPS.

                    • Cubbie Blues

                      Also, If you look at all of his numbers, they are all within the expected range except his BABIP and AVG. If his BABIP is up .046 points to where it was last year, he would have a .285 AVG or exactly what he had last year.

                  • hansman1982

                    “Your “at least” part is playing it very safe, Hansman. It’s .046 lower than last year.”

                    If you give him the same BABIP as last year with just singles: .838 OPS

                    If you give him the same average as last year (meaning he is just turning singles into XBH (which should be expected)) .861 OPS.

                    Rizzo is doing just fine, folks.

              • http://Cubsdailyrecaps.blogspot.com Jason P

                I think your oversimplifying at least a little bit. Some of the repressed BABIP is from bad luck, but not all of it. Rizzo’s hitting 5% fewer line drives this year, and a lot of his grounders have been rolled over upon and hit weakly to the right side. http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/player/anthony-rizzo/hitchart/1254792?q=anthony-rizzo

                If you look at his Steamer and ZIPS projections for the rest of the year, they do have his BABIP coming up a fair amount, but nearly to where it was last year. Only enough to raise his average by 8 points.

                I still think he’s having a fairly productive year, but to say he’s a few bad breaks away from being a .280/30/100 guy this season is simply inaccurate.

                • jt

                  “I still think he’s having a fairly productive year, but to say he’s a few bad breaks away from being a .280/30/100 guy this season is simply inaccurate.”
                  – Jason P
                  *
                  very well stated post!

            • On The Farm

              Since you asked he has 18 HRs; over half of his hits have been for extra bases this season; his .340 wOBA is considered to be an above average number; a “great” wRC+ is 100, Rizzo’s is 113; a “great” ISO is considered .200, Rizzo is supporting a happy .211; his BB% is over 11%. Is that not good enough? ARE YOU NOT ENTERTAINED?!

              • Cubbie Blues

                Actually, 100 wRC+ is average, 100 wRC is great.

                • On The Farm

                  Yeah I was looking at the plain wRC table. That was my bad, however, wRC+ of 113 still means he is 13% better than the average.

              • Mike

                A.) I obviously had not spent that much time analyzing his stats, so thank you for your thoughtful input.
                B.) If many of those particular statistics mattered that much, then why do you never read or hear anything about them?
                C.) Attempting to insult someone by the use of capital letters in conjunction with sarcasm is actually quite childish

                • Cubbie Blues

                  I read about those stats every single day. Those stats matter *much* more than the old baseball card stats. If you frequent this blog more often, you will read about those stats every day as well.

                • On The Farm

                  A) Well to say someone is having a bad season without even looking is a bit foolish on your part
                  B) If you read this site every day you will see these stats mentioned. If you watch the Cubs game on Sunday you will see these stats as part of their “stat Sunday” thing they do. Advanced Sabermetrics are “new” to the game in the sense that fans haven’t had access to them until recently. They are slowly getting more momentum and if you listen to Sveum, or even guys like Olney, Jason Stark on ESPN they are starting to mention the advanced stats, you just need to know what to listen for.
                  C)Finally the all caps is a quote from the movie Gladiator with Russell Crowe, if you haven’t seen it yet, you probably should go to the local redbox or invest in Netflix.

            • Cubbie Blues

              I would say Pena had a good season with the Cubs at 2.2 WAR with a .225 AVG. That included a .357 OBP.

              • hansman1982

                If only Pena could have made consistent contact. His 2007 season was beast worthy.

                • Cubbie Blues

                  Yeah, his 26.6 K% didn’t help at all. At least he had an absurd 16.7 BB%.

    • Kyle

      Not even the slightest sliver of a chance. If you think this is remotely possible, I can think of at least three important things you really misunderstand about baseball.

    • jt

      In the 16 games between April 25 to May 11 Rizzo’s OPS was 1.172.
      For the 3 weeks before that period combined with the 3 months after that period his earned OPS is just about 0.700.
      Since May 11 he has had 327 PA’s (a half years worth) with the resultant slash line of 0.216/0.318/0.399.
      *
      For those 327 PA’s his BAbip is 0.237.
      He’s learning to hit with power with his new swing. He could increase is BAbip by not rolling over his wrists on outside pitches and hitting to left field. That is what he did April 25 to May 11.
      This period started the day he signed the new contract. I imagine he is doing what his bosses are asking.

      • Kyle

        All the games counted. No need to split them up into arbitrary subsections.

        • jt

          A contiguous 14% of games resulted in an increase in production of 167% as measured by OPS 1.170/0.700 over that earned in the other 86% of the games.
          That has to set off alarms that there was a change in at least one of set, setting and/or stimuli (environment/(what he brings to the plate)/(motivation,drugs,etc).
          *
          Stats at any single point in time have limited meaning. It is the changes, reflected in the moving averages, that indicate the players health and natural rhythms.

          • Cedlandrum

            Rizzo is having a good season this year. He isn’t having a “Really Good” year. He needs to work on his consistency in his approach. I’m not worried about him this year or going forward, but really to say this year has been really good to this point is a little overstating it. He currently ranks about middle of the pack as far as 1st baseman go in baseball.

            • jt

              I believe Rizzo is working on his approach. That would explain his “inconsistency”. As he grows into his approach perhaps his BAbip will rise and with it a consistently high production

  • jt

    Rizzo has played in 112 games this year. What he did in 16 of those games does not effect what he has done in the other 96…. except it has given him a base with which to work.
    *
    May 12 – June 20 (34 games) he had 147 PA’s with a OPS of 0.610.
    5 weeks of sucking without a grumble from press or management.
    *
    June 21 – present (41 games) 180 PA’s he has earned an OPS of 0.806. But during this period he continues to have a depressed BAbip of 0.252.
    *
    Those streaks are too long and the peripherals to close to not have something else going on.
    If he gets 10 more feet on the dead center warning track outs and/or he catches up to the outside pitches he rolls over on then his BAbip starts to rise. The last 6 weeks he has shown he is capable of being Jay Bruce. But if you look at the BAbip, he is trying to become Joey Votto.

  • N.J. Riv

    Another stellar outing by Hendricks in his Iowa debut. 7IP 4H 0ER 1BB and 5ks.

  • AD

    I saw Kyle Hendricks in his Iowa Cubs debut tonight. He was really solid. He gave up one run in six innings and only gave up two hard hit balls.

  • fromthemitten

    barefoot wine is subsidized by the government to kill homeless people it’s so vile

    • Hansman1982

      Wtf, man.

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