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great american ballparkThe Cubs shut the Reds out last night, and Edwin Jackson will look to pull of the same feat tonight. If he pitches well and the Cubs win – or, well, if he pitches crappily and the Cubs win anyway – the team will surpass its 2012 win total.

Game Info

Chicago Cubs (61-82) at Cincinnati Reds (82-63), 6:10 CT on CSN.

Game Thread and Series Preview

The Game Thread lives here. You should participate in the madness. And, of course, for those who aren’t into message board-style game threads, please feel free to use the comments on this post for your in-game commentary/outbursts.

The Series Preview lives here.

Starting Pitchers

Edwin Jackson (7-15, 4.91 ERA, 3.69 FIP)

versus

Tony Cingrani (7-3, 2.80 ERA, 3.66 FIP)

Cincinnati Reds Lineup

1. Shin-Soo Choo, CF

2. Brandon Phillips, 2B

3. Joey Votto, 1B

4. Ryan Ludwick, LF

5. Jay Bruce, RF

6. Todd Frazier, 3B

7. Zack Cozart, SS

8. Ryan Hanigan, C

9. Tony Cingrani, P

Chicago Cubs Lineup

1. Starlin Castro, SS

2. Darwin Barney, 2B

3. Anthony Rizzo, 1B

4. Donnie Murphy, 3B Dioner Navarro, C

5. Junior Lake, LF

6. Darnell McDonald, RF

7. Welington Castillo, C

8. Ryan Sweeney, CF

9. Edwin Jackson, P

  • Jason P

    So we can find playing time for struggling veterans like McDonald but not for a struggling prospect like Watkins?

    • ssckelley

      I agree, McDonald is a waste of at bats.

      • cms0101

        McDonald seems to be taking the at-bats that Gillespie was getting against lefties. Too bad Watkins doesn’t hit righty, or maybe he’d get more playing time by default. I don’t think this is a case where they want to give McDonald at-bats. They just don’t want to expose the lefties unnecessarily to a lefty pitcher.

  • CeeDeeVee

    I rather see Watkins, a lefty versus the nastiest LHP out there (Chapman?), instead of McDonald batting right handed with two bats!

    And Barney STILL batting second over Junior huh?

    • cub2014

      why is barney batting 2nd? we want him
      to get more AB in a game than Lake? Why
      not bat Lake 1st,Sweeney 2nd, Castro 3rd,
      Rizzo 4th, Castillo or Navarro 5th, Schierholtz
      6th, Valbuena or Murphy 7th, Barney 8th.

      • CeeDeeVee

        Exactly makes no sense.

      • Blublud

        This order actually makes perfect sense to me.

  • Jon

    Oh god, here come the Logan Watkins fanboys, it just never ends…

    • CeeDeeVee

      Haha this guy. So does that make you a Barney fanboy?

      • willis

        No, it’s just unreal all the Watkins love for a guy who struggled in AAA and hasn’t shown an ability to hit major league pitching to this point. It’s just kind of an odd thing the love this dude gets.

        And for the record, as crappy as Barney is with the bat, I’d rather have him batting than Watkins.

        • MichiganGoat

          I think Watkins is the new recipient of Scrappy Love which is impressive since he’s rarely played.

          • willis

            Holy crap, you’re right. He IS the new face of Scrappy Love.

            • MichiganGoat

              I was wondering who would take Campy’s place… it’s Watkins.

              • CeeDeeVee

                This by no means is “scrappy love”. The point here is why bring up a guy who has a shot at being the next guy to be at 2ns UNTIL Alcantara gets to the bigs, if you’re not gonna play him?

                And Willis, you rather have Barney bat? Im a Barney fan, and as much as I wanna see him come out of his slump, I rather have Watkins batting 9 out of 10 times. He has a wayyy better eye and plate discipline. That leads to good ABs and walks.

                • Kyle

                  I think what you should read into this is that management does not think he has a shot at being the next 2b, and I think that’s justified.

                  • CeeDeeVee

                    Yea, maybe they’re considering moving Baez over there since he’s developing faster than they thought.

                  • jaslhill

                    Now, that is a much better point to make than quoting is minor-league stats. For sure, I can definitely agree with you there.

                  • Good Captain

                    Fair enough but the other side of the coin is that Watkins should have been returned to the farm several weeks ago given his non usage at the major league level. Unless they have concluded that Watkins is now “organization filler”, it seems more appropriate to keep him playing somewhere where he can continue to accrue at bats.

                    • Pat

                      Unless you are considering him for a bench position next year. At that point it is more valuable to see how he handles that role at the major league level than having him start in the minors is.

                • jt

                  “He has a wayyy better eye and plate discipline. That leads to good ABs and walks.”
                  —CeeDeeVee
                  *
                  But make that work the batter has to have a least a little power to make the pitcher fear throwing strikes. And when the pitcher does throw a hittable pitch the batter has to hit it.
                  Watkins has not done much of either this year.

        • jaslhill

          I don’t know if you can judge a guy on 28 PAs in the majors. I’d like to see him in for an extended time just to get a good look at what he might be able to do. We know what we have in Barney, and wins don’t matter at this point … what does it hurt?

          • MightyBear

            I agree jaslhill.

            • jaslhill

              That’s not good, because I don’t like Bears. Might have to change my stance …

          • Kyle

            Can I judge him on what he’s done in the minors? That’d be preferable.

            • jaslhill

              As much as you can judge Barney on what he’s done in the majors. He does not get on base enough, period. He has a negative WAR, according to baseball-reference – and that includes factoring in gold-glove defense. That’s how bad an offensive player he’s been.

              This is less about what Watkins has done (which is mild success in the minors and a small sample size this year) and more about the person blocking him from PAs. Watkins may well fall flat on his face. That’s just fine. Send him and his flat face packing, then. But the fact that he does not get any PAs because Darwin Barney is batting? No dice.

              • Kyle

                If you want to believe Baseball-Reference’s defensive metrics (which are pretty inferior) *and* ignore BABIP, that is your prerogative. I don’t think that’s a good way to evaluate a player, though.

                • jt

                  Barney’s FB rate is up. Both his GB and LD rates are down.
                  Yeah, his HR/FB is up but he hits so few… so what?
                  Therein lies the secret of his “depressed” BAbip or 0.228.
                  The BAbip of 2012 was a whopping 0.278.
                  The guy can’t bloop and blast. His bloops are being caught and his attempts to blast result in weak ground balls and infield flies.

                  • Kyle

                    All of those explain why Barney might have a lower BABIP. None of them explain why it would be in the .220s. He’s like a reverse Junior Lake.

              • Pat

                Because Barney is the starter and Watkins was brought up for the bench. Now I would prefer Barney not start next year, but at this point you can’t rule it out.

        • http://vdcinc.biz 70′scub

          The point is why bring up Watkins as a AAA player before 9-1 and bench him? The player in front of him is Batting 215 this move I would assume means the FO plans to release him after the season, 8 weeks major league pay (not bad as a final send off).

          • Kyle

            Because his future is as a bench player, so it doesn’t hurt anything.

            • Jason P

              Yes, it still does. Future bench players still need to develop.

          • mjhurdle

            Someone else already answered this i think, but it probably had more to do with the 40 man roster than it did anything else.
            Instead of adding someone to it when players got injured, they elected to bring up Watkins, probably because they weren’t sold on him being a big league starter anyway (as Kyle mentioned) and so they werent worried about ‘messing up his development’ as they might be with other prospects (Alcantara for example).
            By the time everyone was healthy, the choice was to send him back down for the last week or so of Iowa’s season, or leave him up and let him get time with big league coaches.
            At least, that is my take on it.

        • Chef Brian

          God, I agree. I dont get what Watkins has done to be the heir apparent to 2nd base in some of these guys minds. Please someone put this “Scrappy Factor” to rest. ;-)

    • Jason P

      Watkins is one year removed from being the Cubs positional minor league player of the year when he had arguably a better season in AA than Arismendy Alcantara this year at the same position. Based on his minor league track record before this year, his numbers suggest he could become an average regular, and I think there’s a huge double standard going on with people writing him while simultaneously giving guys like Olt a free pass after they struggle their first year in AAA.

      Watkins should not have been up on August 4th, injuries or not, just because we needed a body.

      • Hansman1982

        If a months worth of reduced playing time (while working with big league caliber hitting coaches and equipment) ruins Logan Watkins as a player, he wasn’t anything special.

        I think they should have had him playing full-time over Murphy to start with but I have to think our FO is smart enough to do what is best for Watkins.

        • Jason P

          I never said it was going to ruin him, but it’s also never a good thing when a prospect loses out on a month’s worth of AB’s. And sure, he gets to work with the big league coaches, but it’s pretty tough to work on implementing anything they teach when your getting 2 ABs a week. For Jackson and Vitters last year, that point was legit because they actually cracked the lineup on a regular basis, but with Watkins, I find it hard to believe sitting on the bench a month longer than necessary is a good thing for his development.

          • mjhurdle

            “I find it hard to believe sitting on the bench a month longer than necessary is a good thing for his development.”

            I understand that, but there are really only two options here.
            1) the Front Office is ignorant, and cannot see that Watkins obviously should be starting, even when message board posters everywhere can see this is the right thing to do
            2) the Front Office has more information regarding Watkin’s situation and the reason for his callup than message board posters, and are making the best baseball decision they can regarding his use.

            i go with option 2

            • Jason P

              Or they just needed a warm body for the bench, and they didn’t think losing a month of playing time was that big a deal. That 1 month obviously isn’t going to make or break him as a player, but — I don’t care how great the Cubs MLB coaching staff is — getting 15 instead of 120 ABs per month can’t be good for a developing player.

              Anyway, my larger point is that Watkins should be higher on the depth chart than Donnie Murphy or Darnell McDonald — regardless of how great Murphy’s been. My frustration’s more with Sveum for not playing him — and I’m not even asking for 6 starts a week, 2 would be fine. There’s no reason whatsoever to play guys over 30 on 1 year deals in September of a rebuilding season.

              • mjhurdle

                Watkins shouldn’t be higher on the depth chart than McDonald, because one is an OF and one is an IF.
                Watkins has played 65 games in the OF in his career, with only 20 of them coming after A ball.
                I dont think they view him as an OF, so McDonald shouldn’t matter really in the Watkins equation.
                As far as Murphy, we have to agree to disagree on that. I would much rather see if Murphy can maintain his production and maybe be a good IF stop-gap/bench player next year than see if Watkins can magically capture his AA season again in the bigs.

                • Jason P

                  Most reports on Watkins defense in the outfield in the minors said that it was fine, and I’m sure it would be fine at one of the corners.

                  Murphy has an 8-year track record in the bigs that says he’s a fringe roster guy at best. He is what he is, and a handful of at bats in September aren’t going to change what he is.

  • Randy

    I am saddened to be a Cub fan when you are playing old McDonald , among others pieces of CRAP… Play someone who has an opportunity to play next year. What a bunch of bshit.

    • MichiganGoat

      Yeah that bullshit is really doing poorly tonight… smh

      • cub2014

        Svuem is smarter than we think put his best
        hitters 4 thru 8 in the lineup and they can
        knock each other in.

      • cubsfanforever

        Really. Why don’t you hang your hat on that everyday. I am sure the Cubs will be WS champs with this group. WOW

  • willis

    That was a blast by Castillo. Just obliterated that ball.

    • mjhurdle

      just saw the replay, and totally agree. He absolutely crushed that.

  • jt

    Barney’s OPS vs LHP is 0.723
    Valbuena’s OPS vs RHP is 0.740
    Assuming Valbuena is still a good fielding 2B, which is not a given, they could platoon to an above avg 2B.

    • Drew7

      I like it.

      Also, check out the production from the Catcher’s spot this year (through yesterday):

      .281/.354/.418
      6th in MLB in wRC+ with a 112
      4.1 WAR

      • Drew7

        …and those numbers are gonna jump after tonight, obviously.

  • willis

    Junior Lake gives me that funny feeling. Love that guy.

  • tgk

    Live in Ky so I only have the Reds announcers. Brantley sounds like he is at a funeral.

  • cub2014

    Len and Jim were talking about if “reached on
    error” should be included in BA because their
    is to some degree skill related to reaching by
    error.
    I have been saying this all summer that this
    should be included in OBP. I don’t see why it
    wouldn’t. Maybe we need a new stat “TOBP”.
    Shouldn’t be included in BA though.

  • Bill

    cub2014,

    I kind of agree with your point. A speedy guy is probably going to get on base, via error, more often, because fielders aren’t going to have as much time to recover if they don’t field the ball cleanly.

  • another JP

    Who cares about the merits of playing time between Watkins or McDonald on a day that the Cubbies are destroying the Reds playoff chances? Seeing guys like Castillo and Lake rake against this God-forsaken, Dust-bag led group of showboating a-holes from Cincy makes me giddy. After some of the lucky wins they pulled out over us earlier this season this is a well deserved ass kicking before their home crowd. Choke on it Brennaman.

  • Blublud

    Look. Say what you will about Junior Lake and his lucky, unsustainable stats, the kid is a gamer and until it is proven other wise, no advanced metrics or expected regression should keep him from a guaranteed starting spot next season.

    • mjhurdle

      “no advanced metrics or expected regression should keep him from a guaranteed starting spot next season.”

      he shouldn’t be kept from the chance at earning a starting spot next year based on expected regression.
      Just like he shouldn’t be handed a starting spot based on small sample size.
      i’m all for giving him a chance, and (barring any crazy FA pickups) i think he would probably win a starting job.
      but this talk of just giving him next year’s job right now is a bit premature.

      • Blublud

        Lake has 201 at-bats. While a career, that does not make, it is beyond a small sample size. 201 at-bats is more then enough to tell what kind of player he is. 301 at-bats is beyond the point that most stats normalize for a season.

        Also, Lake has proven he can play here, while it has not been proven that he can’t. Until then, he should be a starter. He is the only OF we have that should be guaranteed a starting. Even over Schierholtz.

        • Drew7

          “301 at-bats is beyond the point that most stats normalize for a season”

          Where are you getting that?

          First off, not all stats begin to stabilize at one point: batted-ball rates, for one, tend to be reliable with far fewer PA’s than OBP or SLG%, which tend to take close to a full season.

          • DocPeterWimsey

            Not to pimp myself, but – who am I kidding, I love to pimp myself – I posted some R-code for putting error bars on rates of any sort a few weeks back. So, here are 1-unit support error bars on Lake’s OBP and BABiP as of now. 1 unit support is conceptually similar to a standard deviation: so, there is still a lot of uncertainty here!

            [img]http://imageshack.com/scaled/large/838/2s44.jpg[/img]

            (I would bet that BABiP fluctuates even more broadly than the support bars would suggest because of non-random clustering of different teams and ballparks in the schedule.)

        • Drew7
          • mjhurdle

            that article and the one referenced in it, are both really, really informative.
            thanks for sharing the knowledge!

          • jt

            http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/when-samples-become-reliable/
            –Drew7
            I look at the roller-coaster of sustained lengths of PA’s formed by the moving avg of Schierholz’s OPS for this season and wonder how that can be normalized into a single player.
            I looked at the OPS variation over spans of years earned by several star players (Swisher, Beltre, Butler to name a few) and wonder how each of them can be normalized into the single player that they are to be defined as.
            Some players get mentally or physically tired; others play hurt, a few just can’t hit in a particular park because it is too small or too big or the wind blows in.
            Sure, we can be certain that Donny Murphy is not going to a HR ever 11 AB’s as he has done over the past 110. Nor is he going to maintain the 0.950+ OPS he has hit over the past 135 PA’s. But maybe, just maybe he will improve the 0.643 OPS he carried into the season in his previous 640 PA’s. Can you say that as a platoon guy he can’t attain a 0.725 or 0.730 over 250 to 300 PA’s?
            I can understand the estimated rates of K, BB, HR per PA. But I believe Cutter sets the bar at 550 PA’s for SLG, OBP and OPS because they really don’t normalize in a meaningful way.

        • Eternal Pessimist

          Castro had 3 years worth of sample size, but his OPS slipped .150 from his prior average over those three years. Not really sure what kind of player Castro is now.

        • mjhurdle

          if i had to choose one OF that i would guarantee a job to next year, then i agree, i would choose Lake.
          But i just dont think any of them have entered the realm of ‘absolute starter’. that is more of a personal opinion though.

        • hansman1982

          At 301 PA, the only stats that have begun to have significance are K and BB rates.

          • hansman1982

            Well, shit, I was wrong:

            50 PA: Swing %
            100 PA: Contact Rate
            150 PA: Strikeout Rate, Line Drive Rate, Pitches/PA
            200 PA: Walk Rate, Groundball Rate, GB/FB
            250 PA: Flyball Rate
            300 PA: Home Run Rate, HR/FB

  • another JP

    And for the Junior Lake doubters re: his high BABIP… his rate of .388 entering tonight is only slightly over his career mark in the minors and his K% & BB% is in line with career norms. Not like I was his biggest supporter but the kid is impressing the hell out of me- and he’s about to surpass Rizzo’s WAR value in 1/3 the PAs. Looks like a starter in the OF next year to me.

    • Drew7

      BABIP is higher in the minors than the Majors because of better defense, pitching, and field conditions.

      Lake’s BABIP will always be on the high-side because of his speed and ability to bunt for a hit, but some amount of regression is still going to be expected.

      • Blublud

        Right. Lake could regress quite a bit on his BABIP and still be a 290/340/430 type of guy. A .770 OPS on this team and he a starter at almost any position.

        • Drew7

          Not all regression to the mean can be analyzed with BABIP.

          • cub2014

            safe at 1st! should have been 3rd hit.

            • Blublud

              Yes. I do believe he was safe

          • Blublud

            I just used BABIP because that’s what the conversation is about. Junior Lake Is a starter on this team clearly. Until proven otherwise, anyone can take there advanced metrics and go to hell.

            • Drew7

              OK, but you can’t just adjust his BABIP to normal, subtract that number from his OBP and SLG, then call it a day – regression doesn’t work that way.

              These 200 PA’s matter: he could have made some adjustments or something of that nature. But the amount of noise in a 200 PA sample is significant enough that you can’t say, with a ton of confidence, that *this* is the real Junior Lake.

              • Blublud

                First off, that’s not what I did. I actually think Lake will develop more power, so his BABIP could drop and his OPS could still stay the same.

                Plus, I never said this was the real Lake. But until it is proven otherwise, there is nobody on this team or on our radar who should prevent Lake from starting. Even his lefty/righty splits are ridiculously good.

                • Drew7

                  “First off, that’s not what I did. I actually think Lake will develop more power, so his BABIP could drop and his OPS could still stay the same.”

                  So, that *is* what you did, you just added your own projection.

                  “Plus, I never said this was the real Lake.”

                  Intentional or not, by doing what you did the 1st paragraph, that’s kinda what you’re doing: the rate stats you are using have a significant amount of variance tied to them (see: Doc’s post above).

                  • Blublud

                    Actually I didn’t. I said COULD. He COULD continue what he did this year next year, or he COULD hit .200 and play himself back to the minors. He COULD become a 20 or 30 HR guy, or his career high COULD be 6 when he retires. There are a lot of COULDS.

                    All I’m saying is he has earned a starting job for next year, unless we sign or trade for 3 players better then him.

                    • Bill

                      Blublud,

                      Good points.

                      Why are people just harping on the negatives? We get it that Lake’s numbers will likely decline as the BABIP comes down to a more reasonable level. We got it after the 1st time it was posted, we’ve certainly got the point after the 1000th post pointing it out. This doesn’t change the fact he should be starting over any of the guys in the OF now and unless they pick up a couple of big FA OF’s he should be starting in the OF next year (to start the season). That could change if he doesn’t produce.

                      Who in the hell are you playing ahead of him? You giving the starting jobs to guys who have a hot spring?

                    • MichiganGoat

                      So by this same logic has Murphy earned a starting job?

                    • MichiganGoat

                      Murphy has a more sustainable BABIP and a better OPS than Lake. Lake does have 80 more PA than Murphy but the chatter about Lake earning a starting job happened long before he reached 200 PA. So why aren’t fans drooling over Murphy like the do Lake or screaming for him to get more starts like people want from Watkins. Hasn’t he earned a starting job and/or more at bats? I’m always amazed how fans attach themselves to some players and ignore others.

                    • hansman1982

                      Ahh, see, it is more likely that he hits .200 than he hits 30 HR a year.He’s, basically, the same offensive player as Castro just without the contact tool.

                    • jt

                      vs RHP Murphy has a 0.418 SLG and a 0.296 OBP.
                      That is a 0.714 OPS. Based upon his close to 130 2013 MLB PA’s is unreasonable to think he could raise his SLG vs RHP to 0.425 and his OBP vs RHP to 0.300?
                      Valbuena’s OPS is 0.729
                      Lg avg OPS for a 2013 2B is 0.707.
                      If The Cubs were to trade Barney it would seem they would make a reasonable 2B platoon until help arrived from the farm.

    • Brains

      Yes but other minor leaguers will someday exist, so we’d better dump on him and argue that his achievements are fake and that he couldn’t possibly contribute to the team. This kid is rocking the boat by trying.

      • hansman1982

        I love that you honestly think this is what the argument is.

        • Brains

          me too

        • TOOT

          “Ahh, see, it is more likely that he hits .200 than he hits 30 HR a year.He’s, basically, the same offensive player as Castro just without the contact tool.”

          What does this say about the big whiz called Rizzo. His contract was a joke. Theo made the BIG mistake of letting his personal feelings interfere with business. And here we are with a .230 first baseman(maybe) hitting maybe 25 homers and 100 RBI’s? 75 million dollar man.

          • Brains

            Yes but Rizzo’s struggles are the team’s struggles. He’s just not a mature hitter yet. With lineup protection he’ll grow into a solid hitter. Theo does his own team a disservice by not taking them seriously and refusing to invest in other hitters. With a solid #2 and #4 he hits 280 this year with a 370obp. Y’all just miss fundamentals and see players as isolated pieces. There needs to be harmony for a team to win. Theo’s time in Boston has made him come to hate harmony.

            • Billy

              Lineup protection is a myth!!

              • Brains

                A myth perpetrated by winners.

                It’s definitely less important for established stars, but it’s crucial for developing talent. Central. Any other claim is disingenuous or invented by basement dwellers.

                • jh03

                  #logic

                • mjhurdle

                  well, one side of the “lineup protection is a myth’ debate provides stats.
                  the other side says ‘they are wrong! lineup protection matters!’

                  not saying the stat guys are 100% right, but i think i give them the benefit of the doubt over people that provide nothing but opinion.

                  • Hansman1982

                    Giancarlo Stanton would be the greatest test study in history for lineup protection and we’ve seen a drop of 4% of pitches in the zone for him.

                    This is going from a good-ish lineup to a AAA filled team.

                    We saw a larger drop from his 2010 to 2011 seasons.

                    • Brains

                      I am all for getting Stanton, if we can without selling the whole farm.

        • TOOT

          Sorry, 47 mil man.

  • cubsin

    I think the Cubs will try to find a Winter League spot somewhere for Watkins so he can get the additional at-bats he missed in August. If he has a future at all with the Cubs, it will be as a utility infielder and pitch-hitter, so he needs to get used to coming off the bench.

  • another JP

    Fifth inning… cue the typical EJax cave-in. Get somebody ready and pull his ass now Sveum or get ready for another disgusting loss in a game we should easily win.

    • another JP

      Thanks for not giving it up EJax. You make me nervous dude.

  • mjhurdle

    you cant stop EJax, you can only hope to contain him

  • Jeff

    What’s up with EJax not giving up 5 runs?????????????????????????

  • Werner

    What is Donnie Ballgame’s status as a player? Is he under team control next year?

    • http://bleachenation Sacko

      Donny keeps doing what he’s doing and it’s almost a sure thing Barney is traded during off season. In addition we could get something decent from him. It’s been said other teams want him a short. Sure gonna miss that 220 BA. Holy, could be?

      • http://bleachenation Sacko

        Still think Hotz should get some AB’s against lefties. He’s done more in every other category this year then b4. Why not? Holy doubt it not w DALE.

    • MichiganGoat

      I believe he is a FA he was released by the Brewers and we picked him up on a one year deal.

      • http://bleachenation Sacko

        Who Schierholtz? I think we have him another year.

    • ssckelley

      Murphy can be offered arbitration this off season.

  • willis

    Another great game from the cubs. And dropping Dusty another game behind in the standings…that’s too good.

    Great pitching from EJax and many bombs. Lovely.

  • http://www.bleachernation.com salesguy

    Lake 2 for 4 with 2 runs scored and a walk, totally earned his day off that we all know is coming tomorrow.

    • willis

      Heh. That’s funny.

    • Mike

      Definitely needs a day off. We don’t want to overwork him. Plus, three outfielders in their late 20s are what is going to led the Cubs to the promise land in 2015. Dale needs to get them their starts!

  • DEEP PURPLE

    If Lake would run through the bag instead of lunging for it, he would have even more hits. Murphy has successfully adjusted to the adjustments and hasn’t peed in a cup like Ryan Braun. Shocking! At his floor he is still a functional bench player who won’t hurt you at three positions, and his plate appearances at his worst don’t seem like an ideal time to hit the concession stand. Even that floor isn’t something the Cubs have had since forever.

  • cub2014

    Since Lake has been getting his rest?
    w/ Lake 5-2 5.5 runs per game
    w/o Lake 2-3 3.2 runs per game

    Team Stats since Lake was called up:
    *Good news Cubs last 12: 7-5 4.5 runs per game
    *2nd half of August 5-10 3.8 runs per game
    *1st half of August: 5-8 3.3 runs per game
    *July after all star break: 6-7 2.9 runs per game
    Trending towards more runs

  • cub2014

    Stats were wrong:
    Had a game in there by mistake.
    Last 11 games: 6-5, runs 4.8
    w/lake 4-3, runs 5.6
    w/o lake 2-2, runs 3.5

    • cub2014

      w/o lake as the starter

  • Jason (Thundrmug)

    Hey Brett, I know it’s nitpicking some but I noticed that we have 39 Road Divisional Games to 37 home Divisional Games shouldn’t they make it 38 Road and 38 Home IMO.plus we have an extra Road Game @ the Big three from this season Cincy, St. Louis, and Pittsburgh

    Breakdown Cincy 10 R 9 H, St. Louis 10 R 9 H, Pittsburgh 10 R 9 H while Milwaukee is our only 10 H and 9 Away

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