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masahiro tanakaThere’s a great offseason read from Jerry Crasnick as he did his thing at the GM Meetings this week.

Crasnick spoke with 21 GMs, assistant GMs, player personnel people and scouts to poll them on seven pressing offseason questions. It’s fun to see what folks in the industry think when they’re free to speak freely with the cloak of anonymity.

The Cubs don’t feature prominently in many of the answers, though one GM pegged the Cubs as the team that will sign Robinson Cano (one other said the Dodgers, and the rest said the Yankees). That GM, you should know, said he didn’t have any inside information and was just guessing. Although I don’t see the Cubs laying out more than $200 million for Cano, it is an interesting reminder of how limited the market for Cano’s services could be. We know the Yankees are in, but the Dodgers might actually be out, what with having signed Alexander Guerrero already. The polled executives believe Cano lands a seven or eight-year deal in the $160 to $230 million range. Hey, at the extreme low end of that – eight years and $160 million – I think it might not be an utterly insane deal. Too bad he’ll do better.

Unlike Cano, the responses were very spread out on Masahiro Tanaka. The Cubs got one vote, as did the Giants, Mariners, and Blue Jays. The Yankees got six votes, and the Dodgers led the pack with nine. Two executives didn’t guess. I guess I’m surprised that the Yankees didn’t lap the pack, what with the posting fee not counting as salary for luxury tax purposes. But, hey, never bet against L.A. and SIGN ALL THE PLAYERS. Just about all of the polled execs believes that Tanaka’s contract will exceed the $60 million Yu Darvish got (and I’d assume that means they think the posting fee will be higher, too).

Give Crasnick’s piece a read for the full details on those two questions, as well as the other five. Teaser: the Cubs were not among the teams mentioned in a possible David Price trade. The Astros did get a vote, which probably looks to outsiders as crazy as the Cubs getting a vote on Cano.

  • Jono

    Well, Cano is a lefty, middle of order, bat….. ;)

  • Fishin Phil

    I just love this time of year, random crap just flies in every direction! I could start a rumor that Lady Gaga is actually Brett in drag, and that would not even make the top 3 of outrageous rumors for the day.

    • YourResidentJag

      Fishin Phil talkin Lady Gaga..now there’s something you’d only hear on BN.

  • Blublud

    I would not be suprised if they Cubs sign Cano, but I doubt it.

    However, I expect the Cubs to get Tanaka.

  • On The Farm

    “I would not be suprised if they Cubs sign Cano, but I doubt it.”

    Seems like you are playing both sides of the coin with that statement.

    • Blublud

      Nah. It just means that I don’t expect them to, but I feel the money is there for him to be signed, so I wouldn’t be caught of guard by it.

      Come on man, you know I’m not the straddle the fence type. Definitely not scared to state what side of things I’m on.

      • Eternal Pessimist

        I would not have my mind completely blown if the Cubs get Cano, but I would be seriously shocked.

  • Required

    I see the Cubs swinging and missing on all the free agents they make a play for. Which goes without saying they are consistent.

  • oswego chris

    If they have scouted him enough…I would post between 65-75M…

    • oswego chris

      yes…I know it’s not my money….

  • Jason

    That GM that has Cano going to the cubs. I think he had a few to many drinks at the hotel.

    • On The Farm

      That or he was double dog dared to say it and didn’t want to lose his credibility among the boys.

      • Jono

        I bet it’s a lot of both

  • Die hard

    Olt to Yankees in works?

    • MichiganGoat

      One of these days you will link your thoughts and rumors… one day… one day… one day… one day… nah why expect that.

    • mjhurdle

      it was in the works, but Ozzie shot it down after talking to Kessinger. The Yankees are trading for Bud Black now.

      • Die hard

        They need 3B help.. Not unrealistic

        • mjhurdle

          well, aside from the fact that Black hasn’t played since 1956, he was also a pitcher, not a 3B.
          So i feel safe saying Black to the Yankees in a trade is unrealistic. :)

    • Jono

      I could see the yankees (and other teams) having interest in Olt next off-season if he has a solid year at 3B and Bryant is ready to start 2015 at that position

  • itzscott

    National Enquirer – Bleacher Nation Edition

  • Jon

    Ken Rosenthal ‏@Ken_Rosenthal 17m

    Owner: “Serious reservations” among clubs about posting process. Possible no agreement is reached, which means no Tanaka this off-season.

  • papabear

    75 mil will not come close to the posting (just my guess). Doesn’t count against the cap – yankee’s and Dodgers will be above 100mil.

  • YourResidentJag

    Ken Rosenthal ‏@Ken_Rosenthal 35m
    Owner: “Serious reservations” among clubs about posting process. Possible no agreement is reached, which means no Tanaka this off-season.

    • YourResidentJag

      Whoops sorry for the double post.

  • Mike

    There is no chance in hell the Cubs get Cano. With the new posting rules there is 0% chance the Cubs get Tanaka. The only way we get him is if the yankees and dodgers bow out which isn’t going to happen.

    • Edwin

      I would think in #CubsHell, the Cubs sign Cano, who takes off his mask, and the Cubs find out they’ve accidently re-signed Alfonso Soriano. Whoops!

  • CubsFaninMS

    If I were a betting man, here is what I believe our odds are of making moves this offseason:

    1. Winning the bid on Tanaka: 15%
    2. Trading Samardzija for prospects: 50%
    3. Trading prospects for prospects with Florida Marlins: 5%
    4. Acquiring Scott Kazmir, Josh Johnson, and/or Ervin Santana: 85%
    5. Trading Schierholtz for prospects: 40%
    6. Trading Samardzija/Schierholtz in same trade for impact talent and greatly simplying the Cubs player names: 40%
    7. Trading Starlin Castro for prospects: 25%
    8. Acquiring Nelson Cruz, or Corey Hart: 50%
    9. Acquring Jacoby Ellsbury: 35%
    10. Acquiring Shin Soo-Choo: 50%

    • cow142

      I think that is pretty spot on.

      • Stefan

        hmm. I don’t buy the chances. If you go by it, ~3.9 (out of 10) of the “predictions” would be reasonable expected to happen by the given chances. That appears way to high from my perspective without judging the merits of any of the predictions.

  • Blackhawks1963

    Baseless rumor mill run amuk to draw attention to sad sack baseball “reporters” with poor writing skills, no original thought and time on their hands. Rubbish.

    I’m a big fan Brett, but you need to discriminate as the rumor sources you post on here. Crikey.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      Easy, governor. This isn’t a rumor piece, and I was pretty clear about my take on these two, isolated executives’ thoughts.

    • hansman

      Like this:

      “That GM, you should know, said he didn’t have any inside information and was just guessing.”

      or:

      “The Astros did get a vote, which probably looks to outsiders as crazy as the Cubs getting a vote on Cano. ”

      or:

      “It’s fun to see what folks in the industry think when they’re free to speak freely with the cloak of anonymity.”

      Ya, I guess Brett needs to put “ZOMG THIS IS ONLY A RUMORMONGERING PIECE” in 96 point font at the start of his rumor posts now.

    • Fishin Phil

      Embrace the rumors! It is fun! You don’t have to believe them, you can just read and giggle.

  • KielOvher

    How about Ubaldo Jimenez? I know he’s tied to a draft pick, but still interesting. No?

    • bbmoney

      I think so.

      He’s the kind of player who’s value could take a hit because of the compensation attached too, at least for teams that would have to give up a 1st rounder, which should help a team like the Cubs.

  • EQ76

    I would love to see a team offer a FA a 1 year deal for like 40 million.. just to see if they’d take it. Let’s offer Cano a 1 year, 40 mil. deal.. why the heck not? no worries about his age at the end of the contract, no worries about declining skills, and hey, we can always trade him at the deadline for a great prospect if we eat a lot of the salary.

  • Brains

    YES – i will stick to my pledge should even one of these happen

  • http://BN Sacko

    Cano’s name popping up anywhere is going to be interesting, There is a 1% chance he will be a Cub. For the Dumb and Dumber yes, there is a chance! Where he lands becomes more interesting these days as very few predicted what happened to Pujols.
    Get Tanaka would be a great sign we are going to get serious about this team Now!

  • Moises Canchola

    Lets say the Cubs finally start going in on key guys Brett and they Get Cano and Tanaka and maybe another player who is on the rebound. Where would you see Darwin Barney playing or would he be traded? I would like to see Barney at 3rd if Cano comes

  • Brains

    I do think we need Cano more than Tanaka, but I’m hopeful we get one of them and wouldn’t complain if we got either. If we signed Cano to a big deal I would even relent on Tom “$20 Bison Dog” Ricketts.

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