Quantcast

javier baez aflHumans like to see patterns. In fact, as a species we’re really good at it. Our brains can take a perfectly innocent hunk of wood and see the face of that vicious wood spirit that is totally going to eat your face just as soon as you fall asleep. We can look at a basic cloud and see hieroglyphics that foretelling the coming of giant turtles bearing mushroom pizzas to all mankind.

The human mind can spot these patterns in events as well as in random shapes. For example, we can hear that one story that friend of your Mom’s former coworker used to tell about some guy who wore orange and green when taking exams in medical school and somehow find a lesson in it that is applicable to situations that have absolutely nothing to do with medical school, exams, or the colors orange and green.

We are so amazingly good at finding patterns that we can draw conclusions about things and events from virtually no data at all. We jump to conclusions so frequently and on so many things that it seems very strange when anyone says something like “We don’t have enough evidence to know that,” or “We really need to let more data accumulate before we can draw conclusions.” People who talk in that manner are dismissed as being in denial, or, worse, trying to cover up some hidden truth.

And yet those oddball statements are often true.  Not all individual events are indicators of significant trends.  When the sample size is small, data can look very strange.  Just because you got a bad hamburger at that one burger chain, for example, does not mean all burgers produced by all locations of that chain are bad. And the fact that a particular road had heavy traffic on a Thursday morning does not mean you need to detour an extra fifteen miles every Thursday morning to get to work.

And just because the Cubs showed a remarkable inability to drive in runs in their first few games of the season does not mean that there is something critically and chronically wrong with the team. It could still be true that there is in fact something critically and chronically wrong, a lack of evidence tends to fail to point in any direction that differs from the norm equally, but the point is we don’t know. If there is a horrific lack of leadership, or an abundance of terrible coaching, or a conglomeration of players who mentally go to pieces when there is a runner on base, or any of the other wacky theories being bounced around the internet, we can’t know it yet. The evidence just doesn’t exist in sufficient quantity to mean anything.

For the time being any conclusions about the 2014 baseball season run up against the small sample size problem, and that goes for the minor leagues as well. Some of the numbers referenced below could be quite scary or ridiculously exciting if taken out of the context of their sample size.  Both emotions are probably unwarranted.

I think the best thing a baseball fan at any level can do in the month of April is kick back and enjoy the games. When the calendar rolls around to May we’ll have the data we need to start studying this season for real, and that’s when the analytical fun really begins.

Oh, and keep an eye on that wood spirit. Your face looks tasty and he’s got to be hungry by now…

Scores From The Weekend

Iowa -
Friday – Getting shut out is bad. Getting shut out 9-0 by the Redbirds is worse.
Saturday – At least it wasn’t a shut out. The Cubs lost this one 11-1.
Sunday – They coughed up three errors, but the Cubs got their first win of the season 4-3.

Tennessee -
Friday – The Smokies earned their first win in this 1-0 shutout.
Saturday – A rain shortened game that featured two Smokies errors ended with a 5-0 Tennessee loss.
Sunday – The Smokies committed two more errors and lost this game 3-2.

Daytona -
Friday – This one went into ten innings, but Daytona came up short 4-3.
Saturday – The Cubs scored multiple runs in five different innings on their way to a 13-2 easy win.
Sunday – Daytona had Sunday off.

Kane County -
Friday – This game was postponed on account of cold. This just proves that all minor league stadiums should have retractable roofs.
Saturday – Friday’s game was made up as part of a doubleheader on Saturday (remember that, in the minors, doubleheaders are 7 inning games). Game Two was a 2-1 loss for the Cougars, but they won the opener in ten innings 5-4.
Sunday – They lost on Sunday, though, 7-3.

Performances of Note

  • [Iowa] Javier Baez did pick up his first hit of the season on Sunday, and because he is Javier Baez that hit was of course a home run. He has also walked once and struck 6 times in 12 trips to the plate.  More on him later.
  • [Iowa] Josh Vitters, on the other hand, is playing like a guy who has beaten up Triple A in the past (he has) and needs a ticket to Chicago (he does). His early season now contains a pair of doubles, a home run, and just two strikeouts.
  • [Iowa] The early pitching for the Triple A Cubs has not been all that great, with a couple exceptions. Eric Jokisch threw a very nice 7 inning start on Sunday (2 runs on 6 hits, 1 BB, 3 K), and Zac Rosscup has appeared in two games so far and has yet to allow a hit while striking out three.
  • [Tennessee] The standout pitching performance of the weekend came on Friday from C.J. Edwards. He only pitched four innings (63 pitches), but in that time he struck out 4 and allowed just one walk and one hit.
  • [Tennessee] Armando Rivero struck out four in relief in that same Friday game.
  • [Tennessee] Kris Bryant has three hits on the season now, and only two of them are home runs. He also has two walks against five strike outs.
  • [Tennessee] And on the down side, Rubi Silva is up to 10 strikeouts on the young season. He has doubled as part of his three hits, but the line for this April slump currently reads .188/.188/.250.
  • [Daytona] On Saturday there were plenty of multi-hit games to go around. Albert Almora had 5 (all singles), Tim Saunders (with a double and a walk), Pin-Chieh Chen (all doubles), and Gioskar Amaya (all singles) had 3 each, and Willson Contreras and Oliver Zapata each chipped in a pair. The Cubs only home run in that game came from Jeimer Candelario.
  • [Daytona] Tayler Scott pitched a very good game on Saturday as well. Over 7 innings he allowed just two hits and a walk while striking out two.
  • [Kane County] Jacob Hannemann and Danny Canela both homered in the make-up game. In addition to the long ball, Hannemann also has three steals so far this season.
  • [Kane County] Tyler Skulina breezed through six innings of two hit ball on Saturday, walking one and striking out a pair. Juan Paniagua struggled early on Sunday, but settled down to allow two runs in four innings despite giving up three hits and four walks while striking out four.

Other News

  • Yes, Javier Baez has 6 strikeouts in 12 trips to the plate, but No, you should not be worried. A spike of strikeouts on arriving at a new level conforms with Baez’s pattern through his minor league career and is exactly what I expected to see. On November 5 of last year I wrote the following:

    Baez will once again be the talk of Spring Training in 2014, but I do not see him breaking camp with the Cubs under any circumstances. He’ll head to Iowa and open the year posting a K% in the mid to high 30% range again,and many fans will label him a bust and rail at the front office for not trading him while they had the chance. Baez will make adjustments and pull his K% down into the mid to low 20% range. And, after it stays there for 100 PAs or so, he will head to Chicago. I doubt his Major League debut takes place before June 15, but it will take place in 2014 (barring injury).

  • So far, then, Baez is simply right on schedule. Look for him to fluctuate between bad looking, high strikeout games and better looking, moderate strikeout games for a few weeks, and then settle into a consistent pattern of murdering baseballs. Fans and media alike will freak out while his strikeout rate stays elevated early in the season, but I am fairly confident that it will come down. We’ve seen this movie before, folks, and it ended in one of the most offensively prolific minor league seasons I’ve ever witnessed. There is no need to worry about Baez just yet.
  • Diehardthefirst

    With Texeira Braun and Puig out there may be teams willing to deal

    • ssckelley

      I am not sure how long Puig is out but I would love for the Cubs to talk to the Dodgers about the availability of Matt Kemp. Kemp looks healthy and when Puig comes back he appears to be the odd man out. I know he is owed a ton of money but the Cubs should have room in the payroll and if they are willing to eat the contract the Cubs might not have to give up very much in terms of prospects.

      • Jon

        Eithier is the odd man out

        • ssckelley

          I am still interested, Ethier is owed less money than Kemp.

        • CubFanBob

          There would be a revolt in the dogers lineup if either is traded and Puig is on the team

          • Jon

            Eithier is owed over 70 million the next 4 years. I have to think they would drive him to the airport

            • CubFanBob

              “Eithier is owed over 70 million the next 4 years. I have to think they would drive him to the airport”

              Front office sure, but the rift created in the clubhouse for shipping Eithier out over Puig would be grab your popcorn and sit back moment.

              • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                I doubt it. There wasn’t much revolt when Puig was getting full playing time over Ethier.

                If anything the players would probably appreciate that the FO shipped him somewhere he can start.

          • ssckelley

            Hey if the Dodgers are growing tired of the young Puig then I am all ears on him as well. Success came too quick and too fast for Puig, I think there is some room for maturity. The Dodgers would be stupid to trade him.

      • http://BN Sacko

        I don’t think talks would be very serious for the Dodgers dealing a OF when one of the OF is hurt. Sound interesting but I don’t see The Cubs giving up much of anything right now. With Olt making the team. There is going to be a cluster of Minors coming up by the end of this year. Everyone has to play somewhere. I don’t disagree with you but it appears FO is really counting on MiL players to make it.

        • ssckelley

          Which is why I mentioned “when Puig comes back”. Obviously right now would not be a good time to talk to the Dodgers when one of their outfielders is hurt. But when Puig comes back the Dodgers do have an extra outfielder, which coincidently is the Cubs weakest position.

          Just throwing this out there but I can’t help but wonder if the Dodgers would be interested in Castro. Ramirez has experience playing 3rd base and Uribe is not a long term answer at 3rd base.

          • http://BN Sacko

            Do you want Kemp? And what and who would you give up to get him?

            • ssckelley

              Yes I do, and as I mentioned before Castro might be a perfect fit for the Dodgers. If Olt turns it on he might be another the Dodgers could be interested in. In looking at the Dodgers bullpen Russell might be a good fit in a potential trade as well. I would think Hoyer/Theo would listen to a Castro/Russell in exchange for Kemp and some cash type of deal.

              The Dodgers are in a win now mode, they want MLB assets in return if they are looking to trade a outfielder.

              • CubFan Paul

                “If Olt turns it on he might be another the Dodgers could be interested in”

                Because 3B hasn’t been a wasteland for the Cubs.

                Trade all the high upside prospects and replace them with utility players (Barney, Valbuena, Villanueva)?

                • ssckelley

                  Third base is one of the strongest positions in the organization. Christian Villanueva might be ready soon and Kris Bryant is still playing 3rd.

                  Notice my use of the word “might”. In all honesty Castro would make more sense for the Dodgers since Ramirez can easily play 3rd and probably needs to move there anyway.

                  • CubFan Paul

                    Christian Villanueva looks more like a 2B or Utility player

                    Bryant is still playing 3rd because it doesn’t matter. He’ll be an MLB OF.

                    • Jon

                      SSS, but so far there has been nothing coming from Tennessee that suggests Bryant can’t handle third

                    • CubFan Paul

                      “SSS”

                      Shit Shower Shave?

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      I hope you wanting to move CV off of third is due to his bat because Baseball Prospectus just called him their best defensive third baseman in the entire minors.

                      In all honesty, I’m warming to CV at third base long term. His glove is definitely enough to carry him at the position, especially if you have Baez at an up the middle position

                  • http://BN Sacko

                    Yes Dodgers are in a win mode now, but the Cubs are in a .500 mode now. No way they give up a younger Castro and a well needed Lefty from the BP. Wright is questionable right now. And I should have said “might not”.

                    • CubFan Paul

                      I have noticed your use of the words “might not”.

                    • Jon

                      “Cubs are in a .500 mode now. ”

                      You better tell Theo..

                    • http://BN Sacko

                      Theo told me..

              • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                So you’d trade one of two pre – peak players the Cubs have because we have prospects? For an older injury prone expensive guy? I really don’t understand fans obsession to trade away young talent that is producing at key positions.

                Kemp is amazing but in order to get him the Cubs would have to include one of the top notch prospects.

                • ssckelley

                  I know, it is sooo much easier to shoot down deals and tell everyone why they won’t work rather than suggest them or to find reasons why they will work. I am guilty of this myself, but all I am trying to do is look for ways to improve the MLB team without the Cubs giving up their future. The Dodgers have surplus in outfielders and the Cubs biggest weakness at the MLB level is outfield.

                  The FO has built the farm system and the Cubs really do not need to keep trading MLB assets for minor league talent unless it is a top level pitcher. The FO needs to build the MLB team now and they do this by either trading surplus for your weaknesses or you trade prospects.

                  The difference in Kemp to Castro’s age is the only downside I see in a deal like this. Kemp is owed roughly $120 million over the next 6 years and if 1 WAR is worth 6 million then you only need more than 20 WAR to get a decent return on your money and if the Dodgers toss in some cash then that gap narrows even more.

                  • CubFan Paul

                    “I am trying to do is look for ways to improve the MLB team without the Cubs giving up their future”

                    Mike Olt…

                  • http://BN Sacko

                    If Alacantara, Baez, Bryant, And Christian were all up then it is a surplus along with Castro and Olt. But none of them are and Castro won’t be traded thinking of just possibilities all going to make it.

                  • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                    I just don’t understand the obsession about trading away a young shortstop if he is performing well. Same with Olt (who is only 25).

                    If Baez and Bryant are likely that would settle 2B/3B and RF. Lake *might* be able to hold down CF until Almora comes up. Vitters looks like a valid bat for LF. Between Olt, Villanueva, Candelario, Alcantara, Baez, we should be able to get a solid 2B/3B/CF.

                    Kemp would be an immense upgrade for CF (provided he can stay healthy (which he is getting to an age where that is going to be more and more difficult to do)) but it would likely cost Castro + one of the Cubs top 5 prospects. If the Cubs take on the full salary we might be able to get away from throwing in a prospect.

                    Either is the more likely target but do we want him? Sure the OF is a mess right now but the Cubs have some talent coming.

                    If Olt and Castro become legit bats, that solidifies 2 very important spots. Neither will be quite the bat that Kemp is but both have many years of production.

                    • ssckelley

                      But I have not been overly obsessed with trading Castro, if last season was a fluke then he is damn good for a shortstop. I see excess value at the shortstop position, especially if Baez can stick at shortstop. The last thing I want to see the Cubs do is trade another MLB asset for more prospects (again, unless it is top level pitching). I just do not see where the Cubs would have to throw in a top prospect along with Castro to get a deal done for a guy like Kemp. I suggested perhaps including Russell, another surplus the Cubs might have is bullpen.

                      Another asset the Cubs have is unspent payroll dollars so the Cubs do have room to take on some of the payroll difference. I think the Cubs would ask for money in return because Castro is only 24 and the Cubs have him locked into a team friendly deal.

                • mjhurdle

                  Kemp *WAS* amazing. For 1 year.

                  other than that he has been an average player at best.
                  Aside from his amazing 2011 season, he has had as many seasons worth under 1 WAR as season worth above 1 WAR, and only 1 season with an above 4 WAR.

                  If you could get Kemp on the cheap, then I would be all for it.
                  But trading away a couple top prospects and then paying 21.5 million a year for 5 more years of 2-3 WAR seems excessive.

                  • ssckelley

                    He was horrible defensively one season which brought his WAR down. But if the Cubs had a player like Kemp I doubt they would keep him at center. His bat projects better as a centerfielder but I think his defense is better in left or right, where his bat still projects well.

                    But if the Dodgers started asking for the Cubs top prospects in return then I would probably hang up the phone.

                    • http://BN Sacko

                      Do you want Kemp that bad or are you insisting on your own rationalization and justification on how and why to get him?

                    • ssckelley

                      No, not really hung up on Kemp but he sure would look good in the Cubs lineup hitting behind Rizzo (but so would many others). I just see the Dodgers as having excess value at a position the Cubs could use some improvements.

                      It is just an idea, a suggestion, something to talk about. Damn, I bring an idea to a table and I feel like I am running around a paint ball arena with no gun while wearing nothing but swim trunks. DON’T SHOOT!!!!

                    • http://BN Sacko

                      Pat Benatar would “FIRE AWAY”!

  • ssckelley

    I wish the Cubs would have given Vitters a longer look to make the team out of ST but the ideal role for Vitters is the one Ruggiano currently has. I wonder if any small market team would like a cheap cost controlled outfielder that does not have a hit yet.

    • miggy80

      I was able to see Vitters hit his homerun and it came on the 8th or 9th pitch of the at bat. He fouled 4 or 5 in a row before a line drive blast over the left field “Skyboxes”.

  • Soda Popinski

    I dig the pareidolia intro.

  • dumbledoresacubsfan

    Luke, who’s expected to start on the mound Wednesday for the Smokies?

  • Edwin

    Did they say why Edwards only went 4 IP? Was it just early season/weather related, or something of that nature?

    • ssckelley

      I think he was on a pitch count.

      • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

        I don’t know for sure, but I am assuming pitch count as well. The Cubs tend to start their pitchers a little more cautiously in Double A.

        • Norm

          Doesn’t make much sense to start slow in AA but let Single A guys go 7 innings.

          • mdel78

            Pitch count has nothing to do with innings. I don’t know how many pitches the pitchers in question threw, but with only 1 walk, 2 strikeouts, and 2 hits, there probably were a lot low counts or early balls in play.

    • cjk123

      No one from the Smokies has gone over 4 innings so I am just assuming they’re keeping their innings down for right now and easing into things. It was nice to see Arrieta threw 3 innings giving up just a walk and striking out three. I am looking forward to seeing him back in Chicago soon so we can see what we have in him.

    • JCubs79

      Pitch counts and innings limit. Stamina has to be built up gradually.

  • cjk123

    You left out how terrible BJax has looked, striking out what seems like every time he comes up to bat. I was really hoping something would click and we could get our once promising prospect back to being a promising prospect. I am a math teacher and agree with sample size being extremely important, but when it comes to Jackson it doesn’t seem to matter to me if we are only a few games in or not.

    • Edwin

      It seems like less of a small sample size issue, and more of a continuing trend.

    • ssckelley

      It is getting bad, in one inning where the ICubs had a runner in scoring position they intentionally walked someone to get to BJax. I am wondering how much longer the Cubs will keep him on the 40 man roster.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Luke

      There are several story lines I haven’t gotten to yet, and BJax is near the top of the list. I suspect I’ll be writing on him in an intro one day this week.

    • JCubs79

      They should have cut BJax last year. He’s not good and never will be good and right now he’s just taking up a 40 man spot.

    • Blackhawks1963

      This is Jackson’s 4th year at Triple A. Like I have said many times in the past, if not for him being a former first round draft pick then he would be an afterthought. Jim Hendry and Tim Wilken screwed up mightily on Jackson. And Vitters…and Simpson…and Colvin.

    • CubsFaninMS

      The writing is on the wall with Brett Jackson. IMO, he won’t be around by year’s end if he doesn’t show some strong, long term improvement.

      • ssckelley

        I agree, especially when the Cubs are going to be looking for 40 man spots in order to call up players like Alcantara or Baez. I think Alcantara has to be added after this season anyway.

        • cms0101

          Alcantara is already on the 40-man roster.

          • ssckelley

            oops, my bad….well Baez would need a spot.

  • Fishin Phil

    ” the coming of giant turtles bearing mushroom pizzas to all mankind.”

    I enjoy both mushroom pizzas and turtle soup, so this is indeed a win-win situation!

    • ssckelley

      Give us some warm weather and the mushrooms will be popping soon. :D

  • OCCubFan

    Luke, you wrote ” There is no need to worry about Baez just yet.”

    Your analysis of the situation is excellent, as is your advice.

    But I am a Cub fan and, therefore, will worry until your predictions come to pass.

    • Norm

      There is no need to worry……any more than you may have been worried before the season started.

  • Jon

    “and many fans will label him a bust and rail at the front office for not trading him while they had the chance.”

    I’ve got to be honest, I’ve never seen anyone here suggest this…

    • JCubs79

      He’s talking about the meatheads, and probably that one guy that keeps talking about how we should be concerned about Baez’s K rate through 12 plate appearances on here.

      • KHRSS

        Many people have said they are concerned about his K rate and how that will translate to he ML level. But no one has said he is a bust.

        • Jon

          What’s funny is that I went to a Baez story on the Cubs facebook page(that wasteland lol) and not a single person said a bad thing about Baez. Now there was a bunch of stupid crap like “Call him up today”, but not a single negative comment about him.

          He’s like the single thing right now, Cub fans can agree on.

    • Karl Groucho

      If I were to pick one prospect to trade, it would probably be Baez (but I’ve never voiced that here). Given his industry-wide repute, he’d likely fetch the highest return, and I’m risk-averse enough to fear what still looks like the most boom/bust future of our biggest prospects. That said, I’m not thinking that now any more than I was six months ago.

      • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

        I understand where you’re coming from, but what’s a reasonable package for arguably the top prospect in baseball?? (Definitely the prospect with the highest ceiling) I get incredibly uneasy thinking about trading a guy with a Hall of Fame ceiling

        • Karl Groucho

          No-clock Wil Myers (+ change) brought back two years of James Shields (+ change); assuming that we’re bargaining from a point of strength (the Royals seemed desparate for pitching at the time) and that I like to think we have a more savvy front office, I’d hope we could fetch a couple years of a better starter or more years of a comparable starter.

          I don’t really have a gauge for a prospect(s)-for-prospect(s) trade. The Pineda deal from a few years ago might be the closest thing to a high-profile prospect swap in recent memory, but the aftermath makes that a hard deal to learn from.

          • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

            Ya the problem is none of those guys have the ceiling that Baez do?? Wil Myers is a very good hitter, but Baez’s ceiling is almost unheard of at age 20. It’s just very hard to gauge player value when you’re depending almost solely on projection.

            • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

              Without the question marks in the first sentence ;)

  • ced landrum

    Conception is starting to look like Theo/Jed’s Hayden Simpson.

    • Blackhawks1963

      Who really cares. TheoJedJason have hit on way, way more bets then they have lost.

      • ced landrum

        No actually they haven’t and neither has any other GM. You bet on a ton of players and very few make it.. I don’t really care that much, it is just absurd how both Conception and Simpson both had mono and how both were guys who were supposed to have good control but then didn’t.

    • ssckelley

      At least the Cubs did not burn a first round draft pick to acquire Conception.

    • CubsFaninMS

      Yes, Concepcion doesn’t look like he’s shown even a flash of upside since they signed him.

      • cms0101

        I remember reading way back that signing Concepcion may have had some impact on signing Soler. And I agree, even if they did miss on him, all they lost was money. Easy for me to say, but they didn’t waste a high draft pick or trade anyone for him. It didn’t cost them Yasiel Puig or any other, better, player. And the money wasn’t too extreme at that. This is exactly the kind of chance I can live with. Watch the Yankees in the next IFA signing period. They’re going to give bloated contracts to multiple teenagers. Let’s see how many they actually hit on. Tall lefty teenage Cuban pitchers that had success against older competition? Yes, you sign them every time and hope for the best.

        • CubsFaninMS

          Yes, all good points. As fans, we want every prospect to succeed. It’s becoming increasingly apparent that they flat-out missed on this dude. We have to keep reminding ourselves “even the best scouts failed a majority of the time”. I would’ve expected at least a Trey McNutt-like flash or two of upside. Maybe I didn’t see it, but I don’t recall such a game from Concepcion sinced he was signed.

  • cubfanincardinalland

    The main reason they signed concepcion was because he was solers best friend. Thought it would help in the recruiting process. Bingo.

    • cjk123

      And I think one of the only reasons he is still around and will stay around longer is because they don’t want to send a bad message to any future Cuban players they may court.

      • ced landrum

        I really hope neither of those reasons is why they gave him 6 Million dollars. That would be really bad business.

        • cjk123

          They gave him 6 million because they thought he could make it. He was supposed to have good control and he pitched very well at a very young age in high level Cuban leagues.

        • Lou Brown

          He had success in the Cuban leagues, his stuff was good, he was left handed, and he was Solers friend. That is why they gave him six million. Sometimes they fail, get mono, can’t adjust, etc. That is why they are prospects.

      • ced landrum

        They have already cut Del Valle so I doubt that is the reason

      • Jon

        he’s still around because he isn’t taking up a 40 man roster spot.

  • CubsFaninMS

    I’m not sure if anyone else was watching the rain-shortened Saturday game with the Smokies vs. the Blue Wahoos. Robert Stephenson was absolutely dealing and struck out 11 over (I think) 4+ innings. If he continues to pitch like that, you’ll hear his name in the majors very soon. I believe he was just promoted to AA.

    • Edwin

      Yeah, I was just noticing that this morning. Seems like an exciting young arm.

  • Wackoman1

    Hey Luke, just a heads up but Kane County lost the opener 2-1 and won the second one in 10 innings, not the other way around.

  • CubsFaninMS

    A short-sample size look at some of our minor league prospects:

    Kris Bryant – looking more and more like a legitimate MLB slugger every day (including the slightly uncomfortable K-rate)

    Javier Baez – having the best thing that can possibly happen to him right now – a struggle

    Rubi Silva – an absolute strikeout MACHINE… unfortunately he’s not a pitcher; I do not expect to see him in the MLB

    Jake Hanneman – this guy may be on our Top 10 prospects list by the end of the year; start of 2014

    Gioskar Amaya – someone on the sites last week suggested they expected him to break out this year; good prediction, albeit in a smaller sample size

    Albert Almora – so far so good, a hitting machine

    Jorge So-injured – hopefully we will see his upside soon

  • ssckelley

    Couple of interesting pitchers going tonight. Wada starts for Iowa tonight and Rob Zastryzny starts for Daytona tonight.

  • JasonP

    The first sentence of this post reminded me of the “The Drunkard’s Walk” by Leonard Mlodinow. It is one of the most enjoyable reads you can find on probability, randomness and perceptions about measurable performance and trends. I’d highly suggest it to anyone on here who is a big supporter of using statistics to understand the game of baseball; or really any measurable and variable process for that matter.

Bleacher Nation Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Bleacher Nation is a private media site, and it is not affiliated in any way with Major League Baseball or the Chicago Cubs. Neither MLB nor the Chicago Cubs have endorsed, supported, directed, or participated in the creation of the content at this site, or in the creation of the site itself. It's just a media site that happens to cover the Chicago Cubs.

Bleacher Nation is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.com.

Google+