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twitterThe Little Boy is back on his feet – not literally, since he has no interest in walking yet, apparently – and back at school today. Prepare to be overwhelmed by my pent up desire to write about anything and everything all day long without interruption.

  • Ricky Renteria was understandably disappointed with the Cubs’ approach against spot-starter Hector Noesi last night (Cubs.com). Not a lot of pitches seen, relatively-speaking, and not a lot of hard contact.
  • Mike Olt has been struggling lately, but the Cubs are standing behind the third baseman, and still have hopes that he’ll break out, as he looked like he might back in Spring Training. (Cubs.com, CSN)
  • The Twitters lost their mind for 10 minutes yesterday after Kris Bryant left Tennesee’s game early. Injury? Promotion? Nope. Just a stomach bug. Booooooring. (And that’s fine with me.)
  • Speaking of Tennessee, Jose Veras (oblique strain) threw his first rehab outing there yesterday, with a scoreless frame. He struck out one, and, more importantly, threw 7 of his 11 pitches for strikes.
  • I wondered out loud yesterday whether there was a pattern in where Welington Castillo’s “lost” strikes are (i.e., strikes that are called balls, arguably due to poor pitch framing), and BN’er Alex came through on Twitter:

  • Looks like it skews slightly to the low side (which would comport with some folks’ criticism that Castillo is too quick to flip his glove into a block position on low pitches), and slightly to the right edge (which would be the outside corner against righties – I think that one is where most missed calls are anyway, regardless of catcher).
  • Gratuitous vanity tweet-sharing:

  • Jay continues his look at the Bears’ positions of need, with the draft approaching.
  • That April 28 Cubs/Reds rainout has been rescheduled as a day-night doubleheader on July 8 in Cincinnati.. The first game will start at 12:10pm CT.
  • The Cubs/White Sox series will return to a three home and three away setup next year, according to MLB schedule-maker Kate Feeney, speaking with Mully and Hanley yesterday.
  • Cubs Care gave out $1.1 million in grants to nonprofit organizations serving those in need in the Chicago area.
  • You’ll likely soon notice that the BN Podcast is no longer available at the iTunes store. Last night, we received notice that the podcast had been removed from iTunes. There was no notice, no explanation, no discussion process, and, worse, no current way to resubmit the podcast. It’s just gone. I’ll do what I can to get it back on there, but I don’t even know where to begin, since it’s such an opaque process. If you know someone we can talk to about this, shoot me an email. (UPDATE: Doing some digging, I bet this was my fault. The podcast image on iTunes had a Cubs logo in it (totally inadvertent, because it’s on the headphones – I didn’t mean it to signify any kind of official relationship), which is a no-no. I’ve fixed the image, and hopefully that will fix things in time.) (ANOTHER UPDATE:

  • ChrisFChi

    Boycott Apple!!!

    • DarthHater

      Boycott MLB!!!

  • Isaac

    Man, it bothers me how much negative focus Welly’s framing is receiving when he is having such an exceptional year. The guy is a cat back there, giving himself up constantly. He also had an awesome pick-off last night. I’ve personally watched Yadi allow three passed balls (and at least two runs) on sheer laziness this year, alligator arm and just not getting down to block…no one talks about it, all they can talk about is the cannon and “calming influence”…Not dogging Yadi, but simply pointing out we should probably appreciate the very-solid catcher we have a little more.

    • cubzfan

      To really understand where Castillo has problems with framing, we’d need to compare the chart above to the average for catchers. Zones 7 and 9 are going to be called balls more often than zone 2 for everybody.

    • MightyBear

      While the data on the pitch framing is great, I have a huge issue with some of it. Mostly there are 6 pitches that were called balls in section 5. I don’t know how any major league umpire could call 6 pitches in that zone a ball. Moreover, there are only 3 pitches in section 4 that were called balls, this seems like a zone that would have more pitches that were strikes that were called balls that due to poor framing. The data is counter intuitive.

  • Funn Dave

    Keep us posted on the iTunes stuff. That’s really weird.

    • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

      Just updated. I’m having to do a lot of guesswork, since they offered literally no explanation, but it looks like a lot of baseball podcasts got the kibosh last night.

      • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

        You’re still in my podcasts app with the updated logo, so that must have been it

      • J

        Very confusing how MLB could stop a third party from talking about a team – even more confusing why MLB would want to stop the podcasts. If it was just the title or a logo issue, a cease and desist letter would have been the usual step.

        • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

          If someone had just contacted me to say, “Hey, man, you can’t have that little Cubs logo showing up in your picture, and it would be great if you didn’t use the Cubs name in the podcast description, or at least said it’s not affiliated with the Cubs” I would have obliged immediately. The problem here was the scorched earth approach with no notice, no contact, no explanation.

          • Funn Dave

            Yeah, that’s some bullshit. Gotta love those giant corporations. So much respect for the little guy.

            • Jon

              But Dave, if this was a government ruling, I’m sure you wouldn’t object right? Big Corporation rules = bad…Big Government rules = good?

          • DarthHater

            You’ve got a lot of nerve giving MLB free advertising for their product. Glad they put a stop to it.

            • Edwin

              To be fair, MLB has an interest in protecting their brand. Brett might do a good job, but some guy named Ace might also use the Cubs logo and do a terrible job, and that could reflect poorly on MLB.

              • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                It’s not even if Brett does a good job or not, uninformed fans might stumble across his podcast and think the Cubs logo means they are speaking for the team or MLB.

                • Edwin

                  Yes, that too.

                • DarthHater

                  Bah. Cubs fans? Uninformed? Surely, you jest!

                • DarthHater

                  Okay. But there are also pictures with the Cubs logo all over this blog. Uninformed fans could think the blog is speaking for the team. MLB better shut it down, too.

  • Jon

    PEBCAK!

  • Patrick W.

    I wonder if Castillo’s pitch framing problems are more prevalent against right handed batters. It seems to me he always sets up with his left foot aligned with the middle of home plate, which leaves his glove slightly off center.

    • Pepitones wig

      That “wild pitch” in the 5th (?) last night was brutal.

    • CubFan Paul

      Your right, Travis Wood & other LHPs do get a more favorable strikezone with Welly

      • http://www.bleachernation.com Brett

        Is this for real? Because that would be a huge data point if true.

        • CubFan Paul

          That’s what I see, without looking at the data/heat/framing maps.

          It seems most Umps give a wider zone to LHPs because of the angle where the ball comes from.

        • Patrick W.

          I don’t have time today to pull the data but I’d love to see it if someone does.

  • ajbulls23

    The platooning system in most cases hurts both players. Young players like Lake and Olt need to play everyday. They need the rhythem and routine. They need to know they will play even after a bad at bat. Lake actually hits right handers better then left handers. Lake is hitting .264 against right handers and .192 against lefties. Looking at the Olt vs Valbuena platoon, going into last nights game, both players have had 68 at bats Olt has 3 more home runs, 6 more rbi’s, and 5 more K’s. Valbuena went 0-3 with 2 K’s last night to narrow Olt’s K lead to 3. Neither player is hitting the well in this platoon. Renteria is over coaching and it’s hurting the offense.

    • DocPeterWimsey

      There simply is no evidence to support the claim that platooning hurts players and copious evidence that it helps teams.

    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

      Could not disagree more with this statement. A great way to break guys into the big leagues is through a platoon.

      Also, those Lake numbers are only from this year, if you include last year as well, this is his slash line against righties and lefties.

      Lefties: 322/363/483
      Righties: 254/298/411

      Junior Lake is clearly better against lefties.

      You also used home runs and rbis for Olt. How about the fact that Luis Valbuena has a .369 OBP and a 102 OPS+ (just about league average) while Olt has .227 OBP and a 55 OPS+. Luis Valbuena has clearly been the better player so far this year.

      Here are Mike Olt’s splits against lefties and righties:

      Lefties: 200/286/560
      Righties: 140/191/233

      Mike Olt is also clearly better against lefties

    • Kyle

      Re: Olt vs. Valbuena

      How about percentage of outs made?

  • E

    Olt never knows when he’s going to play, so when he does play, he presses. If RR wanted to know what he had in Olt, he would play him everyday until he found out.

    • Kyle

      Those who don’t want to accept that Olt isn’t good will never, ever run out of excuses, it seems.

      • another JP

        Just like those who won’t accept that Olt hasn’t had a chance to prove he’s any good.

        • Kyle

          He’s been a baseball player most of his life, and he’s almost 26. They know what he is.

          There is nothing in the Bill of Rights or the MLB CBA that says everyone in the world gets 600 uninterrupted MLB plate appearances to prove themselves.

          What has Olt done to deserve this “chance” that some so fervently believe he needs?

          • CubFan Paul

            “What has Olt done to deserve this “chance” that some so fervently believe he needs?”

            Besides being the youngest player at his position on a crappy team that’s looking for core players?

            • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

              So the Cubs should sign a Little League third baseman and play him over Olt?? I mean after all, he would be the youngest at his position on a crappy team.

              • CubFan Paul

                “I’m not sure what the point of your interjection is, other than to be a dickish shitball”

                I love T-dub.

            • Kyle

              So you literally are arguing that the *only* criteria for assigning MLB playing time should be age?

              • CubFan Paul

                “the *only* criteria”

                No, not at all.

                • Kyle

                  The was the only reason you gave for why Olt should be playing.

                  • DarthHater

                    The singular of criteria is criterion. You’re welcome.
                    —-Where’s Funn Dave?

                    • Funn Dave

                      Thank you Darth. I woulda missed that one.

                  • CubFan Paul

                    I was just answering your (tired) question with a question.

                    Next time i’l pose a better one.

      • E

        I would accept Olt has being a bust if he was given a legitimate shot of proving it. Same with Vitters, same with Lake. Jackson? Meh.

    • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

      He has gotten more PA in the last 12 games (44) than he did in the first 13 (31) and he is doing markedly worse.

      It is possible he’s going up to the plate with the wrong approach but the story in the bigs is the same as it was in the minors. He just swings and misses too much. Even as an advanced college bat he struck out 26% of the time in the minors.

    • ajbulls23

      Spot on E

    • CubsFaninMS

      Him “pressing” should be him “competing for a starting position”. If he doesn’t do well under competitive conditions, he should not be in a competitive sport. JMO.

    • http://bleachernation.com woody

      I don’t understand all of this Olt isn’t getting enough playing time crap. I swear there are people here with a man crush on the guy. First of all he was over-hyped by the media as the next incarnation of Brooks Robinson. Go back over the news for the last six months and it’s the same shit over and over. Shark trade rumors, Rizzo and Castro struggles and a heavy dose of prospect porn of which Olt got his fair share. I’m going to go out on a limb and say that he doesn’t make it. Granted the guy has power, but he hasn’t made sufficient contact and has too much swing and miss in his game. If he was making outs on hard hit grond balls or deep fly outs I would think that he is seeing the ball well and it would be a matter of time before his luck changes. But that’s not the case. He taking big cuts and hitting nothing but air. When a guy gets his shot in the big leagues he has to capitalize on that opportunity. He has been given a fair amount of playing time so suck it up butter cup and admit that maybe your boy just ain’t ready for the big show.

      • E

        We paid a decent price to get him, there is no reason to sit him. This is another throw-away year. What exactly is the point of giving at-bats for someone the Cubs obviously wanted to someone like Valbuena? If he has the power that Hoyer thinks he does, there is a zero percent chance of seeing it while planted on the bench.

        • Edwin

          Olt sucking at baseball and not being a great prospect to begin with is a good reason to sit him.

          • E

            Except that neither of those things are true/determined yet.

            • Edwin

              They’re much more likely than the alternative.

          • Brocktoon

            Valbuena being decent at baseball and under control for 2 more seasons is another.

  • ajbulls23

    Not counting last years stats because they have no relevence to this year. Do you really want to say Rizzo and Castro numbers last year have any bearing on what they do this year? I never said Olt hits right handers better. I understand he hits left handers better but he is also facing them a lot more. If Olt plays against right handers more I believe his BA and OBP will move up. You don’t bring rookies up to play them sporatically. Hitters need the routine. Sitting on the bench is not helping any of them. Platooning take AB’s away from your hitters.

    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

      I want to say that Rizzo and Castro’s career numbers matter. You want as large of a sample as you can get. Hitters can make adjustments, but is also beneficial to look at the entire sample. You do realize that Mike Olt has 47 plate appearances against righties and 28 against lefties this year right??

    • TWC

      “Not counting last years stats because they have no relevence to this year. ”

      Well, why bother counting April’s stats? They have no relevance to May’s.

      • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

        Why bother counting yesterday’s stats? They have no relevance to today’s

        • TWC

          Fuck it. I’m not even counting today’s stats. I’d hate to prejudge tomorrow.

          • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

            But then we can’t use tomorrow’s stats either.

            What if we agree that we only use the stats from September 15, 2047?

            • DarthHater

              I agree that the assertion that last year’s stats have no relevance to this year is foolish. However, it is legitimate to note that, as fans, we have a psychological tendency to give too much weight to the most recent stats when they seem to be trending in a positive direction for our guys and to give too little weight to the most recent stats when the trend is negative.

              • ajbulls23

                How do you look at Castro and Rizzo’s stats from last year and say they prove anything towards this years stats?

                • DarthHater

                  Stats are stats. You have to give them statistically equal weight unless there is a principled basis for weighting them differently. The fact that the most recent month’s stats are different than the stats from the previous 12 months is not a principled basis for giving more or less weight to the most recent month.

                  • ajbulls23

                    How do you back up your statement and show how last years stats for both players named show they would see this big of an improvement to start this year? Use the same time frame from last year if you would like. But please explain how this start could have been predicted using past statistics.

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      If you looked at their entire body of work (especially Castro’s), this year looks about right

                    • DarthHater

                      There may be nothing in a player’s 2013 stats that provides a basis for predicting the player’s stats for April 2014. It does not logically follow that last year’s stats have no relevance to this year.

                  • ajbulls23

                    Please tell me how they do show any relevence to this years performance? Because if they are relevent then there should be a way to prove it.

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      Starlin Castro’s career slash: 283/322/405

                      Starlin Castro’s 2014 slash: 289/317/438

                    • DarthHater

                      “This year’s performance” is a sample size that is too small to be of statistical significance. It’s like asking for statistics that are relevant to explaining a particular at-bat in last night’s game.

                    • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                      Well, then you are talking about outliers.

                      Even then, there are items that we can look at to show correlation with what their true talent levels are.

                      You can’t just throw out last season because it was bad.

              • ajbulls23

                But to support your theory you can say the Cubs platooning of players last year compares to their wins and losses to this years platooning of players. Proving that it promotes losing.

                • DarthHater

                  I did not say anything that would remotely support any such asinine “theory.”

                  • ajbulls23

                    I found a correlation that worked to back up how last year has any relevence on this year.

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      Is the correlation that the Cubs had bad players in both 2013 and 2014, therefore they are losing games

                  • ajbulls23

                    True FullCountTommy, I know they are a bad team, but I think they win a few more games and I believe they do a better job of developing both Lake and Olt if they play them everyday.

                • DocPeterWimsey

                  The A’s are estimated to have gained several wins in 2013 from platooning. The estimate is based on expectations had A’s let the “correct” LHB or RHB (that is, the one who would have posted the best overall run creation) play full time. As there is no support for the “platooning hurts performance” assumption and copious support for “Batter A does X against LHP and Y against RHP,” this conclusion seems very sound.

                  • ajbulls23

                    DocPeterWimsey: I was waiting for someone to bring up the A’s. They seem to be the poster child for a platoon system. If you look at my initial statement I said “The platooning system in most cases hurts both players.”. The A’s seem to be the only team that has shown success with this system. I don’t know of another that has had success using a platoon system. The A’s justify it by fielding a team of players with severe splits. Kind of like Rizzo’s was last year when he hit .189 against LHP and .252 against right handers. What if the Cubs had a 1b to platoon with Rizzo last year. Rizzo probably would have faced lefties a lot less then he did. Now look at what Rizzo is doing to LHP this year so far. This year he is hitting .361 against LHP and .257 against right handers. I bring this up because I have stated that I believe he is a much better hitter this year because he face LHP on a regular basis instead of sitting on the bench in a platoon situation. Since I think everyone can agree the Cubs will not win the division this year, isn’t this the perfect time to play Olt and Lake everyday so they get the experience and hopefully/ probably improvement in their ability to hit the ball. They won’t become better hitters by watching Luis Valbuena and Ryan Kalish hit against RHP.

                    • DocPeterWimsey

                      1) Rizzo’s success so far this year represents: a) a tiny sample size; b) better BABiP; and, c) a mechanical adjustment made prior to this season. C is the important one: it’s not the pitches that he saw last year, but how he’s able to to get the bat to where he needs it to be this year.

                      2) It is not just the A’s that have benefited from platooning: many teams used platoons quite effectively last year. Moreover, there certainly were cases in which failing to platoon LHB with strong splits *hurt* teams.

                      3) Your entire argument is premised on a statement that has no empirical support: that inconsistent playing time hurts performance. The history of platoons shows that this is not true.

                  • Jon

                    Re: The Oakland A’s. They have 4 count them 4 outfielders that are better than any on the Cubs. Cesepdes, Crisp, Reddick and Gentry. (Reddicks been bad this year but…) Please dont’ confuse anything the A’s do with the Cubs. The A’s actually have a nice collection of talent out there, whereas the Cubs rotate through array of garbage. That’s their platoon

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      It’s not about comparing the talent levels they have, it’s about explaining that the talent level can be maximized by platooning. Platooning might take the A’s from 85 to 90 wins, while it might take the Cubs from 65 to 70.

                    • Jon

                      And To be honest, if this was going to be a budget-like rebuild, I really wish we could have coaxed Billy Beane out of Oakland. He runs circles around Theo when it comes to low budget roster building.

                    • Jon

                      FCT, that impact the Cubs get from platooning aren’t even going to be close to what the A’s get. Like AJ said, they are platooning this year with waiver wire crap!

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      That doesn’t mean that the platooning doesn’t have a net positive effect. The A’s might be platooning with a much higher talent level, but the concept of platooning still applies to the Cubs, no matter the talent level.

                      You can look no further than the 2013 Cubs to prove this point. The Cubs used a platoon at third base of Luis Valbuena, Cody Ransom, and Donnie Murphy and got 32 home runs from the group, good for tied for 4th in the MLB. Could any of these players as an individual hit 32 home runs??

                  • ajbulls23

                    Jon is correct. Cubs are platooning in most cases waiver wire pick ups.

                  • ajbulls23

                    This is why the young guys like Lake and Olt need to play. Lets get a true and fair assessment of what they can do before it comes time to bring up the Big 4. Not lets see what they can do if they start 3 games in a row after sitting for a few days. Give them their chance to develop. Valbuena, Sweeney, Barney, Scheirholtz, they are developed. We know what they can do.

                  • ajbulls23

                    Cubs vs LHP:

                    OBP OPS AVG K%
                    0.284 0.672 0.229 21.7%

                    Second worst in baseball. Only Seattle was worse

                    Cubs vs RHP:

                    OBP OPS AVG K%
                    0.290 0.686 0.240 19.4%

                    Fifth worst in baseball.

                    Cubs really didn’t have any young talent up with the team last year until late in the year. So platooning wasn’t going to slow down anyone’s development. But when your right handed hitting line up was that bad, it’s time to mix things up and not keep beating a dead horse.

                  • ajbulls23

                    I disagree Doc. What is a signicant sample size for you. That is always the excuse when your theory doesn’t work. If Rizzo continues to hit in the .290 area for the rest of the year, then what will be the excuse. Most good teams don’t have a right handed line up and a left handed line up. Plus you can’t measure Rizzo’s or Castro’s success or lack of success on how they performed in a platoon because they were never platooned. But common sense dictates you will get better at doing anything the more you do it. If you are a right handed hitter that struggles hitting a baseball against RHP, your not going to learn how to hit the ball coming from a RHP by sitting on the bench and watching. If that were the case Doc you probably could step in and hit pretty well yourself.

                    • http://www.friendly-confines.com hansman

                      “If Rizzo continues to hit in the .290 area for the rest of the year, then what will be the excuse.”

                      What on God’s Green/Blue/White/Brown Earth are you talking about?

                    • DocPeterWimsey

                      A significant sample size is self-defining for the problem at hand: i.e., when the error bars on the two hypothesized rates don’t overlap anymore. Moreover, because so many players are involved, we need them to not overlap by a wide margin. Right now, we expect about 1 player in 27 to be showing the difference in outcomes given a sample of 190 ABs (Rizzo against LHP in 2013) and 37 ABs (ditto for 2014). I.e., just less than one guy per team.

                      Most of this is driven by the ever-fickle BABiP: it was 0.208 last and 0.400 this year; just as last year’s number had to regress upwards, this year’s number has to regress downwards. Indeed, other core numbers aren’t showing much difference: he’s K’ed exactly as many times as predicted given last year’s KaLHP (20) and he has exactly 2 more walks than expected (7 instead of 5: see what I mean about sample size?)

                      As for any player’s expected success in a platoon, that’s easy: just take the numbers against the guys against whom they would have faced. Your premise that constant play would improve that is not sound.

                      As for “common sense,” well, Voltaire had this one right again. Your basic premise is that players get better and better as they see more of the pitching. There is not much support for this. When improvement happens, it’s not because of repeated effort: it’s because of a fundamental change in how the effort is made. In this case, shifts in the batting mechanics might be key. (Again, we don’t have a big enough sample size yet to say much: he’s not K’ing any less than last year, and having a lot more grounders get through might not mean much.) That’s a before and after situation: if this is what happened, and if someone had figured it out in July 2013, then the shift would have happened then.

                      (As for my being able to hit lefties, that conclusion follows from exactly zero of my statements.)

                    • DarthHater

                      This guy needs to start his own site on hitting. Could call it ajbullshitting.

                  • ajbulls23

                    Baez this year in AAA is hitting .118 against LHP. Do you think he should be platooned?

                    • DocPeterWimsey

                      Do you think that maybe 17 ABs might not be much of a sample size here?

                      Here is another thing: stop using averages . Use the actual numbers. 2 for 17 ≠ 20 for 170 ≠ 200 for 1700 when you are assessing rates.

                  • ajbulls23

                    But it seems to be a big enough sample size for most of you to say that Olt and Lake should be platooned or as one person put it, Olt doesn’t have it. None of you are complaining about the sample size when it comes to Olt’s AB’s. You pick and chose when you want to use this excuse. Again, he can’t make adjustments unless he is in the game getting his hacks.

                    • DarthHater

                      You can do better. Keep looking:
                      [img]https://farm8.staticflickr.com/7429/13945856378_7b0daca865_n.jpg[/img]

                  • ajbulls23

                    Darth,
                    Insanity: doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. Platooning isn’t working. Cubs keep losing because they aren’t hitting. The only guys that are hitting are the guys who are playing everyday. Castro, Rizzo, Bonifacio, and Castillo. When the platooning players start hitting then you will have some credability.

                    • DarthHater

                      Stupidity: Resposting bullshit definitions of insanity over and over.

                    • DarthHater

                      I never said a word about platooning. Who the fuck are you talking to in there?

                    • http://fullcount1544.blogspot.com FullCountTommy

                      Castro rizzo Castillo and bonifacio haven’t been platooned, it’s almost like they’re by far the best hitters and the only switch hitter on the cubs. Hmmmm

                  • ajbulls23

                    The whole conversation has been about platooning players. You want to call my theory that young players should play everyday as ajbullshitting then you obviously believe that they would be better off platooning.

                    • DarthHater

                      Actually, the conversation started as a series of astonished responses to a breathtakingly idiotic remark about last year’s stats having no relevance to this year. You’re the one who kept bringing up platooning, as if it somehow diminished the idiocy of the initial statement. As for “ajbullshitting”– I’m afraid that applies to all your comments, not just the ones about platooning.

      • Jon

        Wasn’t there a recent blog post about the bullpen not being “that bad” in which poor individual outings were selectively “thrown out”?

        • TWC

          I’m not sure what the point of your interjection is, other than to be a dickish shitball, but I’d point out that there’s a search function at the top right if you’re looking to find an old post.

          • Jon

            I’m saying give young ajbulls23 a break as “arbitrary endpoints” “Selective exclusion” have been used as arguments by guest authors on this very site.

            • TWC

              I do look forward to you providing that link so that the full context of your claim can be reviewed.

  • ajbulls23

    Last year was a completely different year with different coaches. They have no relevence to this year. Cardinals were in the World Series, this year they are a .500 team. Look what the Brewers did last year and they have the best record in the division. All teams go through changes from year to year. That is why last years numbers have no relevence to this years. The Cubs aren’t the same team as last years and neither are any of the teams they play this year. This isn’t the 50′s were players stay on one team for their career. Olt has played in 25 of the 31 games this year. In seven of those games he had one AB. So he has not played in close to half the games. Cubs won’t win the World Series this year. Let Olt and Lake play everyday. Lets see what they can do playing everyday. Let see a much larger sample size of what they can do playing everyday. This is the perfect time to do it. Before bringing up Baez, Bryant, Almora, and Soler.

    • half_full_beer_mug

      Teams change year to year; I can’t argue with that statement. However, they change because the names and faces change. The individual numbers will always trend back to the individual norm. If you exchange Barney for Cano, one team is going to improve on offense and the other is not. Barney will hit like he’s always hit and so will Cano.

      • ajbulls23

        If that is the case then how come Sori didn’t produce for the Cubs like he did with the Yanks, Rangers, and Nats? Players get older. Getting older sometimes brings improved skills and sometimes diminishes skills. One of the many reasons last years stats have no relevence on this years. Why isn’t Puljos banging 40+ Hr’s a year out with the Angels?

        • mjhurdle

          well, Pujols is currently on pace for 53 HRs this year for the Angels, so there is that.

          • ajbulls23

            Will see if he hits it. But if you are one of those people who thinks last years numbers are relevent to this years, you would never have guessed he would be off to that quick a start.

            • DarthHater

              [img]https://farm4.staticflickr.com/3673/8763152824_461028d37a_m.jpg[/img]

        • half_full_beer_mug

          Sori got hurt, and lost a lot of his speed which was a huge portion of his game.

          Getting older NEVER improves the skills need to play sports at a high level. A player may learn things that help him improve but gaining a year in age does nothing but hurt athletic ability.

          You started all of this off to say that last years stats were worthless, and have turned it into why do older players not play as well as they did in their prime. Do you even know what you are arguing about?

          • jp3

            Bonds got better as he got older😄. He also got exceptionally bigger…..hmmm…..😳

            • ajbulls23

              I was waiting for the Bonds reference to come up. But we all know why

          • ajbulls23

            It’s still about why last years stats aren’t relevent. I am clarifying why they aren’t. Also, when you 20 years old a year older should improve your game because you are gaining experience and knowledge. When your 30 a year older in a lot of cases means your body won’t can do what it did the year before.

            • Kyle

              You are conflating “perfectly predictive” with “relevant.”

              • ajbulls23

                you forgot truth

                • Kyle

                  I never forget truth.

                  • DarthHater

                    You cannot forget what you never knew.
                    ——- Socrates

          • DocPeterWimsey

            Well, speed was a huge part of Sori’s statistical line. However, his run-creation didn’t really drop much once he stopped running. And speed really didn’t do much for his fielding, either, at least in the OF: he actually got much better after he got a bit slower!

        • Spriggs

          Because he’s not on the cardinals

        • Brocktoon

          Soriano produced more for the cubs than he did for the rangers…

  • NorthSideIrish
  • newsguy23

    Could it be that Olt is pressing because he is not getting a bunch of playing time. Doesn’t it take players time to get some timing down. I mean Baez gets thrown around all the time how shitty he starts and then gets it going. If you are going to lose 100 games why not let him sink or swim and see what happens. I mean really is there that much love for Luis Valbuena.
    I mean his numbers are staggering awesome aren’t they . What is he at now .215. man cant live without that in the lineup everyday.

    • Orval Overall

      How much is Mike Olt paying you people???? He’s gotten tons of ABs so far this season. Maybe he’s in a slump; maybe he’s still adjusting; maybe he’s just not very good. I have no idea. But it’s not because he isn’t playing. He’s played a bunch and he’s playing again today, and if he goes 0-4 again it won’t be because they’re not playing him.

      Sometimes it feels like every other commenter on here went to high school with Olt or something. He’s playing, he’s just not performing.

      • Brocktoon

        If he goes 0-4 today it’s because he DHd rather than play the field, so he was out of sync.

      • http://bleachernation.com woody

        I agree Orval. I think maybe we have a bromance bloomming.

    • Edwin

      His OBP is .356. That’s third best on the team.

      • Brocktoon

        He has a higher OBP than Olt’s SLG (WHICH IS HIS STRENGTH!!)

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