Quantcast

cubs win standings flags scoreboardWith the All-Star break coming to a close today – finally, some baseball tomorrow – let’s take a quick peak at how the Cubs are faring on the year, and in their playoff odds …

  • The Cubs’ 47-40 record is third best in the NL Central, and puts the Cubs a game up for the second Wild Card spot, ahead of the Mets. The Cubs presently have the 9th best record in baseball.
  • To date, the Cubs have played the second toughest schedule in baseball, per ESPN’s strength of schedule tool, behind only the Tigers.
  • Coming out of the break, the Cubs don’t play a team with a winning record, however, until their August 3-5 series in Pittsburgh. Six of the next nine series after that also come against teams without a winning record. This is the stretch for the Cubs to make a move in the division, if that’s to happen.
  • None of the playoff odds calculators like the Cubs’ chances in that regard, though. ZiPS puts the Cubs at just 3.2% to win the division. FanGraphs is at a slightly more optimistic 5.1%. Baseball Prospectus is the most optimistic at a still-low 6.7% (it’s unsurprising that BP is the highest on the Cubs, though, because PECOTA really likes the Cubs’ rookies).
  • For a Wild Card spot, though, all systems figure the Cubs to be modest favorites. ZiPS gives the Cubs a 55.8% shot at a Wild Card (59.0% overall playoff odds). FanGraphs is at 58.5% (63.6% overall). BP is at 62.6% (69.3% overall). I wonder how the injury to Miguel Montero and impending addition of Kyle Schwarber will impact these figures.

Bleacher Nation Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Bleacher Nation is a private media site, and it is not affiliated in any way with Major League Baseball or the Chicago Cubs. Neither MLB nor the Chicago Cubs have endorsed, supported, directed, or participated in the creation of the content at this site, or in the creation of the site itself. It's just a media site that happens to cover the Chicago Cubs.

Bleacher Nation is a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to Amazon.com.

Google+