The Tennessee Smokies are 23-27. That is not a record that inspires confidence.
Their roster, though, says they should be better than that. They have a pretty good array of hitting prospects anchoring their lineup, and their pitching is in the top half of the league in ERA. On the whole they have scored more runs than they’ve given up. It would be easy to make a case that they are a better team than their record suggests.
Pythagorean Win/Loss agrees with that assessment. This is a stat that recalculates what a team’s win-loss record should be based on the runs they have scored and the runs they have given. It is a relatively old stat (as the new stats go, anyway), and has a pretty solid track record. Tennessee has a Pythagorean record of 27-23. That would rank them second in their division and fourth in the league.
Given the talent on the Tennessee roster, that seems much more likely. The Smokies are not a bad team by any stretch.
- Jake Buchanan: 6 IP, 4 H, 2 K
- Felix Pena: 2 IP, 1 BB, 1 K
- Carl Edwards Jr.: 1 IP, 2K
- Willson Contreras: 4 for 5, 2 HR. One was a grand slam.
- Matt Murton: 2 for 5, 2 2B
- Albert Almora: 3 for 5, 2B, SB
- Arismendy Alcantara: 2 for 4, 2B
- Munenori Kawasaki: 2 for 4, SB
Double A: Tennessee Smokies
The Smokies had the day off.
- Trevor Clifton: 6 IP, 2 R, 7 H, 6 K
- Dillon Maples: 1 IP, 1 H. No walks. That’s what we want to see from Maples right now.
- Ryan McNeil: 1 IP, 2 K. McNeil is another reliever to watch. He has a very good arm, but has been slowed by injury in his career.
- Gleyber Torres: 1 for 3, HR, 2 BB. That’s his sixth homer.
- Ian Happ: 0 for 4, BB, SB. Even when held hitless, he’s still contributing.
- Jason Vosler: 1 for 3, 2B, BB
- Trey Martin: 3 for 3, BB
- Justin Steele: 3 IP, 2 R, 6 H, 3 BB, 3 KK
- Kyle Miller: 3 IP, 1 H, 2 BB, 4 K
- Andrew Ely: 2 for 5, 2B
- Tyler Alamo: 2 for 4
- Iowa used no pinch hitters in yesterday’s game, and that meant reliever Felix Pena was allowed to bat for himself. Nothing says “blowout” quiet like a reliever coming to the plate with a bat in his hand.
- The Des Moines Register has a nice article on Gerardo Concepcion. Per the article, the key to his success this year has been his command. He’s attacking the edges of the strike zone now, particularly with his off speed pitches, and that means when he does make a mistake he’s not leaving it up and over the plate. Sometimes it takes a while for guys to make those adjustments.
- The Iowa highlights from yesterday feature a lot of Willson Contreras: