Statistical significance is a tricky thing to deal with. If you talk people who work with stats professionally, the answers you get on this subject are often long, detailed, and complex. I learned (and taught) many of those answers in a former life.
But when the goal is to talk about baseball in a few hundred words a day, that level of rigorous detail is probably overkill. Instead, a few years back I just adopted a 100 plate appearance rule of thumb – after about 100 PA, I’ll consider baseball numbers statistically significant.
The reason I bring this up is because, on average, we are about a quarter of the way to that threshold. And because the variations for certain statistics stabilize at different rates, there are some numbers that are already pretty solid.
So if you want to start getting excited that Isaac Paredes has an OPS of .900 with just one strikeout to his name, you’ll be jumping the gun a little. But given that some of us have been excited by Paredes for some time now, that’s probably excusable.
- Eddie Butler: 7 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 3 BB, 1 K
- Felix Pena: 2 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, 4 K
- Ian Happ: 2 for 5, 2B
- Jeimer Candelario: 2 for 3, 2B, BB
Double A: Tennessee Smokies
Tennessee had the day off.
- Adbert Alzolay: 4.1 IP, 3 R, 6 H, 3 BB, 2 K
- Dillon Maples: 1.2 IP, 1 H, 3 K
- Pedro Araujo: 2 IP, 2 H, 3 K
- Carlos Sepulveda: 2 for 5, SB
- Daniel Spingola: 2 for 3, 2B, 2 BB
- Tyler Alamo: 2 for 4, HR, BB
- Jesse Hodges: 2 for 5, 3B
- Robert Garcia: 2 for 3
- Kyle Miller: 4.2 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 3 BB, 2 K
- Pedro Silverio: 3.1 IP, 1 H, 7 K
- Zack Short: 1 fo 4, BB
- Isaac Paredes: 1 for 5, 2B
- Wladimir Galindo: 2 for 5
- Kevonte Mitchell: 3 for 5, 2B
- Luis Ayala: 2 for 4, 3B
- Yeiler Peguero: 2 for 4
- Pedro Silverio is up to 13 strikeouts in just 6.1 total innings. He’s allowed one hit, no walks, and is getting a lot of ground outs. If you are looking for an early candidate to be 2017’s breakout pitcher, his name needs to be in the hat.
- So you’re reading Bleacher Nation daily, you follow all the Bleacher Nation crew (@BleacherNation, @ltblaize, @lcm1986, @michaelcerami) as well as all the Cubs’ farm team on Twitter, but you still want more prospecty goodness on a regular basis? Then turn to YouTube. The Cubs’ affiliates have been pushing an ever higher number of good videos onto their channels the past few years, and there is no reason to not to subscribe to all of them.
- For example, if you were subscribing to the Iowa Cubs channel you would have already seen this nice video of Happ and Candelario both going long on April 8.
- And from South Bend, you would have already learned that the Cubs mascot, Stu D. Baker, is surprisingly good at playing drums for someone trapped in a large, anthropomorphic bear suit: