Clearly, this was the week when outstanding free agents decided to pull the trigger on one year deals, and try again next year. Mike Moustakas returned to the Royals, Carlos Gonzalez returned to the Rockies, Jonathan Lucroy went to the A’s, and now Lance Lynn has a new home.
— Jon Morosi (@jonmorosi) March 10, 2018
Given the draft pick compensation tied to Lynn and the worrying peripherals he showed in his return from Tommy John surgery, this sounds about right on a one-year deal now that the market has so deeply soured. Lynn, like Moustakas before him, rejected a $17.4 million qualifying offer, and then had to settle for something less.
The Twins will lose their third highest pick in the draft for signing Lynn (the lowest draft pick cost, since they are a small market team that was not over the luxury tax cap).
The Cardinals pick up a compensatory draft pick after the second round for Lynn signing, by the way. Cheers.
The Twins make a lot of sense for a short-term rotation addition, as the need was there even after the Jake Odorizzi trade, especially with Ervin Santana hurt. It takes a team off the board for fellow qualified free agents Jake Arrieta and Alex Cobb.
Speaking of which, this move makes it a tiny bit more likely that one of those guys could wind up with another team in the NL Central. This deal probably sets the floor on a one-year deal that Arrieta would conceivably accept (and it would probably take much more), and it could further push him toward sitting out past the June draft (at which point the Cubs would no longer pick up a compensatory draft pick).