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Yes: It Looks Like Albert Almora is Finally Headed to Kane County
20 May 2013
The Cubs' 2012 first round pick is recovering from a wrist injury, and appears good to go.
(33 Comments)
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BAM: Another Free $300 One-Day Fantasy Baseball Contest
20 May 2013
A fun way to keep the lights on at BN? And you can win money by playing one day's worth of fantasy baseball? Score.
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Lukewarm Stove: The Cubs Could Have the Best Starting Pitching Options on the Trade Market
20 May 2013
With Matt Garza and Scott Feldman surely on the block, the Cubs could be in the catbird seat in a weak market. Also, more on David Price's injury/trade situation.
(138 Comments)
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Reminder: Off-Day Q&A Happening Today on Facebook and Twitter (1pm CT)
20 May 2013
You have questions, and I have answers. Whether column B actually pairs to column A, well, that's what we'll find out.
(18 Comments)
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Ian Stewart Discusses Disappointment, the Iowa Cubs, and “Those” Three Days
20 May 2013
Stewart finally discusses what happened when he was formally demoted to Iowa.
(72 Comments)
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Travis Wood’s Margin for Error and Other Bullets
20 May 2013
As he demonstrated on a hanging changeup yesterday, it isn't large. Otherwise, he's quite good. Also an update on pitching prospect Josh Conway.
(40 Comments)
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Cubs Minor League Daily: Unacceptable!
20 May 2013
Only the jumbo pork tenderloin in Iowa is recognized as a competitor in a MiLB food contest. Come on, other Cubs teams. Also: your weekend update.
(33 Comments)
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Brett, here’s some info on Mat Latos. I’m just going to post the data and you can ask me about what you don’t understand and I’ll be glad to help. I just don’t want to write too much if I don’t need to so this is easier.
Latos: 13.5 WAR over next 4 years
Average win value: $5.39 million
Value provided: $72.53 million
Projected Salary based on arbitration 1, 2 and 3 being worth 40%, 60% and 80% of market value: $33.3 million
Projected Salary based on similar players: $26.0 million
Difference between value and projected salary (similar players): $46.55 million
Boxberger: $2 million (early in his career, but he has some minimal value
Grandal: $10 million (probably not a top 50, but a good prospect nonetheless)
Alonso: $15 million (based on his prospect ranking at the beginning of 2011 by Baseball America)
Volquez: $15 million (projected for 3.5ish WAR over next 2 years, $5.13 per win average, $18 million value, estimated $8 million salary, $10 surplus)
Total: $42 million
The likely difference between $42 million and $46 million is this: Alonso had a stellar partial season with the Reds so he’s probably a bit more valuable and Grandal is 22 and has reached AA while hitting quite well, probably perceived value higher than the $10 million listed above.
Regardless of where the difference is, there’s actually very little difference. The difference could be as simple as Latos being projected to be worth 12.5 WAR over the next 4 years. When you come out this close on the type of asset that you’re trading it’s actually quite impressive. It’s usually not this simple, but in this case it is. The Padres got back almost exactly what they gave up in projected value.
I’ll get back with you in a couple hours regarding Gio Gonzalez. Haven’t run those numbers yet except in my head.
David
I do think there exists a trouble with your websites making use of Flock internet browser.