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Analysis and Commentary

Why Do the Chicago Cubs Always Underperform Expectations and Projections?

Why Do the Chicago Cubs Always Underperform Expectations and Projections?

We’re not wondering why the Cubs are bad. We’re wondering why they always seem to be worse than whatever level of bad they were expected to be. (But, hey, 2015 should be better!)

by March 3, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
The MLBPA Will Be Watching the Cubs and Kris Bryant, and Not Just For Long Bombs

The MLBPA Will Be Watching the Cubs and Kris Bryant, and Not Just For Long Bombs

Everyone understands that there are potential service times issues at play.

Cubs World Series at a Neutral Site? Nah, But How About a First Half Championship Series?

Cubs World Series at a Neutral Site? Nah, But How About a First Half Championship Series?

Here’s a crazy – but maybe awesome? – idea for improving the national interest in baseball.

by February 26, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
Joe Maddon Discusses His Philosophy About Pitchers Batting Eighth, Which is Likely

Joe Maddon Discusses His Philosophy About Pitchers Batting Eighth, Which is Likely

It’s not just about getting the right guy in the 9-hole, it’s also about how long you expect the starting pitcher to be in the game.

The Underlying Castro and Rizzo Improvements and Other Bullets

The Underlying Castro and Rizzo Improvements and Other Bullets

We know the duo improved dramatically in 2014, but how exactly did it happen, and how exactly could it play out in 2015?

Joe Maddon Likes Reverse Split Relievers … So Do the Cubs Have Any?

Joe Maddon Likes Reverse Split Relievers … So Do the Cubs Have Any?

Cubs have any righties who are tough on lefties, or lefties who are tough on righties? Well, there is one guy who stands out.

by February 23, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
Utilitizing Analytics is Not All About the Numbers and Other Bullets

Utilitizing Analytics is Not All About the Numbers and Other Bullets

Jeff Samardzija started a kerfuffle with some comments about analytics, but, even if he’s not right about all of it, he made a very important point.

Casually Mentioning the Downside Risk of Injury in the Chicago Cubs’ Outfield

Casually Mentioning the Downside Risk of Injury in the Chicago Cubs’ Outfield

It’s not just the injury histories of the nominal starters – it’s the lack of clear regulars ready to step in behind them.

by February 17, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
Should We Fear Tougher Offensive Environment for Cubs Youngsters? and Other Bullets

Should We Fear Tougher Offensive Environment for Cubs Youngsters? and Other Bullets

Is MLB getting tougher for young positional players? If so, does that disproportionately hurt the Cubs? Tentative answers: no, no.

Recalling Jake Arrieta One Year Ago, and Dreaming on the Next and Other Bullets

Recalling Jake Arrieta One Year Ago, and Dreaming on the Next and Other Bullets

One year ago today, the Cubs revealed that Jake Arrieta had shoulder tightness and wouldn’t break camp with the big league team. Think about where it all went from there.

James Shields Confirms That His Decision Came Down to the Padres and Cubs

James Shields Confirms That His Decision Came Down to the Padres and Cubs

The money was actually extremely close, and Shields chose the better fit. I still don’t register too much disappointment.

More on the Underrated, High-Upside Chicago Cubs Bullpen, and the Depth Discussion

More on the Underrated, High-Upside Chicago Cubs Bullpen, and the Depth Discussion

Sahadev Sharma gives the Cubs’ pen more love, and I start the discussion of how the Cubs sort through all of their depth.

by February 12, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
Another Prediction Has the Cubs as an 84-Win Team and Other Bullets

Another Prediction Has the Cubs as an 84-Win Team and Other Bullets

I don’t think you can really be all that accurate projecting win totals right now, but it’s interesting to see how many have the Cubs right there.

The Cubs’ Bullpen May Have Been More Dominant Than You Thought and Other Bullets

The Cubs’ Bullpen May Have Been More Dominant Than You Thought and Other Bullets

The back end of the Cubs’ bullpen was among the five best in all of baseball last year. And, to the extent you can dream on bullpens, it could be even better in 2015.

A Great Read on Dexter Fowler and His Mentor, Barry Bonds

A Great Read on Dexter Fowler and His Mentor, Barry Bonds

The two have been working together closely for the last couple years, and you can read more on their relationship in a fascinating new Peter Gammons piece.

by February 10, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
An Early, Comprehensive Look at the Chicago Cubs’ Fifth Starter Competition

An Early, Comprehensive Look at the Chicago Cubs’ Fifth Starter Competition

Presently, there are no fewer than seven plausible pitchers fighting it out for just one spot in the Cubs’ rotation.

by February 9, 2015 Analysis and Commentary
James Shields Decision Imminent? Padres Still Likely? How Much Does He Improve Cubs? (UPDATES)

James Shields Decision Imminent? Padres Still Likely? How Much Does He Improve Cubs? (UPDATES)

Today could finally be the day, and no one is really backing off of the Padres as a favorite. Shields could improve the Cubs by a fair bit, though.

The Pirates’ 2015 ZiPS Projections Are Out – How’s the NL Central Looking?

The Pirates’ 2015 ZiPS Projections Are Out – How’s the NL Central Looking?

Very tough is the general answer to that question.

by February 6, 2015 Analysis and Commentary

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