It’s a Baseball Thing, But Let’s Talk About the Magic Number and How it Relates to the Bears

The concept of a “Magic Number” is something our friends at the O.G. Bleacher Nation are familiar with, but if those two words are a foreign language to you, don’t worry because we have you covered.

Simply put: the magic number represents the combination of wins for a team in first place and losses for the team in second place that will allow the team in first place to finish the season alone at the top of the standings. I’m not sure why this isn’t really a thing in the football realm just yet, but we can try to make fetch happen and bring it over to the football side of things. So let’s apply it to the first-place Chicago Bears.

Any combination of three Bears wins or three losses by the Minnesota Vikings would lead to Chicago winning its first division title since 2010. That’s nifty, so let’s talk through it.

The Bears have four games left in their season, including tonight’s showdown against the Rams. Even if they were to lose tonight, the Bears should be favored against the Packers (4-7-1) and 49ers (2-10). And should the Bears take care of business at home against Green Bay in Week 15 and on the road in San Francisco a week later, they would need just one more thing to go their way in order to clinch a playoff spot by virtue of winning the division. Of course, trap-game losses to the Dolphins and Giants should serve as a reminder that there are no “gimme” games in the NFL.

Not beating the Giants in Week 13 was an unwanted wrinkle, but it wasn’t the end of the world. The Bears still control their own destiny, but a win on Sunday night could make for some smoother sailing down the stretch.

And to think, we’ve only tackled one part of the equation here.

Scoreboard watching begins in earnest on Monday when the Vikings travel to play the Seahawks and will be road underdogs. A Seahawks win would trim the Bears’ magic number by one, meaning all the Bears would have to do is handle business against teams they are favored to beat to win the division. Because if they don’t, things could get messy. Minnesota is expected to be favored Week 15 against the Dolphins, Week 16 on the road against the Lions, and Week 17 at home against the Bears. If the Vikings pulled off an upset on the road, it would throw a real wrench in Chicago’s dreams of winning the division.

Now that we know who we’re rooting for (the Bears, as well as whoever is playing the Vikings), let’s finish this season on a high note.

written by

Luis C. Medina, who you can find on Twitter at lcm1986, has been covering the Chicago Bears at Bleacher Nation since 2017. Since then, he has written about 3 head coaches, 5 play-callers, and 11 starting quarterbacks. Previously, Luis wrote about the Cubs and MLB at BN (2015-16) and worked in the Chicago Tribune sports department (2011-16). He also co-hosted a Cubs postgame show, Outside the Ivy, in 2019.

more bears news

Chicago Bears 2024 NFL Draft Fits: Defensive Linemen

The 2024 NFL Draft begins Thursday. Chicago Bears General Manager Ryan Poles, Assistant GM Ian Cunningham, Head Coach Matt Eberflus, and others will put their heads together to come up with a winning plan for the team’s four picks (Nos....

And Now Penei Sewell Has Signed a MASSIVE Extension With The Lions

Detroit Lions general manager Brad Holmes is hard at work today! It's fitting that just a day before the 2024 NFL Draft kicks off in Detroit, the Lions have locked up two franchise, homegrown cornerstones just hours apart. This morning,...

Take a Look at the New Chicago Bears Stadium Renderings

The Chicago Bears unveiled plans for their downtown lakefront stadium proposal on Wednesday. And as you might expect, it is very kind on the eyes: https://twitter.com/ChicagoBears/status/1783185834490888461 The Bears even gave the project a code name — The Burnham Park Project: The...

Amon-Ra St. Brown Signs MASSIVE Extention With Lions

We have a new highest-paid wide receiver in the NFL! According to a report from NFL Network Insider Ian Rapoport, the Lions have made Amon-Ra St. Brown the richest wideout in the NFL with a four-year, $120 million contract extension...

Chicago Bears 2024 NFL Draft Fits: Offensive Linemen

The 2024 NFL Draft begins Thursday. Chicago Bears General Manager Ryan Poles, Assistant GM Ian Cunningham, Head Coach Matt Eberflus, and others will put their heads together to come up with a winning plan for the team’s four picks (Nos....

Stadium Stuff, Rome and Caleb, New Bears Hires, and Other Bears Bullets

The 2024 NFL Draft is just one day away. Soon, we'll get to hear those magic words: "The Chicago Bears are on the clock." And they'll mean something! ICYMI: The Bears, who are set to have a press conference at...

Ian Cunningham is Getting an Extension From the Bears

Ian Cunningham is set to stick around for a little while longer. The Chicago Bears assistant general manager is getting some years tacked on to his contract, according to ESPN's Adam Schefter. No details on how many more years are...

The Bears Are Expected to Ask For Some Public Money For New Stadium

If you have followed pro sports stadium projects in the past, then you probably are aware that taxpayers tend to end up footing a hearty chunk of the bill. And while the Chicago Bears have not yet made public their...

Bears GM Ryan Poles Isn’t Necessarily Looking to Trade For More Draft Picks

Ryan Poles has done well in creating a bevy of picks in each of his first two NFL Draft classes as Chicago Bears general manager. And even though the Bears have a league-low four picks in this week's NFL Draft,...

Chicago Bears 7-Round Mock Draft: 4.0

We’re just over 24 hours from the NFL Draft, and all I can say is finally. Finally, we’re done with the speculation. I’ll never forget the Bears Twitter Civil War of 2024 centered around the Caleb Williams vs. Justin Fields...

Latest News

Brewers vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Milwaukee Brewers will take the field against the Pittsburgh Pirates (13-12) on Thursday. The game begins at 12:35 PM ET on BSWI, with the Brewers listed as -124 favorites on the moneyline.Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta and Pittsburgh's Mitch Keller have...

Twins vs. White Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Chicago White Sox (3-21) will try to end their six-game losing streak when they visit the Minnesota Twins (10-13) on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET on BSN. Sportsbooks consider the Twins to be -252 favorites for the contest, while...

Phillies vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 25, 2024

Expect a display of power when Kyle Schwarber (6 HR) and the Philadelphia Phillies (15-10) take on Elly De La Cruz (7 HR) and the Cincinnati Reds (14-10) at Great American Ball Park at 1:10 PM ET live on BSOH....

Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, April 25, 2024

The Boston Red Sox (14-11) and Connor Wong (2 HR in his last game) are underdogs (+133) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cleveland Guardians (17-7) on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET on NESN.Cleveland's Triston McKenzie gets the...

Twins vs. White Sox Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Chicago White Sox (3-21) carry a six-game losing streak into a road contest against the Minnesota Twins (10-13) at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday.This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Simeon Woods Richardson (1-0) to...

Mariners vs. Rangers Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Seattle Mariners (12-12) face off against the Texas Rangers (13-12) on Thursday at Globe Life Field at 2:35 PM ET.The probable pitchers are Luis Castillo (1-4) for the Mariners and Andrew Heaney (0-2) for the Rangers.Mariners vs. Rangers Pitcher...

Guardians vs. Red Sox Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Boston Red Sox (14-11) play on the road against the Cleveland Guardians (17-7) at Progressive Field. The matchup is set to begin at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday.The Guardians will look to Triston McKenzie (2-2) versus the Red Sox...

Phillies vs. Reds Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Philadelphia Phillies (15-10) and the Cincinnati Reds (14-10) square off in Cincinnati on Thursday. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET at Great American Ball Park.The Phillies will give the ball to Zack Wheeler (1-3, 2.30 ERA), who is...

Royals vs. Blue Jays Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Kansas City Royals (15-10) host the Toronto Blue Jays (13-12) for a home game at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday. First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET.The Royals will give the ball to Cole Ragans (0-2, 4.32 ERA), who is...

Astros vs. Cubs Probable Starting Pitchers – April 25

The Houston Astros (7-18) and the Chicago Cubs (15-9) play at Wrigley Field on Thursday at 2:20 PM ET. In this contest, the Astros have the chance to end a four-game skid.The Astros will look to Justin Verlander (1-0) versus...

more bears news