16 replies to this topic

[calicubsfan007]

How do you all think this year's rotation will do?  At the very least, it is the same level as the rotation last year because there is more depth and no Volstadation.  On a scale of 1-10?  1 being what the Astros' staff basically was at the end of the year, 10 being a rotation that includes guys like Feller, Eckersley (spelling?), etc.

[Cubbie Blues]

I'd probably give them a solid 7 as long as Garza comes back strong and Shark keeps it going.

[Spriggs]

How do you all think this year's rotation will do? At the very least, it is the same level as the rotation last year because there is more depth and no Volstadation. On a scale of 1-10? 1 being what the Astros' staff basically was at the end of the year, 10 being a rotation that includes guys like Feller, Eckersley (spelling?), etc.

Feller and Eckersley was a pretty odd pair to use for your example Indians fan?

[Spriggs]

I doubt if most people expect too much, but it could be pretty solid. A lot depends on who is left (not traded) and who recovers from last years injuries and operations.

[SirCub]

I would say a 6. Solid depth, but no star power as of yet. No "true ace" in the rotation right now, imo.

[Cubbie Blues]

I would say a 6. Solid depth, but no star power as of yet. No "true ace" in the rotation right now, imo.

No true ace but, 2 #2s and another solid #3. So, yeah, I guess you could definitely persuade me down to a 6.

[fromthemitten]

6 before the trade deadline 4 or 3 after. I expect Baker, Garza, and Feldman to all be gone leaving us with Shark, Jackson, Wood, Villaneuva, and one of the AAA guys to fill in. Not great, but a hell lot better than the parade of scrubs with 6+ ERAs we trotted out last year.

[Morken]

I'm a fan of the Cubs' rotation. However, I still don't understand the Scott Baker signing, both in money and in regards to his health.

[rcleven]

I'm a fan of the Cubs' rotation. However, I still don't understand the Scott Baker signing, both in money and in regards to his health.

If healthy, Will be second best pitcher on staff. Better than Garza. Feldman is the head scratchier for me.

[Mike Taylor (no relation)]

2012
28 GS, 174.2 IP = 6.24 AIPPG, 3.38 xFIP (Samardzija) 3.3 WAR
18 GS, 103.2 IP = 5.76 AIPPG, 3.59 xFIP (Garza) 1.2 WAR
16 GS, 104.0 IP = 6.50 AIPPG, 3.72 xFIP (Dempster) 2.1 WAR
20 GS, 120.0 IP = 6.00 AIPPG, 4.21 xFIP (Maholm) 1.4 WAR
12 GS, 063.0 IP = 5.25 AIPPG, 4.47 xFIP (Germano) 0.6 WAR
07 GS, 029.2 IP = 4.24 AIPPG, 4.53 xFIP (Rusin) 0.1 WAR
26 GS, 156.0 IP = 6.00 AIPPG, 4.62 xFIP (TWood) 0.7 WAR
21 GS, 111.1 IP = 5.30 AIPPG, 4.68 xFIP (Volstad) 0.2 WAR
04 GS, 018.2 IP = 4.67 AIPPG, 4.77 xFIP (Berken) 0.0 WAR
05 GS, 024.1 IP = 4.87 AIPPG, 5.19 xFIP (Raley) -0.4 WAR
04 GS, 015.1 IP = 3.83 AIPPG, 7.20 xFIP (Wells) -0.1 WAR (stats as starter)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GS, 131.2 IP = 6.27 AIPPG, 3.64 xFIP (Baker) 2.7 WAR (2011 stats)
31 GS, 189.2 IP = 6.12 AIPPG, 3.79 xFIP (Jackson) 2.7 WAR
21 GS, 110.0 IP = 5.24 AIPPG, 3.89 xFIP (Feldman) 2.2 WAR
16 GS, 092.0 IP = 5.75 AIPPG, 3.97 xFIP (Villanueva) 0.6 WAR (stats as starter)


2012 = 9.1 Total WAR among starters,
2013 = +3.6 Total WAR among 6 starters in raw data alone.

[Cubbie Blues]

2012
28 GS, 174.2 IP = 6.24 AIPPG, 3.38 xFIP (Samardzija) 3.3 WAR
18 GS, 103.2 IP = 5.76 AIPPG, 3.59 xFIP (Garza) 1.2 WAR
16 GS, 104.0 IP = 6.50 AIPPG, 3.72 xFIP (Dempster) 2.1 WAR
20 GS, 120.0 IP = 6.00 AIPPG, 4.21 xFIP (Maholm) 1.4 WAR
12 GS, 063.0 IP = 5.25 AIPPG, 4.47 xFIP (Germano) 0.6 WAR
07 GS, 029.2 IP = 4.24 AIPPG, 4.53 xFIP (Rusin) 0.1 WAR
26 GS, 156.0 IP = 6.00 AIPPG, 4.62 xFIP (TWood) 0.7 WAR
21 GS, 111.1 IP = 5.30 AIPPG, 4.68 xFIP (Volstad) 0.2 WAR
04 GS, 018.2 IP = 4.67 AIPPG, 4.77 xFIP (Berken) 0.0 WAR
05 GS, 024.1 IP = 4.87 AIPPG, 5.19 xFIP (Raley) -0.4 WAR
04 GS, 015.1 IP = 3.83 AIPPG, 7.20 xFIP (Wells) -0.1 WAR (stats as starter)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
21 GS, 131.2 IP = 6.27 AIPPG, 3.64 xFIP (Baker) 2.7 WAR (2011 stats)
31 GS, 189.2 IP = 6.12 AIPPG, 3.79 xFIP (Jackson) 2.7 WAR
21 GS, 110.0 IP = 5.24 AIPPG, 3.89 xFIP (Feldman) 2.2 WAR
16 GS, 092.0 IP = 5.75 AIPPG, 3.97 xFIP (Villanueva) 0.6 WAR (stats as starter)


2012 = 9.1 Total WAR among starters,
2013 = +3.6 Total WAR among 6 starters in raw data alone.

Last years starters you show also had 26 more starts then the numbers this years rotation had last year (awkward sentence alert).

[Morken]

I'm a fan of the Cubs' rotation. However, I still don't understand the Scott Baker signing, both in money and in regards to his health.

If healthy, Will be second best pitcher on staff. Better than Garza. Feldman is the head scratchier for me.

Baker is not/will not be better than Garza.

Fieldman was an excellent buy-low signing.

Baker's health is a concern. He just seems like too much of a risk.

[Mike Taylor (no relation)]

Baker was actually better than Garza when comparing years they both were injured. Baker in 2011 had a higher average innings pitched per game at 6.27, while Garza in 2012 was at 5.76 - Baker's WAR was 2.7 that year and Garza's 1.2 (take into account Baker had 3 more starts).

[fromthemitten]

Baker's health is a concern. He just seems like too much of a risk.

People said the same thing when the Cubs picked up Ryan Dempster (not to mention he had a WAR of almost -3 over the two seasons before he signed with him) and that turned out pretty well for the Cubs.

[Morken]

Baker's health is a concern. He just seems like too much of a risk.

People said the same thing when the Cubs picked up Ryan Dempster (not to mention he had a WAR of almost -3 over the two seasons before he signed with him) and that turned out pretty well for the Cubs.

Dempster was signed as a reliever, and was only responsible for 20.2 innings, the season after his injury. It was 4 seasons until he became a starter, again.

Baker was signed to be a starter.