I really liked Luke's write up and link to Alcantara stealing home for Tennessee the other night. He was spot on when he said it was one of the most electrifying, exciting plays in sports. I wish the video started a bit earlier I would like to seen if the pitcher was coming out of a stretch.
I was 7 years old when Jackie Robinson broke into baseball. When the Dodgers came to town my family took me to Wrigley Field to see this new black star.
We were sitting in the grandstand on the 3B side and the crowd started screaming at the top of their lungs. Robinson stole home. Much like I can tell you exactly where I was and what I was doing when the Bears won in 1963 & 1985, that is one event I will never forget.
Part of the reason was my grandmother and two aunts were the folks that took me. I don't recall ever seeing them scream at a game, By the time I was 7 I could keep score so I understood what happened but when he broke for the plate I didn't immediately get it. The excitement was uncanny.
I am a believer that Robinson changed one facet of the game. In those days the pitchers would go into their normal, long windup with a runner on third. If you have ever seen pictures of big Bob Rush, his windup was typical of that era. If the pitcher sees the runner and tries to speed up he can get called for a balk. It was not to long before pitchers went into the stretch with a runner on 3B. You see a runner steal home today it is a rare event because it is much more difficult for the runner to get a jump.
I doubt if anyone has statistics on it, but my guess is for a runner to steal home today it would be with a lefty on the mound or a suicide squeeze where the hitter misses the pitch and it is way outside or a wild pitch.
I think if the runner was clearly breaking for the plate they would give him a SB even if the ball was wide and outside.
If there is a suicide squeeze and the pitcher realizes it, they are taught to throw at a right handed batter so he jumps out of the way and can't get the bunt down. If it is a lefty, he just pitches out.