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Something to Keep You Busy in the Offseason


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49 replies to this topic

#1 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:27 AM

So, I was just assigned probably the stupidest task I could have ever been asked to do. And, after thinking about it, I want your help. :D

 

As I've mentioned before, I help coach a HS baseball team. We're a small school, no big deal, whatever. Well, we have this guy in our town. I don't know how to describe him other than the "sports guy." He goes to all the games, has a twitter handle that everybody in town follows and he updates scores for all the sports. This guy contacted me last night and wants me to come up with a formula.

 

This is where it gets stupid. He wants me to have a formula that can predict the score of an individual HS baseball game. Here's his quote, "Straightforward, this team vs that team what formula would you use to predict a winner?"

 

Clearly BN is full of intelligent people who love them some numbers. I thought that maybe, just maybe, you guys would enjoy trying to come up with a formula.

 

Note: I'm fully prepared to just tell him it isn't possible. But, I thought maybe we could have some fun with it.

 

Did I mention that I know this is stupid? lol



#2 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:32 AM

Also, we use gamechanger, so I can provide pretty accurate and in-depth stats for the HS level. At least for our team, anyways.



#3 Cubbie Blues

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:49 AM

=IF(Team A wRC+ > Team B wRC+,"Team A","Team B")

wRC+ correlates very well with winning.


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#4 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:53 AM

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.



#5 Cubbie Blues

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:54 AM

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?


"It's not the dress that makes you look fat, it's the fat that makes you look fat." - Al Bundy

 

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#6 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:57 AM

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?

 

Lol, probably.

 

I think he wants to be able to tweet out something like, "Our prediction for tonights game is 5-3 Eagles!" or some stupid shit - and be right, or close, a lot. I truthfully don't get it.  



#7 TWC

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:57 AM

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

 

I suspect that if a formula was devised that could successfully predict scores from sports events that the creator of said formula would be very, very interested in making sure that no one knew what it was.



#8 TWC

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:58 AM

 

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?

 

Lol, probably.

 

I think he wants to be able to tweet out something like, "Our prediction for tonights game is 5-3 Eagles!" or some stupid shit - and be right, or close, a lot. I truthfully don't get it.  

 

 

Well, there's his problem.  The Eagles are a football team, man.  What an idiot.



#9 miggy80

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:58 AM

Man I hate that one creepy dude that always follows high school sports even though he never had any kids let alone a girlfriend. But since we are having fun here this is what I would come up with.

 

Color Point chart         Mascot Point chart

R=1                              Indian=1          

O=2                              Dog=2

Y=3                               Fish=3

G=4                              Cat=4

B=5                              Bear=5

I=6                                Bird=6

V=7                              Old timey name=7  

 

Mascot # + color # = Higher score wins.


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#10 Cubbie Blues

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:59 AM

 

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?

 

Lol, probably.

 

I think he wants to be able to tweet out something like, "Our prediction for tonights game is 5-3 Eagles!" or some stupid shit - and be right, or close, a lot. I truthfully don't get it.  

So, he wants you to do his job for him? If he had this formula I guess he could start giving Nate Silver a run for his money.

 

I'd tell him that he is out of luck.


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#11 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 11:59 AM

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

 

I suspect that if a formula was devised that could successfully predict scores from sports events that the creator of said formula would be very, very interested in making sure that no one knew what it was.

 

Lol, that's what I was thinking. I think he thinks this is an actual thing stats people do.



#12 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 12:01 PM

 

 

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?

 

Lol, probably.

 

I think he wants to be able to tweet out something like, "Our prediction for tonights game is 5-3 Eagles!" or some stupid shit - and be right, or close, a lot. I truthfully don't get it.  

So, he wants you to do his job for him? If he had this formula I guess he could start giving Nate Silver a run for his money.

 

I'd tell him that he is out of luck.

 

 

Well, I think he just wants to have some fun with it. It's not like this is a super serious thing or whatever. We're a small town high school baseball team lol.  



#13 jh03

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 12:01 PM

Man I hate that one creepy dude that always follows high school sports even though he never had any kids let alone a girlfriend. But since we are having fun here this is what I would come up with.

 

Color Point chart         Mascot Point chart

R=1                              Indian=1          

O=2                              Dog=2

Y=3                               Fish=3

G=4                              Cat=4

B=5                              Bear=5

I=6                                Bird=6

V=7                              Old timey name=7  

 

Mascot # + color # = Higher score wins.

 

This is as good as it's going to get, I'd assume haha.  



#14 Cubbie Blues

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 12:02 PM

Man I hate that one creepy dude that always follows high school sports even though he never had any kids let alone a girlfriend. But since we are having fun here this is what I would come up with.

 

Color Point chart         Mascot Point chart

R=1                              Indian=1          

O=2                              Dog=2

Y=3                               Fish=3

G=4                              Cat=4

B=5                              Bear=5

I=6                                Bird=6

V=7                              Old timey name=7  

 

Mascot # + color # = Higher score wins.

So, I see you have something against Indians, huh? Why do they get the lowest score? /s


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#15 TWC

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Posted 29 October 2013 - 12:13 PM

 

 

 

 

I get that, but he wants to predict a score too.

Is he trying to be a bookie?

 

Lol, probably.

 

I think he wants to be able to tweet out something like, "Our prediction for tonights game is 5-3 Eagles!" or some stupid shit - and be right, or close, a lot. I truthfully don't get it.  

So, he wants you to do his job for him? If he had this formula I guess he could start giving Nate Silver a run for his money.

 

I'd tell him that he is out of luck.

 

 

Well, I think he just wants to have some fun with it. It's not like this is a super serious thing or whatever. We're a small town high school baseball team lol.  

 

 

Just tell him it's proprietary information and you'd need a significant increase in salary before you can divulge the results.






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