Before the playoffs began, I posted the predictions of 5 methods such as regular-season record and regular-season run differential. http://www.bleachern...g-the-playoffs/ Five people added their predictions. How did the predictions work out?
Because one-game playoffs are pretty much toss-ups, I differentiated between the one-game playoffs (AL tiebreaker and the two wild card games) and the rest of the series. For the human predictions, if someone did not have the correct teams in a series (because, for example, they picked Cleveland to win the WC), then that series was not counted for that person. I list the results as: correct calls/games for one-game playoffs; correct calls/series for other series.
Regular-season record: 1/ 2; 4/6
Regular-season run differential: 0/3; 6/7
September record: 2/3; 4/7
September run differential: 0/3; 5/7
Baseball Prospectus 3rd order winning percentage: 2/3; 5/7
These predictions are pretty good for the multi-game series, but a mixed bag for the one-game playoffs (as expected).
How good were the human predictions? Terrible.
Hansman1982: 0/2; 0/2
Spriggs: 1/3; 1/3
Miggy80: 1/ 2; 2/4
CubChymyst: 1/ 2; 2/4
OCCubFan: 2/3; 2/4
Patrick: 0/1; 2/3