There has been much talk of the "plan" the last few days here on BN, and there has been debate to wether 2015 or 2016 are seen as realistic "breakthrough" years. I decided to examine one aspect that could be a determinent...the Cubs payroll in 2014.
Here is what I have:
MONEY SET IN STONE: 14M to Soriano, EJax 13M, Castro 5.85M, Villanueva 5M, Kyuji Hurt-Reliever 4.5M, Russell 2.6M, Rizzo 1.5M, Sweeney 1.5M, Minor Leaguers getting major league money Soler 2.6M & Concepcion(yuck) 1.5M
total money set in stone: 52.05 million
VARIABLE MONIES(ARB GUYS & pre-ARB guys)- these guys are all ARB eligible or pre -ARB...and I am going to guestimate what their 14 numbers will look like based on 13 $
Castillo .6M, Valbuena 1.3 M?, Barney 2.0M?, Lake .49M, Schierholtz 4M?, Vizcaino .51M, Murphy .7M, Strop 1.5 M, Arrieta 1.5M...the real tough ones Samardzija 7-8M?, Wood 5-6 M?
I am not even sure if these are great guesses, and maybe you guys can chime in on closer ARB predictions, but conservatively I will say estimated remaining contracts totally guestimated: around 26M...
So that's about 78 Million committed to 16 Roster players and 5 players hurt, gone or in the minors. The good news, depending on the ARB numbers accuracy, there is some $ to put into 2014 salaries. Even if I am off by 5-10 million on ARB raises, there will still be some room. However, these numbers made me draw some other conclusions:
1. TRADE BARNEY NOW!
2. listen on Schierholtz
3. however you can jetison Valbuena...do it...
4. I would be taking to Wood about an extension
feel free to comment, critique, and buy my book...