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What would qualify a Baez call up a success?


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7 replies to this topic

#1 Mike Taylor (no relation)

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 05:21 PM

I was thinking about Jedd Gyorko from the Padres. Moved to 2B off of 3B, played 125 games, and put up a 2.5 WAR. He never had an .ISO over .275 at any level, yet he hit 23 HR (13 of those at PetCo) in 525 PA. Unlike Baez, Gyorko has always had a low strikeout rate, ~17% in the minors, and that up-ticked to 23% in the majors. He did have a 9 game stretch of hitting .100, though. Baez, however, has always had a high strikeout rate, ~ 25% in the minors (28.8% last year), but huge power comes along with that (ISO .213 at its lowest, .344 at its highest). 

 

Gyorko's 2.5 WAR last year would rank 2nd on our team, behind Welington Castillo (and most of his 3.2 WAR came from his defense, surprisingly).

 

Oliver just came out and predicted that if Baez played a whole season with 600 PA, he'd put up a 4.3 WAR:

143 G, 33 HR, 81 R, 94 RBI, 16 SB, 5.5/32.2 BB/K%, .244 ISO, .311 BABIP, .245/.297/.489, .338 wOBA, 111 wRC+

 

What would qualify a successful call up?

 

>85 G, >15 HR, >40 R, >50 RBI, >10 SB, >7.5/<30.0 BB/K%, >.200 ISO, >.300 BABIP, >.250/.315/.400, >.315 wOBA, >100 wRC+



#2 wvcubsfan

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 05:33 PM

never going back to the minors



#3 FarmerTanColin

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 07:16 PM

Yeah I see success as long as he stays up. Strikeout rate under 30% if I had to pick a stat.

 

Another interesting bit is that I don't see the Cubs calling him up unless they are borderline winning. If they're losing then maybe in September but if the Cubs come out with a strong April and May then I think we could see him early. Which would be awesome.

 

If not hope he spends some time in Des Moines so I can see him in person.



#4 Luke

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 07:49 PM

I don't think he'll go straight to Chicago.  He'll be in Iowa for a time.



#5 Internet Random

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 08:01 PM

never going back to the minors


Heh. Nice.

Of course, your definition would qualify it as a success if he were to die in a plane crash on his way to his first big-league game.

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#6 wvcubsfan

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Posted 08 December 2013 - 08:29 PM

 

never going back to the minors


Heh. Nice.

Of course, your definition would qualify it as a success if he were to die in a plane crash on his way to his first big-league game.

 

Well that would sure take care of the K rate ev1 is worried about huh.



#7 calicubsfan007

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Posted 09 December 2013 - 01:31 AM

 

 

never going back to the minors


Heh. Nice.

Of course, your definition would qualify it as a success if he were to die in a plane crash on his way to his first big-league game.

 

Well that would sure take care of the K rate ev1 is worried about huh.

 

Oh, I have so missed the dark humor of this site.



#8 hansman1982

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Posted 09 December 2013 - 09:57 AM

Well, if success = I am right, then a callup that looks like Brett Jackson's would equal success.

 

If success = Baez being good, then a K rate under 30%, 8%+ BB rate, 5% HR rate.






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