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Kershaw Deal, Tanaka, and the Luxury Tax

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#1 Oswego Chris

Oswego Chris

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Posted 15 January 2014 - 05:03 PM

Wow. If the reports are true(which I am sure they are) the $30 million the Dodgers are going to be paying Clayton Kershaw this year means their salary will be at least $236 million.  With this being the Dodgers 2nd consectuive year over the luxury tax threshold, they will be subjected to a tax of 30% of the overage...so around $14 million.  Conservatively...say Tanaka gets $18 million(more than likely a low estimate)...those numbers go up to $254 million with a tax around $20 million.


Yes, the Dodgers have money coming off the books after this season, but with the Kershaw deal they have about $177 million already alotted for 2015...so they will bust through the cap in 2015 as well and the penalty goes up to 40% of the overage....








#2 Mike Taylor (no relation)

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Posted 15 January 2014 - 06:41 PM

Cot's contracts has included the Kershaw extension and it lists their payroll at $216.75M


They could probably trade Ramirez, Beckett, Billingsley, and one of their outfielders eating some salary, say Carl Crawford.


Billingsley = 12M w/'15 option w/2M buyout

Beckett = 15.75M

Ramirez = 16.00M

Crawford = 20.25M, 20.5M in '15, 20.75M in '16, 21M in '17 (can block deals to two clubs)



NYM need a SS, if they want to convince their fans that they can compete, trading for Hanley Ramirez would definitely shore up their IF. They wouldn't need Stephen Drew and the draft pick compensation attached to him.


I think the Cubs would take a gamble on Crawford if half of his salary was paid for, throughout the length of the contract.


Beckett could be a great option for Toronto or Seattle. Both have some horses in the farm, so they could lighten the stable for a year of Beckett.


Billingsley could be a catalyst in Houston and a perfect fit with the option year + buyout.


So, that would be 216M - 53.5M = 162.5M, gets them under the 189 luxury cap, they can see what they have in Dee Gordon's improvement. Ethier would probably split time with Pederson in LF (eventually), and the unhealthy pitchers would be off their payroll. If they want Tanaka, they would then have ~20M to spend AAV on him, if you include the other players' arbitration salaries.


SS Gordon (L) / Sellers

RF Puig

1B Gonzalez (L)

CF Kemp

LF Ethier (L) / Van Slyke

2B Guerrero

3B Uribe

C Ellis / Federowicz

DH Baxter


Kershaw (L)


Ryu (L)




Love the book, btw.

#3 Oswego Chris

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Posted 15 January 2014 - 06:50 PM

Thanks for the kind words about the book...if u have the time I could use reviews for the second edition on Amazon...they are all under first edition

Under Cots 2014-2019 payroll obligations they show the Dodgera at 206m sans Kershaw...not sure why there is a different number on the other page

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