So TC, how many games do you see this sorry collection of misfits winning this year?
Stewarts wrist worries the hell out of me, and I don't think he approaches Aramis' 3.5 wins last year. I put Stewart at ~1WAR, so that's -2.5 wins from last year. I don't think Lahair is gonna be anything special, nor will he be any good on defense, and at about 1.5 WAR thats half a win of downgrade. Barney isn't going to post 2 wins again, so there's another lost win. DeJesus doesn't inspire confidence in me, and Reed Johnson wont be worth a full win again, so thats about another lost win in right field. Soriano will continue to decline. Im not entirely sold on Garza being a 5-win pitcher yet (but Im close). Volstad and Maholm wont produce jack (Maholm cause of injuries/low innings, Volstad cause he just isnt very good), and I absolutely do not believe in Jeff Samardzija the Starting Pitcher. So we'll call the starting pitching wins a wash from last year, but we lost nearly 3 wins in Marshall that aren't coming back anytime soon.
Thats a total loss of 8 WAR, which puts them at about 63 wins in 2012, and then I'll give them 2 wins cause Quade's gone. 65 wins.
My opinion on the whole, outside of projections and shit like that, I just think this team is garbage outside of Castro, Byrd, DeJesus, Garza, and Dempster. Everyone else is basically a mortal lock to perform below league average