Another way to show just how improbable this season is.
DocPeterWimsey - May 24 2013 08:33 PM
I hope they don't draft Appel even if they have a shot
5412 - May 24 2013 01:20 PM
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Brett Jackson Anyone?
Posted 12 April 2012 - 07:13 AM
At this point, even though Byrd is one of my favorite Cubs players, I am in "finger crossing" mode, in hopes that Byrd can fly the coup and Jackson can make his nest in Chicago. Is this even a possibility?
Posted 12 April 2012 - 07:32 AM
Posted 12 April 2012 - 08:30 AM
There is no one on the 25 man roster blocking BJax. He and Rizzo will stay down in the Minors until June so the club will get an extra year of control out of them.
DING DING DING DING - The ABSOLUTELY earliest that we will see Jackson is the first two weeks of May, and even then that will only be if they trade Byrd. Rizzo is more interesting because they have to wait longer for his extra year of control, which means that LaHair would have to be mashing the ball, but either way, I highly doubt you will see this club make any knee jerk reactions with these two. They undoubtedly set certain call-up dates based on performance of the players and will stick to those. I sincerely doubt that any player has been harmed long term by an extra few months in AAA but there are many players that are harmed by early callups.
Posted 12 April 2012 - 09:24 AM
(The "league average pitching" also is important: 21 ABs is a 4-game series, and 0.300 hitters will have a couple of lost 4-game series every year because they are facing above-average pitching.)
The really telling stat on Byrd is that he's gotten 1 single on 15 balls that he has hit. Usually he gets singles 24% of the time when he hits the ball, which means that we expect 3 or 4 singles instead of 1 right now. And, again, a guy who gets singles 24% of the time is going to have 1 for 15 stretches one time in ten.
Now, does he look bad? Probably: but guys always "look" bad when they don't hit the ball well. The difference is that they "fought it off" if the ball gets past fielders but just "looked bad" if it doesn't.
If Byrd is still hitting like this come May, then worry. But focus on his K, BB & XBH numbers: it's when those change that you really need to worry.
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