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Member Since 31 Jan 2012
Offline Last Active Today, 02:23 PM

#59133 Visualizing the stupidity of bunting with a quick analysis

Posted by Luke on 13 April 2014 - 06:17 PM

I wouldn't be surprised if ten years from now we see as many bunts as we do now, but for entirely different reasons.


The sacrifice bunt will, I think, largely die out, but instead we may well see an uptick in bunts used as a weapon against the shift.


Posted by Luke on 23 February 2014 - 06:16 PM

While I agree with your point broadly, I'm still not convinced that Vitters is just a guess hitter.  The numbers say that, but the scouts are pretty much in agreement that he has quite the good batting eye, but that his problem is a lack of patience.  He can hit lots of pitches, and tended to take the first one he could hit regardless of whether that "hit" was a weak infield grounder or a double off the wall.  So far as I can tell, that sort of a problem would be almost indistinguishable from a true swing and hope for the best type hitter on the stat sheet.  His (admittedly limited in sample size and) generally abbreviated 2013 campaign lends some weak evidence that the scouts might have this one right.


We'll find out this season, if Vitters can stay healthy.


But I also agree that, if that is the case, Vitters is a fairly unusual exception and not a phenomenon we can expect to see often. 

#57834 Cubs Non-Calendar - 1/16 - Wrigley's First Tenant

Posted by Luke on 16 January 2014 - 07:49 PM

 and maybe something big happened in Chicago with respect to the hippy movement.




#57494 No Accessories?

Posted by Luke on 19 December 2013 - 10:46 PM

In poking about the store, I discovered that this link is empty.




I'm not sure what used to live there, but it seems a little lonely right now.  


Might this be the time to bring out a fine lineup of BleacherNation coffee milkshake mugs emblazoned with exciting mottos?


"Bleacher Nation: We put the W in WAR."

"This mug had Tommy John surgery and was signed by the Cubs."

"Bleacher Nation - Cubs and Bears and milkshakes, oh my!"

#56635 Prospects Progress: Put your requests here

Posted by Luke on 04 December 2013 - 10:51 PM

John Andreoli. Keep up the great work. thanks~




And he's coming.  I'm high on Andreoli.  Maybe too high.

#56407 Bunting For Hits is Smart, not Small, Ball...

Posted by Luke on 25 November 2013 - 08:25 PM

I'm aware of the arguments against sacrifice bunting, but are people seriously arguing somewhere that selectively bunting for a base hit is a bad idea?

#56026 What happened to my Cubs Home?

Posted by Luke on 18 November 2013 - 07:14 PM

You could have written an article about how the front office paid off the national debt while building a shelter for homeless kittens out recycled oil tankers and the front page crowd would have piled on the hatred.


It might, though, be worthwhile to pull together a detailed picture of what we do and don't know about the Cubs financial picture and the details of the purchase agreement.  There are a lot of self proclaimed experts on the front page spewing a lot of crap that, if you believe half of it, makes it abundantly clear that the Cubs owners have currently socked away about a third of the wealth of the Western world in profits.  And some of that crap is written intelligently enough that I could see it causing some confusion from the honestly interested reader crowd.  It would probably turn into another hate-fest, but those muddy waters could potentially stand a little clarity at this point.

#55833 What happened to my Cubs Home?

Posted by Luke on 08 November 2013 - 06:37 PM

 to cut the price of shippig.


We don't know what the price of Shippig will be yet.  If he hires Boras as an agent, it could go through the roof.


What we should do is offer 16 or so players from our farm system that aren't likely to ever produce a career WAR over 3 in the majors in a trade for Shippig before he hits free agency, because everyone knows trading a massive volume of fringe or lesser prospects is the way to make great deals.

#54638 and you think our league gets upset by vetoes

Posted by Luke on 22 September 2013 - 07:56 AM

A.  The brief is badly written.

B.  It cites freakin' Bleacher Report and ESPN as authorities.




I rule that everyone using their real name as a team name in that league be immediately removed and subjected to forced creativity training.  One hundred hours watching Sesame Street should do it.


I further rule that the authors of the brief be forced to watch Skip Bayless until their brains finish melting.  Twenty minutes should do it.


I would rule that they be forced to spend an equal time clicking through Bleacher Report's ad encumbered slide shows, but that would qualify as cruel and unusual punishment.


Posted by Luke on 22 September 2013 - 05:49 AM

3.5 YPC = meh.


3.5 YPC as a rookie on a bad team when that running back is the only real offensive weapon, the defenses are packing the box on a regular basis, and the back was playing injured for part of the season = not so meh.


.892 career OPS = nowhere near meh*.


*unless it comes from a Cub, because then it is the terrible result of failed management, front office conspiracies, and horrible coaching that combine to ruin every player they touch.  That 0.892 should be at least 1.892.  Maybe 2.892.  And if that guy was on a well run team like the Rays or the Dodgers, it would be at least a 6.892.  Squared. 

#53222 So, positives?

Posted by Luke on 19 August 2013 - 08:42 PM

The Cubs added around fifty million dollars to this years payroll with free agents and international signings.


Outside of maybe Nate. The rest of their decisions were horrible. 


That's interesting.


Why are you thinking that signing four or five of the best available international free agents is a horrible decision?  I'll concede that those guys aren't going to help the major league team any time soon, but the best farm systems in the game, the farm systems that belong to teams that having consistent winning teams on the field, tend to spend heavily on international free agents.  It's a good value proposition. 


It seems a little strange that on the one hand you want the Cubs to be like those teams and to invest heavily in both the farm system and the major league roster, but on the other hand you state that one of the decisions this front office has made that looks the most like those teams is horrible.  Why the difference?  Why do you think the Cubs signing international free agents is a horrible idea?

#52418 Baez to Start 2014 in AAA

Posted by Luke on 06 August 2013 - 10:04 PM

Jesse Rogers is better than this.


I'm not sure where most of that was coming from - except maybe from a guy who does not personally follow the minors at all and is rapidly slapping together something on a deadline - but there is very little in that article I agree with at all.  Including the idea that Cubs have already decided that Baez will open next year in Iowa.  I wouldn't rule that out yet, but there is precisely a 0% chance that the Cubs have made that decision six months in advance.

#51262 Starlin.......2nd Attempt

Posted by Luke on 24 July 2013 - 04:49 PM


5. The Marlins probably wouldn't want Castro's contract (even though its relatively reasonable)



Not sure I agree with this.  


Marlins are going to need to spend up and try to win eventually, if only to keep the Commish and the Union off their backs (again).  In that regard, locking up a cost controlled cornerstone like Castro could be an attractive option.  


Especially if they had, say, a young star that they made very angry by trading away nearly all of the team that they had told him they were committed to winning with thereby making it somewhat more difficult to sign said player to any sort of a extension when he hits arbitration/free agency in the near future.

#50724 The Prophet's Scoreboard

Posted by Luke on 19 July 2013 - 04:16 PM

I'm not convinced he's just pulling from PSD.  I believe he's beaten PSD to the punch a few times.  Then again, he might be one of the PSD people under a different name.


It should be no surprise that Assman and PSD agree often, though.  Two weather vanes will point the same way even if they aren't wired together.

#50526 Captain Hindsight makes me sad

Posted by Luke on 17 July 2013 - 08:19 PM

the next pitcher drafted that was raised in central Arkansas will be very good because of Cliff Lee, AJ Burnett, and Travis Wood.


You heard it here first, folks!  wvcubsfan confirms that Hayden Simpson is a bone fide ace and guaranteed for the Hall of Fame.  Get your induction tickets now!

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