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Mike Taylor (no relation)

Member Since 14 May 2012
Offline Last Active Apr 14 2014 09:49 AM
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#48987 Garza

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 28 June 2013 - 03:42 PM

Jimenez's ERA was up from 2.88 to 4.46 the year he was traded. He's a free agent next year, because his 8th year option was voided due to being traded.




#47391 2013 MLB Draft Thread

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 07 June 2013 - 09:59 AM

I don't think you can pass up Denney with him still on the board at #75. Just as we addressed our lack of left handed starters in the farm system (even though he may up in the bullpen) with our 2nd pick, we should address the catching depth at this time. There'll be plenty of pitchers available in the later rounds...




#37986 The Theo Misconception

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 24 March 2013 - 03:27 PM

The raw observation is that "Theo Epstein" is just a brand that players, agents, and owners recognize as being smart, calculated, and associated with winning. I'd say it's 35/65 on the brand alone that sells players into joining an organization when being presented options. How many players are going to jump at the opportunity to play for the Marlins next year? Only aging veterans and fringe-types who're OK with accepting a split contract.

I've had a pretty good track record (as Brett can attest to) for predicting what this Front Office has done this off season and it's all about being smart with allocated funds, while always keeping in mind the big picture (or "Cubs' Way-if you so choose to drink that media-driven kool-aid). It's not hard to evaluate the state of the farm system that Hendry and the Tribune left it in, recognizing where your strengths and weaknesses are, letting go of ineffective, older players with similar pitch types, and moving old contracts as best you can.

I think any idiot with a brain could have told you that there was no way out of losing money or games last year. So, we invested in foreign markets and made efforts to sign players, but most importantly, not overpay. Think where we would be had we not invested $30M the first year in rebuilding the farm system and had ultimately went about things in a way that fans got their quick fix:

2012
LF Alfonso Soriano - 3 years, $54M left
CF Yoenis Cespedes - 4 years, $40M
RF Bryan LaHair / Reed Johnson - $1.5M
1B Prince Fielder - 9 years, $215M
2B D.J. LeMaheiu / Darwin Barney
3B Aramis Ramirez - 3 years, $36M
SS Starlin Castro
C Steve Clevenger / Welington Castillo - catcher injury trouble regardless
SP Yu Darvish - 6 years, $110
SP Ryan Dempster - 1 year, $14M
SP Mark Buerhle - 4 years, $58M
SP Matt Garza - $9.5M
SP Jeff Samardzija - $2.3M
LR Chris Volstad - ($18M of Zambrano's contract)
RP Manuel Corpas
RP Shawn Camp - $1M
RP James Russell
RP Rafael Dolis
R5P Lendy Castillo
RP Michael Bowden
SU Sean Marshall - $3.5M
CL Carlos Marmol - 2 years, $16.8M left
7+3.5+0.5+0.5+1+0.5+18+2.3+9.5+14.5+14.5+52(posting fee)+9.6+0.5+0.5+0.5+12+0.5+0.5+23.9+10+18=
$199.8M payroll - 52 (posting fee) = $147.8M

Soriano
.262/.322/.499/.821, 615 PA, 147 H, 32 HR, 68 R, 108 RBI, 153 SO / 44 BB
Cespedes
.292/.356/.505/.861, 540 PA, 142 H, 23 HR, 70 R, 082 RBI, 102 SO / 43 BB
LaHair / Johnson
.259/.334/.450/.784, 380 PA, 088 H, 16 HR, 42 R, 040 RBI, 124 SO / 39 BB
.290/.337/.398/.735, 288 PA, 078 H, 03 HR, 30 R, 020 RBI, 061 SO / 13 BB
Fielder
.313/.412/.528/.940, 690 PA, 182 H, 30 HR, 83 R, 108 RBI, 084 SO / 85 BB
LeMahieu / Barney
.297/.332/.410/.742, 247 PA, 068 H, 02 HR, 26 R, 022 RBI, 042 SO / 13 BB
.254/.299/.354/.653, 588 PA, 139 H, 07 HR, 73 R, 044 RBI, 058 SO / 33 BB
Ramirez
.300/.360/.540/.900, 630 PA, 171 H, 27 HR, 92 R, 105 RBI, 082 SO / 44 BB
Castro
.283/.323/.430/.753, 691 PA, 183 H, 14 HR, 78 R, 078 RBI, 100 SO / 36 BB
Clevenger / Castillo
.201/.260/.276/.536, 215 PA, 040 H, 01 HR, 16 R, 016 RBI, 039 SO / 16 BB
.265/.337/.418/.754, 190 PA, 045 H, 05 HR, 16 R, 022 RBI, 051 SO / 17 BB

Jeff Baker
.239/.279/.378/.656, 201 PA, 045 H, 04 HR, 18 R, 025 RBI, 048 SO / 11 BB
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
5275 PA, 1338 H, 164 HR, 670 RBI, 944 SO / 394 BB = .328 OBP, 670/162=4.14 RunsPerGame

Darvish
191.1 IP, 29 GS, 3.90 ERA, 221 SO, 16 - 09 (83 ER)
Dempster
173.0 IP, 28 GS, 3.38 ERA, 153 SO, 12 - 08 (65 ER)
Buehrle
202.1 IP, 31 GS, 3.74 ERA, 125 SO, 13 - 13 (84 ER)
Garza / Volstad
103.2 IP, 18 GS, 3.91 ERA, 096 SO, 05 - 07 (45 ER)
111.1 IP, 21 GS, 6.31 ERA, 061 SO, 03 - 12 (78 ER)
Samardzija
174.2 IP, 28 GS, 3.81 ERA, 180 SO, 09 - 13 (74 ER)
------------------------------------------------------------------
956.1 IP, 155 GS = 6.17 IPPGS, 4.04 ERA, (429 ER) 58 - 62

Corpas
46.2 IP, 5.01 ERA, 0 - 2 (26 ER)
Camp
77.2 IP, 3.59 ERA, 3 - 6 (31 ER)
Russell
69.1 IP, 3.25 ERA, 7 - 1 (25 ER)
Dolis / Castillo / Bowden
38.0 IP, 6.39 ERA, 2 - 4 (27 ER)
16.0 IP, 7.88 ERA, 0 - 1 (14 ER)
36.2 IP, 2.95 ERA, 0 - 0 (12 ER)
Marshall
61.0 IP, 2.51 ERA, 5 - 5 (17 ER)
Marmol
55.1 IP, 3.42 ERA, 3 - 3 (21 ER)
-----------------------------------------
400.2 IP, 3.89 ERA, 20 - 22 (173 ER)

78 - 84, 3.99 ERA (not including the missing 100 IP)

Cubs actually scored 3.78 Runs per Game
Cubs actually put up a 4.51 ERA
Cubs actually went 61 - 101

What does this mean? Who knows... I'm sure the W/L total would be different if we had this different, hypothetical over-inflated payroll, and because I'm missing the 725 PA "bench" stats from Valbuena, Mather, Campana, Byrd, and Soto.


#34915 Hilarious? Disturbing? Art? All of the Above?

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 11 January 2013 - 07:39 PM

I laughed as well... and thought:

The war on Easter commences! The hollow, false-idol is exposed!

Ha, ha.


#33998 Edwin Jackson or Shaun Marcum

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 15 December 2012 - 11:43 AM

We're all crestfallen over the whole Anibal Sanchez ordeal. It's time to move on. Here's a comparison of the next two potential arms the Cubs should target:

Jackson 47.3% GB, 7.97 K/9, 2.75 BB/9, 1.09 HR/9, 11.7% HR/FB, .237 AVG, 1.22 WHIP, 71.2% LOB, .278 BABIP
Marcum 35.4% GB, 7.91 K/9, 2.98 BB/9, 1.16 HR/9, 10.6% HR/FB, .241 AVG, 1.27 WHIP, 75.0% LOB, .280 BABIP

Jackson was 32nd in xFIP [min 100 IP] in NL for 2012 w/3.79
Marcum was 62nd in xFIP [min 100 IP] in NL for 2012 w/4.21

(Scott Feldman was 16th in xFIP in AL for 2012 w/3.87)
(Scott Baker was 15th in xFIP in AL for 2011 w/3.61)
(Jeff Samrdzija was 9th in xFIP in NL for 2012 w/3.38)
(Matt Garza was 20th in xFIP [min 100 IP] in NL for 2012 w/3.59)
(Travis Wood was 70th in xFIP [min 100 IP] in NL for 2012 w/4.62)

If we acquire Jackson or Marcum, Travis Wood gets easily sent to the pen, unless he dominates in Spring Training or the Cubs deem Baker not arm-healthy enough to begin the season as a starter.

BTW, Anibal Sanchez was 17th in xFIP in NL for 2012 w/3.54, so there's that. Here's a few other things...

R.A. Dickey will be in the AL (#8 in xFIP in NL)
Joe Blanton will be in the AL (#11 in xFIP in NL)
Ryan Dempster will stay in the AL (#25 in xFIP in NL)
Josh Johnson will be in the AL (#26 in xFIP in NL)
Lucas Harrell will be in the AL with the Astros' move to AL (#38 in xFIP in NL)

But, the Dodgers keep Josh Beckett and add Zack Greinke.


#33644 Boring 3-way trade idea

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 28 November 2012 - 09:11 PM

After the Cubs tender Stewart's contract:

Twins Receive:
3B Ian Stewart
SP Bruce Chen

Royals Receive:
OF Max Kepler (Twins #18 prospect)
SP Dillon Maples (Cubs #12 prospect)
2B/SS Arismendy Alcantara (Cubs prospect)

Cubs Receive:
OF/3B Wil Myers (Royals #1 prospect)

Myers has been dangled for awhile now, I guess KC really needs salary relief that bad.


#20572 Sveum -- In for the long haul?

Posted by Mike Taylor (no relation) on 14 May 2012 - 09:38 PM

I think Theo & Co™ have been helping him out with all of the active personnel moves. Last year, I think there were only a few call ups due to injury and that's it. Doug Davis had 7 horrible starts and that was 7 too many.

Volstad gets one more start to prove himself and then he goes to the pen (or send him down and he probably clears waivers).

Rizzo coming up in June should help boost our offense that much more. I think we will trade Baker, DeWitt, Marmol or Soto soon. This lineup is going to be VERY left handed.

RF DeJesus
CF Campana
SS Castro
LF LaHair
1B Rizzo
3B Stewart
C Soto
2B Barney


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