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Member Since 03 Jun 2012
Offline Last Active Aug 18 2013 09:28 PM

Posts I've Made

In Topic: All out this offseason?

14 August 2013 - 09:21 PM

Everything I've read on Abreu says first base/DH ONLY. No way he can fake OF, but Rizzo might be able to. If not, we have a "good problem" on our hands.

In Topic: Fun with Prospect Rankings

14 August 2013 - 01:56 PM

I think that Baez is getting closer to a sure thing every day. Keep in mind that he has struggled to begin each level so far in his career, and strikeout numbers have been trending downward (22% in August so far) and have done so at each level. He's also among the MiLB leaders in homers.


His splits are also very interesting. Absolutely mashing AA LHPs (.432/.490/.886) vs .206/.264/.441 against righties. This makes his floor a utility/platoon guy at worst. The more interesting split though is home vs. away. The Southern League is pitcher friendly for the most part with one big exception: Smokies Park, which is very hitter friendly. The sample size may not be significant yet, but Baez line at home is .207/.261/.451 compared to .359/.423/.734 on the road. 


Also, last 10 games: .419/.468/.605 with 9Ks and 4BBs in 47 PAs (19%K, 8.5%BB).

In Topic: All out this offseason?

12 August 2013 - 11:48 PM

Yep.  I think on the mega deals it would always be better to frontload.  Especially in the scenario the Cubs find themselves in now.  A lot of money available now and the next few years with not many impact free agents available.  Wouldn't it be better to overpay for Cano or Ellsbury in the first few years when the money is available (and their production will likely be at its peak) and then still have the extra budget room in the later years of the deal (when their production will be less but still better than what you think you could get out of a home grown player at that time)?


But you are paying more real money in that case than you would if the contract was backloaded

In Topic: Fun with Prospect Rankings

12 August 2013 - 11:31 PM

I die a little inside every time I see the name Nick Adenhart

In Topic: Is it crazy to bring up Jae-Hoon Hah for Neal

12 August 2013 - 11:28 PM


I wasn't really saying "clutchness" exists.  It just seemed the best word to use in showing the disparity between Dave Sappelt and Ty Wright's ability to produce runs.  Ty produces more runs, despite having very similar career numbers in other areas.  And being able to cover first base does make him more valuable, even if that service is never utilized.


  And since the original post was about bringing up Jae-Hoon, who would also require a 40 man spot, it would make more sense to me to use a guy like Ty Wright first who is going to be gone at the end of the year anyway. (For point of reference Ty also has much better career numbers than Jae-Hoon .277/.321/.398, OPS .719, K% 15.12, BB% 6.03 ISO .121)


   And any waiver claim we could be grabbing is going to be a fringe player who probably isn't any better or worse, just different (and probably likely to be released at the end of the year to make room for rule 5 protection). And as far as trades go you could just include Ty as part of the package (because everyone needs 5th outfielder/AAAA filler types).

The difference in their RBIs and runs is probably more a function of where they have batted in the lineup and the offensive ability of other hitters in those lineups. Don't underestimate the importance of waiver claims. Jose Bautista and David Eckstein were once claimed on waivers and helped their respective teams to competitive seasons. Luis Valbuena was also a waiver claim, and he has provided good value offensively and defensively 

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