I agree with what Bret just said. I don't think you can straight up rank someone higher because you favor Potential over Likelihood or vise versa. So someone like Carl in my opinion should be last because even though he'd is 8 potential he's not going to make the majors anyway (3 likelihood). If you could figure out an agorithim that only started to weight potential higher once the likelihood was a 4 or five then that might be the way to do it.
I know this isnt exactly how this works but a 3 on the 2-8 scale would give roughly a 2/7 chance of making the bigs (i think, this could be way off), so that gives you a roughly 28% of having a star if he has 8 potential. Id take those odds any day if youre gonna give me a 1/4ish chance at a star.
My logic is kinda "unscientific" but it made sense to me haha
I get what you are saying here. My thought was that once the likelihood approached closer to 50% that they'd make the majors then you really start heavily valuing how you view Potential. But I get your willingness to take a chance on Carl anyway due to his mega potential.