Exactly two weeks from right now you’ll be reading about who the Cubs drafted on Day One of the 2018 draft and what to expect from Day Two. With the Cubs having five picks in the Top 100, there is every reason to be excited about this draft.
While the Cubs will draft plenty of quality prospects, I don’t think we can expect them to find anyone better than that – a quality prospect. In other words, the Cubs’ are probably going to spend their early picks on the exactly the sorts of players they are loaded with right now. They’ll draft pitchers who project as middle of the rotation starters if things go right, hitters who are good in many areas but lacking something to keep them from elite status, and hard throwing relievers who could move quickly but are unlikely to leave the bullpen.
What the Cubs probably won’t draft, because there won’t be any available, is what they are so very badly lacking – near-term impact talent. This draft is very unlikely to produce another Kyle Schwarber or Kris Bryant or Javier Baez or Ian Happ. The Cubs will be scouring the talent pool for player with that sort of potential who have been missed by every other team … and such things do happen (Mike Trout is a famous example, and I’d add Kyle Hendricks to that list if you want a Cubs example) … but we can’t expect that they’ll find one.
That said, given the very weak state of the Cubs’ farm system right now, I would not be at all surprised if their first round pick immediately becomes the best prospect in the system. I wouldn’t rule out this draft producing multiple Top 10 prospects, either. With the exception of Adbert Alzolay, the prospects at the top of the Cubs’ farm system have generally taken a step back this spring. The door is certainly open for a new player to go straight to the top spot.
- Alec Mills: 5 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 4 BB, 2 K
- Alberto Baldonado: 1.1 IP, 1 R, 1 H, 1 BB, 4 K
- Lane Adams: 2 for 5, 2B, SB
- Chris Gimenez: 1 for 3, BB
- Bijan Rademacher: 1 for 3, 2B
- Chesny Young: 2 for 4, SB
- Michael Rucker: 6 IP, 2 R, 4 H, 2 BB, 8 K
- Scott Effross: 1 IP, 1 K
- Tommy Nance: 1 IP, and a line of zeroes
- Craig Brooks: 1 IP, 1 H
- Jason Vosler: 1 for 3, BB
- Yasiel Balaguert: 1 for 4, 2B
- Trent Giambrone: 1 for 3, SB
- Tyson Miller: 5 IP, 5 R, 8 H, 1 BB, 6 K
- Bailey Clark: 3.1 IP, 1 H, 3 BB, 6 K
- Wyatt Short: 0.2 IP, 1 H, 2 K
- Connor Myers: 2 for 5, 2 SB
- P.J. Higgins: 1 for 3, 2B, BB
- Jhonny Pereda: 1 for 3, HR, 2 BB
- Tyler Alamo: 1 for 4, HR
- Kevonte Mitchell: 2 for 4, 3B
- Daniel Spingola: 2 for 4, SB
- Tyler Thomas: 6 IP, 2 R (1 ER), 3 H, 2 BB, 2 K
- Jesus Camargo: 2 IP, 2 H, 2 K
- Yapson Gomez: 1 IP, 2 K
- Christian Donahue: 1 for 3, 2B, BB
- Rafael Narea: 1 for 3, BB
- Both of the runs Michael Rucker allowed to Mississippi were solo homers.
- The emergence of Bailey Clark continues to be one of the better stories this spring. Last night he stretched to 54 pitches, and was reportedly hitting 97 at the end of that stint. Clark has been working every four to five days and has thrown more than 50 pitches in three of his last four contests. I would not be surprised to see him flipped back into a rotation later on this season.
- While the Cubs’ best prospects have generally taken a step back this spring, not too far down the list we do find some encouraging signs. Miguel Amaya is close to breaking out, Alex Lange has generally looked good, Bryan Hudson is continuing to methodically improve his game, Jhonny Pereda is emerging, and so forth. We haven’t seen the super breakout performance we were hoping for yet, but there are some proto-breakouts in the works that bear watching.