Mitch Trubisky showed improvement from his rookie year to his second season as a professional, which set up high expectations for Year 3. But to this point, QB1 hasn’t quite answered the call of greatness. Instead, it’s actually been pretty painful to watch Trubisky and the Chicago Bears try their best to do offense.
Seriously, this doesn’t look good at all:
Mitchell Trubisky NFL ranks thru two games in YEAR 3:
*33rd in TD(0)
*32nd in Yds Per Att(4.8)
*32nd in Net Yds Per Pass Att(4.26)
*32nd in Yds Per Comp(8.3)
*31st in Passer Rating(65.0)
*29th in QBR(22.1)
*29th in Passing Yds Per Game(174)
*27th in Comp Percentage(58.3)
— Joe Ostrowski (@JoeO670) September 16, 2019
Mitchell Trubisky became the first starting QB to win a game despite (min 25 att):
– averaging 4.4 YPA or less
– passing for 120 yds or less
since… he did it in 2018.
Only full-time starting QBs w this feat:
– 2019: Trubisky
– 2018: Trubisky
– 2017: Cutler
– 2016: Osweiler pic.twitter.com/zdA3VQwDZx
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) September 16, 2019
Worst QBR So Far This Season
28. Cam Newton 23.1
29. Mitchell Trubisky 22.1
30. Ben Roethlisberger 20.8
31. Ryan Fitzpatrick 11.1
32. Teddy Bridgewater 10.8
33. Kirk Cousins 10.1
Cousins has the worst QBR in the NFL through two weeks. Even Eli Manning is at 30.0. pic.twitter.com/RBUirIAj77
— Wager Street (@WagerStreet) September 16, 2019
YUCK! The numbers are ugly.
Trubisky has thrown for 348 yards, averaged 4.8 yards per attempt, posted a 65.0 passer rating and a woeful 22.1 QBR. Those numbers represent disappointing falls from the 7.4 yards per attempt, 95.4 passer rating, and 70.8 QBR (which was the third best in football) Trubisky posted last season. Things look messy right now and the improvements Trubisky made last year seem like a distant memory on the verge of fading out of picture. And yet, I cannot escape the feeling of déjá vu that is currently taking over my soul.
Here’s one reason why:
- The first two games of 2018: 371 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT, 5.4 Y/A, 69.6 completion pct., 80.0 rating
- The first two games of 2019: 348 yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 4.4 Y/A, 58.3 completion pct., 65.0 rating
Slow starts for Trubisky have been painful to watch, but are hardly new. In fact, Trubisky’s slow start actually bled into Week 3 last season.
In that game against the Cardinals, Trubisky threw for just 220 yards, was held without a throwing touchdown, tossed an interception, averaged just 6.3 yards per attempt, and posted a 73.5 passer rating.
At this point, I am wondering if Trubisky’s slow starts can be attributed to a lack of preseason snaps. And to be clear, this isn’t me making an excuse. But instead, it is the presentation of an idea based on a limited two-year sample of data in which there is a common thread. Because while we discussed how the first-team offense looked out of sync playing with each other for the first time in 2018 through the lens of the Bears possibly underestimating the risks of not having their regulars participate in the preseason, we did NOT discuss how Matt Nagy and his offensive staff had not coached the first-string offense in a game situation until Week 1 either.
Let’s face it, Nagy is going to coach up Chase Daniel and the second-team offense differently than he would Trubisky and the first-string. It is not crazy to think that Trubisky getting a little bit of preseason burn to build up some confidence and a rhythm could have been advantageous for him and the offense. Also, it is not outside of the realm of possibility that the mistakes Trubisky is making now could have been caught and fixed in a low-stress, low-leverage preseason environment rather than in games of consequence in what is supposed to be a window of contention.
One thought that will not escape my mind is that Trubisky started to show an ability to make adjustments and persevere in the face of adversity in Week 3 last year. Things really took off for Trubisky in Week 4, then things progressively improved for him as he built confidence and a rhythm as the season rolled. Should Trubisky follow that path again and a pattern is established, then perhaps Nagy’s preseason plans will face new critiques moving forward. Until then, we are left to hypothesize based on what is in front of us.