Revenge or Regression: SAINTS at BEARS – November 1, 2020

A Saints-Bears matchup should be one pitting New Orleans’ premier offense against Chicago’s rugged defense. And while that still gets top billing, I find myself drawn to the other side of the coin.

What’s a showdown between the Bears’ suspect offense and the Saints’ shaky defense going to look like?

For instance, take the Saints secondary into consideration. This group has allowed big games to Allen Lazard (6-146-1), Mike Williams (5-109-2), and DJ Moore (4-93-2), and a modest outing for Kenny Golladay (4-62-1) since Week 3. New Orleans has big names in the defensive backfield, but has played like a group asking to be picked apart.

Darnell Mooney and Anthony Miller see this as an opportunity to go off. However, Chicago’s passing game has been woeful since Nick Foles’ heater in relief of Mitchell Trubisky against the Falcons. Sure, it’s had moments, but not enough to build any confidence going into this game. In fact, I’d bet a dollar to a donut that New Orleans’ defensive backs see this as an opportunity to get off the deck.

It’s a late afternoon kick off for these two teams. And while the injury report had me filled with dread, I’m still looking forward to the action. I have revenge on my mind after watching that game in person last season, so I hope the Bears put up a real fight at Soldier Field.

“Never Tell Me The Odds”

The DraftKings SportsBook lists the Bears (5-2) as 4.5-point underdogs against the Saints (4-2). Over/under: 43.

Series History:

Saints lead 16-15.

Game Time, Broadcast Info, Officiating Crew:

Location: Soldier Field

Broadcast Info: Sunday, November 1 at 3:25 p.m. CT on FOX (Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews), WBBM-AM 780 and WCFS-FM 105.9 (Jeff Joniak, Tom Thayer, Mark Grote), Sports USA (Larry Kahn, Doug Plank)

Referee: Tony Corrente

Expected Starters and Lineups:

Bears Expected Starters:

Offense

•   QB Nick Foles
•   RB David Montgomery
•   WR Allen Robinson (He cleared concussion protocols!)
•   TEs Jimmy Graham, Demetrius Harris, Cole Kmet
•   LT Charles Leno Jr., LG Rashaad Coward, C Sam Mustipher, RG Germain Ifedi, RT Bobby Massie

Defense

•   DT Akiem Hicks, NT Bilal Nichols, DE Roy Robertson-Harris
•   OLBs Khalil Mack, Robert Quinn
•   ILBs Roquan Smith, Danny Trevathan
•   CBs Kyle Fuller, Jaylon Johnson
•   FS Eddie Jackson
•   SS Tashaun Gipson Sr.

Specialists

•   Cairo Santos (kicker), Pat O’Donnell (punter, holder), Patrick Scales (long snapper), Cordarrelle Patterson (kick returns), Ted Ginn Jr. (punt returns)

Saints Expected Starters:

Offense

•   QB Drew Brees
•   RB Alvin Kamara
•   FB Mike Burton
•   WRs Deonte Harris, Tre’Quan Smith (Sorry, no Michael Thomas!)
•   TE Jared Cook
•   LT Terron Armstead, LG Andrus Peat, C Erik McCoy, RG Nick Easton, RT Ryan Ramczyk

Defense

•   LDE Cameron Jordan, LDT David Onyemata, NT Malcolm Brown, RDE Trey Hendrickson
•   SLB Kaden Elliss, MLB Alex Anzalone, WLB Damario Davis
•   CBs Janoris Jenkins, Marshon Lattimore, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson
•   Ss Marcus Williams, Malcolm Jenkins

Specialists

•   Will Lutz (kicker), Thomas Morstead (punter, holder), Zach Wood (long snappers), Deonte Harris (kick and punt returns)

Three Bears …

Cole Kmet could be an impact player if given an expanded snap share and targets in the red zone. The Saints defense has allowed touchdowns to tight ends in five of their first six games. And because the Saints have just one interception since picking off Tom Brady twice in the opener, there should be ample opportunities for the passing game in the middle of New Orleans’ defense.

Bobby Massie has his work cut out for him as he figures to line up against Cameron Jordan for a good chunk of Sunday’s game. Massie’s 71.8 overall grade ranks 32nd of 73 qualifying offensive tackles, which puts him in the upper half of league starters. He’ll need to be better than average when facing Jordan, whose 76.2 grade is the 16th best among 111 edge defenders and leads the team with an 84.7 run defense grade.

Cairo Santos is on fire, having made eight consecutive kicks since missing his last attempt in Week 2 and first try in Week 3. Santos has brought his season success rate to 84.6 percent, which is just about where it was during his four-year tenure with the Chiefs. If the Bears have the pre-injury version of Santos, then I’d say they have a keeper on their hands.

written by

Luis C. Medina, who you can find on Twitter at lcm1986, has been covering the Chicago Bears at Bleacher Nation since 2017. Since then, he has written about 3 head coaches, 5 play-callers, and 11 starting quarterbacks. Previously, Luis wrote about the Cubs and MLB at BN (2015-16) and worked in the Chicago Tribune sports department (2011-16). He also co-hosted a Cubs postgame show, Outside the Ivy, in 2019.

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