Brad Biggs’ 10 Thoughts post at the Tribune is always loaded with nuggets, tidbits, and worthwhile information. And because of that, I’d encourage you to clear your schedule later to dive into his season-ending wrap-up. In the meantime, I want to highlight one section that caught my eye.
A thread that weaves itself throughout the piece is the possibility of change. A scenario exists in which GM Ryan Pace is let go, but Head Coach Matt Nagy sticks around. There is also a train of thought that leads to Pace’s retention and Nagy’s dismissal. The return of both wouldn’t be popular, but I suppose it’s a possibility. HOWEVER, a prevailing question is what it would look like if both Pace and Nagy were jettisoned from Halas Hall. Better yet, what would it cost? Well, Biggs has an idea.
“Maybe McCaskey decides Pace and Nagy are a package deal and he’s unhappy with the trajectory of the franchise and fires both of them. That seems unlikely to me because a rough estimate of the cost to completely reboot things would be $20 million; because the Bears, like every other team, are facing revenue losses this year; and because Nagy is eight games over .500 in three seasons and he did help guide the team out of a six-game losing streak.”
Let’s be clear about what this would mean. The cost of firing Pace and Nagy, then hiring their replacements, comes out to about $20 million.
I imagine that would also include the cost of re-vamping the scouting department, bolstering necessary front office spots, rebuilding the coaching staff, and patching up anything else that lands under the umbrella. Based on the Bears’ overall record during the Pace’s time as GM and the trending of the last two seasons under Nagy, I can understand why a clean slate from top to bottom could be in consideration. And for what it’s worth, there’s no salary cap on coaches or front office members. Always keep that in mind.
But if the Bears were to do it, they should move quickly. Atlanta, Carolina, Denver, Detroit, Jacksonville, and Washington are looking for new lead dogs in the front office. Three of those teams (Falcons, Lions, Jaguars) are also looking for a head coach. By making the playoffs, the Bears are already a week behind those teams if they wanted to do wholesale changes. So in other words, the time is now to make a call.