Week 6 Preview: Commanders at Bears - October 13, 2022

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Week 6 Preview: Commanders at Bears – October 13, 2022

Chicago Bears

The Chicago Bears are making their debut on Amazon Prime’s Thursday Night Football as they host the Washington Commanders. It is the Commanders’ first trip to Soldier Field as the Commanders. The Bears will be sporting their new orange helmets with the orange alternate jerseys that they brought back a few years ago, and they’re going to look crispy under the lights at Soldier Field.

Coming off his best performance of the season, Justin Fields has a great opportunity to replicate it (and hopefully put on an even better show) against Washington.

The Bears enter the week at 2-3, but they’ve been in the game to the end of the last two weeks against the Giants and Vikings. Hopefully, they can clean it up a bit this week. If they can, they’ll head into their Monday Night Football game next week at .500.

Game Info

Washington Commanders (1-4, 4th NFC East) at Chicago BearsΒ (2-3, 3rd NFC North) –Β Amazon Prime VideoΒ and FOX-32 (Al Michaels, Kirk Herbstreit, Kaylee Hartung);Β Westwood OneΒ (Ian Eagle, Jason McCourty);Β Spanish BroadcastΒ (Miguel Gurwitz, Ronaldo Cantu, Mayra Gomez)

Kickoff Time: 7:15 CT
Site:
Soldier Field; Chicago, IL
Referee: Adrian Hill
Odds: BEARS -1, O/U 38 (via DraftKings Sports Book)

We Got $5 On It

Note: Patrick’s listed bets were placed on Draft Kings Sportsbook, while Luis’ were made at BetMGM.

Lu’s Plays (Season Record & Net Winnings: 2-3, $19.25)

  • One Game Parlay: Darnell Mooney 3+ receptions, Darnell Mooney 30+ receiving yards, Justin Fields 200+ passing yards, Bears OVER 0.5 made field goals, Commanders UNDER 14.5 1st quarter points, Commanders UNDER 19.5 first half points, Commanders UNDER 28.5 points (+400) β€”Β Here we go again! After we hit on last week’s crazy leg parlay getting us back in the black, we’re doing it again. These all feel like feasible numbers to reach. Justin Fields has increased his passing yardage in each of his last two games. Darnell Mooney is starting to get targets (at least 5 in each of the last three games) and make big plays. Cairo Santos is still trustworthy. And the Commanders offense isn’t. Again, it feels like I’m asking for a lot to go my way. But at +400, a $5 bet pays out $25. That’s date night money for your friend, Luis.

Patrick’s Plays (Season Record & Winnings: 1-7, $-16.50)

  • Same-Game Parlay: Justin Fields alternate passing yards 225+, Justin Fields 1+ passing touchdown, Bears Moneyline (+700) β€” I went conservative last week, and I regretted it by the time Sunday rolled around. This is supposed to be fun, so we’re going to have some fun this week. Give me Justin Fields with over 225 passing yards and a touchdown with the Bears winning in orange under the lights on TNF. A $5 bet here wins us $40 bucks and gets us back into the green and buys us some victory beers.

You can get in on this action at DraftKings:

DraftKings Sportsbook

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But there are a number of other official gambling apps you can use (with some juicy promos) right here.

Starting QBs and Projected Game Stats

Commanders: Carson Wentz: 24/38, 265 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 3 carries, 15 rushing yards

vs.

Bears: Justin Fields: 13/21, 156 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT; 3 carries, 33 rushing yards

Week 6 projected stats via ESPN projections

Bears Projected Starters

Offense
β€’   QB Justin Fields
β€’   RB David Montgomery
β€’   WRs Darnell Mooney, Equanimeous St. Brown, Velus Jones Jr.
β€’   TE Cole Kmet
β€’   LT Braxton Jones, LG Lucas Patrick, C Sam Mustipher, RG Teven Jenkins, RT Larry Borom

Defense
β€’ Β  LDE Al-Quadin Muhammad, LDT Angelo Blackson, RDT Justin Jones, RDE Robert Quinn
β€’ Β  SAM Nicholas Morrow, MIKE Joe Thomas, WILL Roquan Smith
β€’ Β  LCB Jaylon Johnson (he’s back!), RCB Kyler Gordon
β€’ Β  FS Eddie Jackson, SS Jaquan Brisker

Specialists
β€’   Cairo Santos (kicker), Trenton Gill (punter, holder), Patrick Scales (long snapper), Velus Jones Jr. (kick and punt returns)

Commanders Projected Starters

Offense

β€’ Β  QB Carson Wentz
β€’ Β  RB Antonio Gibson
β€’ Β  WRs Terry McLaurin, Dyami Brown, Curtis Samuel
β€’ Β  TE John Bates
β€’ Β  LT Charles Leno Jr., LG Andrew Norwell, C Nick Martin, RG Saahdiq Charles, RT Cornelius Lucas

Defense

β€’   LDE James Smith-Williams, LDT Daron Payne, RDT Jonathan Allen, RDE Montez Sweat
β€’   WLB David Mayo, MLB Cole Holcomb, SLB Jamin Davis
β€’   LCB Kendall Fuller, RCB Rachad Wildgoose
β€’   FS Bobby McCain, SS Karmen Curl

Specialists
β€’   Joey Slye (kicker), Tress Way (punter, holder), Cameron Cheeseman (long snapper), Dax Milne (kick and punt returns)

Three Bears

Cole Kmet entered Week 5 with an uninspiring line of 8 targets, 5 catches, and 56 receiving yards in four games, but delivered his best game of the season with 4 catches and 45 receiving yards against the Vikings.

As Justin Fields gets more comfortable, Bears receivers should start to see more success. So, with Fields and Kmet having their best games of the season against Minnesota a few days ago, I am once again begging to see this connection make some progress.

Darnell Mooney has succeeded almost exclusively as a big play artist this season, so Justin will still need someone in the short-medium range and over the middle, and I’m hoping that guy is Kmet.


Justin FieldsΒ turned in his best performance of the season on Sunday against the Vikings. Fields completed 15-of-21 passes for 208 yards, a touchdown, and no interceptions. Fields’ 118.8 passer rating was the best of his career, and he looked calm and confident for much of the game, really starting when he hooked up with Darnell Mooney for this spectacular catch.

Fields even looked good on the game’s final drive before Ihmir Smith-Marsette acted as a double agent for the Vikings (I kid, but for real …) and coughed up the game in a momentary lapse in judgment.

In October (two games), Fields has completed 26-of-43 passes (60.5%) for 382 yards, a touchdown, and zero interceptions with a 97.2 passer rating. No, those aren’t amazing stats, but they’re much better than September’s numbers. Playing against the Washington secondary, which sounds like a Madden NFL auto-generated draft class (save for Kendall Fuller), Fields has a chance to continue the October trend against the Commanders.

The Commanders secondary, led by the less good Fuller brother and something called Rachad Wildgoose has allowed 235 passing yards per contest and their defense as a whole has allowed 25.6 points per game, so there’s an opportunity for Fields and the Bears offense here.


Jaylon Johnson is on track to make his return this week, and the Bears secondary desperately needs his help. Johnson missed the last three weeks with a quad injury, and the Bears’ passing defense has taken a hit.

Johnson ranks 9th among cornerbacks in PFF position grades this season, while Kindle Vildor, Kyler Gordon, and Jaylon Jones rank 38th, 88th, and 99th, respectively. Justin Jefferson cooked that Bears secondary last week, hauling in 12 passes for 154 yards, and I’m just happy that the Bears will have Jaylon back to handle Terry McLaurin this week.


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Author: Patrick K. Flowers

Patrick is a Staff Writer at Bleacher Nation. You can follow him on Twitter @PatrickKFlowers.