2024 Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds: NASCAR Navigates The New Pavement of Sonoma Raceway

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Wild West Shuffle – Navigating the Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds from Sonoma

The NASCAR Cup Series buckles up for another wild ride as they head to the scenic Sonoma Raceway! With the track sporting a brand new coat of asphalt, and two manufacturers with body styles never ran here, handicappers are left with plenty of questions in wine country.

Early odds have been released, offering a glimpse into how the betting world sees the race unfolding. Will past Sonoma masters like last season’s winner Martin Truex Jr. reign supreme, or will a new driver rise to the challenge on the resurfaced track? Buckle up race fans, as we take a look at the early Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds and which market(s) I’m attacking before practice and qualifying.

Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds

Jun 11, 2023; Sonoma, California, USA;  NASCAR Cup Series driver Martin Truex Jr. (19) celebrates with his team by drinking wine after winning the Toyota / Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway. Mandatory Credit: Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports
*Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports

The early Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds paint a fascinating picture. Sportsbooks still see Martin Truex Jr., the Sonoma King, and last year’s winner at opening odds as long as 35-1 as this season’s favorite. However, fresh asphalt and new body styles that have never run here for Ford and Toyota, throws a wrench into predictions.

Drivers like William Byron, who triumphed at the season’s only other road course, Circuit of the Americas, and former road course master Chase Elliott are intriguing this week. With the track a mystery, there may be plenty of value to be found further down the board. See the entire Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds board from DraftKings Sportsbook below.

DriverOdds to Win
Martin Truex Jr.+550
William Byron+750
Ty Gibbs+750
Kyle Larson+750
Christopher Bell+750
Tyler Reddick+850
Chase Elliott+850
A.J. Allmendinger+1300
Michael McDowell+1400
Chris Buescher+1400
Denny Hamlin+2000
Ross Chastain+2200
Daniel Suarez+2200
Austin Cindric+2200
Will Brown+2800
Ryan Blaney+2800
Kyle Busch+2800
Joey Logano+4500
Alex Bowman+4500
Cameron Waters+6500
Todd Gilliland+10000
Justin Haley+10000
Chase Briscoe+10000
Carson Hocevar+10000
Brad Keselowski+10000
Bubba Wallace+20000
Austin Dillon+30000
Noah Gragson+40000
John Hunter Nemechek+40000
Corey Lajoie+40000
Zane Smith+50000
Ryan Preece+50000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+50000
Kaz Grala+50000
Josh Berry+50000
Harrison Burton+50000
Erik Jones+50000
Daniel Hemric+50000
*Odds current at time of publication

Early Toyota/Save Mart 350 Odds Bets

Road Courses have traditionally been extremely predictable with the contenders and pretenders evident based on specific track and track type history. This week’s visit to Sonoma Raceway doesn’t fit this narrative with fresh asphalt laid down and two of the manufacturers running their first race here in new body styles. All that said, I think we can bank on traditional road course racers excelling here and have found a couple of pre-practice values I’m excited about. Check out the Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds I’m betting before cars start ripping laps from wine country.

Tyler Reddick to Win +1000 (FD) | Top 5 +150 (CZRS)

Tyler Reddick is one of, if not the best road racer in NASCAR and has enticing pre-practice Toyota/Save Mart 350 odds.
*Peter Casey-USA TODAY Sports

Since the unveiling of the next-gen car, Tyler Reddick has been the clear top dog on road courses. He has an average finish of 9.5 and only two finishes worse than 8th over these 14 races. Unfortunately, those two results came here at Sonoma, which, unlike the rest of the road courses, was as much about tire preservation as it was about racecraft.

That will not be the case this year with the repave, leading me to believe Reddick’s usual speed on road courses should prevail making his pre-practice numbers very enticing. Especially considering Red Dog has never failed to impress on Saturdays ahead of road races. Tyler failed to qualify, or start a road course race 5th or better just ONCE in the next-gen car, and began our first road trip this season 3rd at COTA.

Find great NASCAR gear, including Tyler Reddick & 23XI, at FANATICS!

In addition to targeting odds that I think have a good probability of hitting, I’m always looking for numbers that may shorten after we see practice and qualifying. This helped us cash Martin Truex Jr. Top 3 +1000 last year at Sonoma Raceway, and I think Reddick might be that guy this year to a lesser extent.

The books clearly had difficulty handicapping this race, posting 7 drivers shorter than 10-1 with Tyler being one of them. He’s a risk like everyone else near the top. But considering Reddick was opening as the favorite on most road courses last season, it’s worth it. Let’s Go Red Dog!

written by

Brian is just a regular guy whose first passion was sports. He's either been playing, watching, now working in, and recreationally betting on sports for over 30 years. His favorite sports to bet are Football (NFL/NCAAF), College Basketball, and the NASCAR Cup Series. In addition to being a content contributor here at Bleacher Nation, Brian co-hosts the Angle of Pursuit Nascar Betting Podcast , & is also the FantasyLifeApp breaking news moderator/manager.

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