Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Friday, March 3, 2023

March 2, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Miami (OH) RedHawks (12-18, 6-11 MAC) are underdogs (+8.5) for an attempt to build on a four-game win streak when they visit the Buffalo Bulls (14-16, 8-9 MAC) at 7:00 PM ET on Friday, March 3, 2023 at Alumni Arena. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 152.5 points.

Buffalo vs. Miami (OH) Odds

Buffalo odds to win: -401
Miami (OH) odds to win: +315
Spread: Buffalo (-8.5)
Total: 152.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
Time: 7:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN+
Where: Buffalo, New York
Venue: Alumni Arena

Who Will Win Buffalo vs. Miami (OH)?

Buffalo and Miami (OH) Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Buffalo is 2-1 against the spread when favored by 8.5 points or more this season.

Miami (OH) is 4-5 against the spread when an underdog by 8.5 points or more this year.

These two teams average a combined 151.9 points per game, 0.6 fewer points than the total of 152.5 set for this game.

Buffalo and Miami (OH) have seen their opponents average a combined 0.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 152.5 set for this outing.

Buffalo’s average point total in matchups this year is 155.2, 2.7 points higher than the total in this game.

RedHawks games this season have averaged a total of 148.2 points, 4.3 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

The Bulls have gone 15-13-0 ATS this season.

So far this year, the RedHawks have put together a 13-14-0 record against the spread.

Buffalo Stats & Insights

Buffalo scores 77.9 points per game (44th in college basketball) and allows 77.4 (346th in college basketball) for a +15 scoring differential overall.

Buffalo is 33rd in the nation at 34.8 rebounds per game. That’s 2.8 more than the 32 its opponents average.

The Bulls hit 7.1 three-pointers per game (216th in college basketball) at a 32.4% rate (281st in college basketball), compared to the 7.5 their opponents make while shooting 34.5% from beyond the arc.

Buffalo ranks 206th in college basketball by averaging 92.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 203rd in college basketball, allowing 92.2 points per 100 possessions.

When playing at home, the Bulls are putting up 8.6 more points per game (83.2) than they are in away games (74.6).

Miami (OH) Stats & Insights

Miami (OH) scores 74 points per game (124th in college basketball) and allows 74.2 (296th in college basketball) for a -7 scoring differential overall.

The 29.2 rebounds per game Miami (OH) accumulates rank 306th in the nation, 2.4 fewer than the 31.6 its opponents collect.

Miami (OH) makes 8 three-pointers per game (110th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 7.2. It shoots 34.1% from deep, and its opponents shoot 34.4%.

Miami (OH) ranks 138th in college basketball with 95.3 points scored per 100 possessions, and 293rd defensively with 95.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The RedHawks are putting up more points at home (78.1 per game) than away (68.8).

Buffalo Key Players to Watch

The Bulls scoring leader is Curtis Jones, who averages 15.1 per contest to go with 4.9 rebounds and 3.1 assists.

Buffalo’s leading rebounder is LaQuill Hardnett averaging 7.3 boards per game and its best passer is Armoni Foster and his four assists per game.

Jones makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bulls, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.4 per contest.

Zid Powell is Buffalo’s leader in steals, averaging 1.7 steals per game, while Jonnivius Smith leads them in blocks with 0.8 per contest.

Miami (OH) Key Players to Watch

The RedHawks’ Mekhi Lairy puts up enough points (17.6 per game) and assists (3.9 per game) to sit atop the squad’s leaderboards.

Morgan Safford is at the top of the Miami (OH) rebounding leaderboard with 5.9 rebounds per game. He also scores 15.2 points and adds 2.4 assists per game.

Lairy is the top scorer from the three-point line for the RedHawks, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

Lairy (1.3 steals per game) is the steal leader for Miami (OH) while Anderson Mirambeaux (0.9 blocks per game) is the block leader.