North Dakota vs. Denver Summit Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The No. 9 seed North Dakota Fightin’ Hawks (12-19, 6-12 Summit) are 1-point favorites in the Summit Tournament against the No. 8 seed Denver Pioneers (15-16, 6-12 Summit) on Friday at Denny Sanford Premier Center. The game begins at 7:00 PM and airs on ESPN+, with the winner moving one step closer to securing a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under of 149.5 points.
North Dakota vs. Denver Odds
- North Dakota odds to win: -117
- Denver odds to win: -103
- Spread: North Dakota (-1)
- Total: 149.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Sioux Falls, South Dakota
- Venue: Denny Sanford Premier Center
Who Will Win North Dakota vs. Denver?
North Dakota and Denver Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
North Dakota has a 2-2 record against the spread when favored by 1 point or more this season.
Denver has a 7-10 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
The Fightin’ Hawks and the Pioneers combine to average 5.2 fewer points per game than the total of 149.5 set for this matchup.
North Dakota and Denver have seen their opponents average a combined 1.3 fewer points per game than the point total of 149.5 set in this outing.
The average over/under North Dakota has had set in games this season is 4.6 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Pioneers games this season is 1.9 fewer points than the point total of 149.5 for this outing.
The Fightin’ Hawks have a 15-13-1 record against the spread this season.
The Pioneers are 14-15-0 ATS this year.
North Dakota Stats & Insights
North Dakota has a -57 scoring differential, falling short by 1.9 points per game. It is putting up 71.5 points per game to rank 182nd in college basketball and is allowing 73.4 per outing to rank 280th in college basketball.
North Dakota ranks 225th in college basketball at 31.1 rebounds per game. That’s 1.6 fewer than the 32.7 its opponents average.
The Fightin’ Hawks connect on 9.1 three-pointers per game (31st in college basketball), 2.6 more than their opponents (6.5).
North Dakota’s 94.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 171st in college basketball, and the 96.7 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 315th in college basketball.
At home, the Fightin’ Hawks are scoring 3.9 more points per game (73.4) than they are when playing on the road (69.5).
Denver Stats & Insights
Denver puts up 72.8 points per game (155th in college basketball) while allowing 74.8 per contest (309th in college basketball). It has a -62 scoring differential and has been outscored by two points per game.
The 32 rebounds per game Denver accumulates rank 163rd in college basketball, 4.7 more than the 27.3 its opponents record.
Denver knocks down 4.5 three-pointers per game (360th in college basketball), 3.6 fewer than its opponents. It is shooting 32.5% from beyond the arc (277th in college basketball) and its opponents are shooting 33.4%.
Denver ranks 187th in college basketball averaging 93.7 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 308th, allowing 96.3 points per 100 possessions.
The Pioneers are putting up more points at home (75.4 per game) than on the road (69.5).
North Dakota Key Players to Watch
The Fightin’ Hawks scoring leader is B.J. Omot, who averages 12 per contest to go with 3.8 rebounds and 1.3 assists.
Tsotne Tsartsidze leads North Dakota in rebounding, averaging 5.5 per game, while Jalun Trent leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 2.5 in each contest.
Matt Norman leads the Fightin’ Hawks in three-point shooting, making an average of 2.4 shots per game from beyond the arc.
The North Dakota steals leader is Treysen Eaglestaff, who averages 0.7 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Omot, who compiles one block per contest.
Denver Key Players to Watch
Tommy Bruner’s points (15.8 per game) and assists (4.1 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Pioneers’ leaderboards.
Tyree Corbett grabs 8.3 rebounds per game (he also scores 10.1 points per game and adds 0.6 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Denver rebounding leaderboard.
Bruner is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Pioneers, hitting 1.5 threes per game.
Denver’s leader in steals is Justin Mullins with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Tevin Smith with 0.8 per game.
North Dakota vs. Denver Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
North Dakota 73, Denver 72
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How to Bet on North Dakota vs. Denver
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