Liberty vs. Eastern Kentucky ASUN Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The No. 2 seed Liberty Flames (25-7, 15-3 ASUN) and the No. 3 seed Eastern Kentucky Colonels (20-12, 12-6 ASUN) will look to advance in the ASUN tournament on Thursday as they meet in the conference tournament at 7:00 PM on ESPN+. Liberty is listed as a 12.5-point favorite to win this contest and advance closer to an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total in the matchup is set at 141.5.
Liberty vs. Eastern Kentucky Odds
- Liberty odds to win: -909
- Eastern Kentucky odds to win: +600
- Spread: Liberty (-12.5)
- Total: 141.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Lynchburg, Virginia
- Venue: Liberty Arena
Who Will Win Liberty vs. Eastern Kentucky?
Liberty and Eastern Kentucky Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Liberty is 10-3 against the spread when favored by 12.5 points or more this season.
Eastern Kentucky is 1-3 against the spread when an underdog by 12.5 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 11.3 more points per game (152.8) than this matchup’s over/under of 141.5 points.
Liberty and Eastern Kentucky have seen their opponents average a combined 9.5 fewer points per game than the point total of 141.5 set in this matchup.
Liberty’s average point total in outings this year is 135.4, 6.1 points below the over/under in this game.
The average over/under in Colonels games this year is 7.9 more points than the point total of 141.5 in this outing.
The Flames are 18-12-0 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Colonels have compiled an 18-11-0 record against the spread.
Liberty Stats & Insights
Liberty’s +489 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 15.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 75.3 points per game (102nd in college basketball) while allowing 60.1 per outing (ninth in college basketball).
Liberty is 250th in college basketball at 30.7 rebounds per game. That’s four more than the 26.7 its opponents average.
The Flames connect on 10.6 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in college basketball), four more than their opponents (6.6).
Liberty’s 105.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank third in college basketball, and the 84.3 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 32nd in college basketball.
The Flames are putting up 79.7 points per game when playing at home. In road games, they are averaging 71.6 points per contest.
Eastern Kentucky Stats & Insights
Eastern Kentucky puts up 77.5 points per game (48th in college basketball) while allowing 71.9 per outing (239th in college basketball). It has a +179 scoring differential and outscores opponents by 5.6 points per game.
The 37 rebounds per game Eastern Kentucky accumulates rank sixth in the nation, 3.1 more than the 33.9 its opponents record.
Eastern Kentucky makes 8.6 three-pointers per game (56th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 8. It shoots 33.7% from deep, and its opponents shoot 32.9%.
Eastern Kentucky puts up 92.3 points per 100 possessions (218th in college basketball), while allowing 85.7 points per 100 possessions (51st in college basketball).
The Colonels average 86.6 points per game at home, and 68.4 on the road.
Liberty Key Players to Watch
The scoring leader for the Flames this season is Darius McGhee, who averages 22.5 points, 3.2 rebounds, and 2.9 assists per game.
Liberty’s leading rebounder is Blake Preston averaging 5.3 boards per game and its best passer is Colin Porter and his 3.8 assists per game.
The Flames get the most three-point shooting production out of McGhee, who knocks down 4.6 threes per game.
McGhee is Liberty’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Shiloh Robinson leads them in blocks with 0.6 per contest.
Eastern Kentucky Key Players to Watch
Devontae Blanton is the top scorer for the Colonels with 16.4 points per game. He also adds 6.3 rebounds and 2.9 assists per game to his stats.
Isaiah Cozart puts up a stat line of 7.2 rebounds, 9 points and 0.3 assists per game for Eastern Kentucky to take the top rebound spot on the team. Tayshawn Comer has the top spot for assists with 3.6 per game, adding 7.6 points and 2.2 rebounds per matchup.
Michael Moreno is the top shooter from deep for the Colonels, hitting 2.6 threes per game.
Eastern Kentucky’s leader in steals is Cooper Robb (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Cozart (2.5 per game).
Liberty vs. Eastern Kentucky Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Liberty (-12.5)
- Pick OU:
Under (141.5)
- Prediction:
Liberty 76, Eastern Kentucky 63
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How to Bet on Liberty vs. Eastern Kentucky
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