Long Beach State vs. CSU Bakersfield Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

March 2, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The CSU Bakersfield Roadrunners (10-19, 6-12 Big West) are heavy underdogs (+11) as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they visit the Long Beach State Beach (16-14, 10-8 Big West) at 10:00 PM ET on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Walter Pyramid. The contest airs on ESPN+. The point total is 140.5 in the matchup.

Long Beach State vs. CSU Bakersfield Odds

Long Beach State odds to win: -651
CSU Bakersfield odds to win: +464
Spread: Long Beach State (-11)
Total: 140.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
Time: 10:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN+
Where: Long Beach, California
Venue: Walter Pyramid

Who Will Win Long Beach State vs. CSU Bakersfield?

Long Beach State and CSU Bakersfield Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Long Beach State is 0-2 against the spread when favored by 11 points or more this season.

When it has played as at least a 11-point underdog this season, CSU Bakersfield is 1-2 against the spread.

These teams average a combined 137.9 points per game, 2.6 fewer points than the total of 140.5 set for this matchup.

Long Beach State and CSU Bakersfield have seen their opponents average a combined 1.8 fewer points per game than the over/under of 140.5 set in this outing.

The average total for Long Beach State’s games this season is 9.5 more points than the over/under of 140.5 in this game.

The average point total for the Roadrunners this season is 13.9 points fewer than this game’s over/under.

The Beach’s ATS record is 11-16-1 this season.

The Roadrunners have a 12-15-0 record against the spread this year.

Long Beach State Stats & Insights

Long Beach State has a +74 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.4 points per game. It is putting up 76.2 points per game to rank 73rd in college basketball and is allowing 73.8 per outing to rank 289th in college basketball.

Long Beach State wins the rebound battle by 6.0 boards on average. It collects 37.4 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 31.4 per outing.

The Beach make 4.3 three-pointers per game (362nd in college basketball) while shooting 29.6% from beyond the arc (350th in college basketball). They are making 4.1 fewer threes per outing than their opponents, who drain 8.4 per game while shooting 33.6%.

Long Beach State ranks 243rd in college basketball with 91.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 91st in college basketball defensively with 88.2 points conceded per 100 possessions.

Offensively the Beach have played worse when playing at home this year, scoring 77.1 points per game, compared to 77.3 per game in road games.

CSU Bakersfield Stats & Insights

CSU Bakersfield has a -95 scoring differential, falling short by 3.2 points per game. It is putting up 61.7 points per game, 354th in college basketball, and is giving up 64.9 per outing to rank 41st in college basketball.

CSU Bakersfield ranks 318th in the nation at 28.9 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 28.8 its opponents average.

CSU Bakersfield hits 4.5 three-pointers per game (359th in college basketball) while shooting 34.4% from beyond the arc (178th in college basketball). It is making 2.9 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.4 per game at 34.3%.

CSU Bakersfield ranks 328th in college basketball with 86.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and 177th defensively with 91.3 points conceded per 100 possessions.

At home the Roadrunners are putting up 64.5 points per game, 6.2 more than they are averaging on the road (58.3).

Long Beach State Key Players to Watch

Marcus Tsohonis leads the Beach in scoring, tallying 15.1 points per game to go with 3.3 rebounds and 2.0 assists.

Lassina Traore leads Long Beach State in rebounding, averaging 10.3 per game, while Aboubacar Traore leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.4 in each contest.

Jadon Jones leads the Beach in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.6 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Jones is Long Beach State’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.5 steals and 0.8 blocks per game.

CSU Bakersfield Key Players to Watch

Antavion Collum puts up 12.7 points per game to be the top scorer for the Roadrunners.

CSU Bakersfield’s leader in rebounds is Cameron Smith with 5.4 per game, and its leader in assists is Ivan Reynolds with 2.4 per game.

Marvin McGhee is the most prolific from deep for the Roadrunners, hitting 1.8 threes per game.

CSU Bakersfield’s leader in steals is Reynolds (1.4 per game), and its leader in blocks is Travis Henson (1.0 per game).