Memphis vs. SMU Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The Memphis Tigers (22-7, 12-4 AAC) hit the road in AAC action against the SMU Mustangs (10-19, 5-11 AAC) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET. The Tigers are favored by 6 points in the game. The over/under for the matchup is 153.5.
Memphis vs. SMU Odds
- Memphis odds to win: -278
- SMU odds to win: +226
- Spread: Memphis (-6)
- Total: 153.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN2
- Where: Dallas, Texas
- Venue: Moody Coliseum
Who Will Win Memphis vs. SMU?
Memphis and SMU Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Memphis is 6-9-2 against the spread when favored by 6 points or more this season.
SMU has a 5-7 record against the spread this season when an underdog by 6 points or more.
The two teams average a combined 3.2 fewer points per game (150.3) than this game’s over/under of 153.5 points.
Memphis and SMU have seen their opponents average a combined 5.7 fewer points per game than the over/under of 153.5 set for this matchup.
The average point total in Memphis’ games this year is 0.4 fewer points than the over/under of 153.5 in this matchup.
Mustangs games this season have averaged a total of 145.0 points, 8.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The Tigers have a 12-15-2 record against the spread this season.
The Mustangs’ ATS record is 11-16-2 this season.
Memphis Stats & Insights
Memphis’ +195 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 79.9 points per game (23rd in college basketball) while giving up 73.2 per outing (271st in college basketball).
Memphis comes out on top in the rebound battle by an average of 1.1 boards. It is collecting 32.1 rebounds per game (158th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 31.0 per contest.
The Tigers hit 2.4 fewer threes per contest than the opposition, 5.7 (331st in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 8.1.
Memphis scores 96.3 points per 100 possessions (114th in college basketball), while allowing 88.2 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball).
Offensively the Tigers have played worse at home this season, scoring 81.0 points per game, compared to 82.1 per game on the road.
SMU Stats & Insights
SMU has a -122 scoring differential, falling short by 4.2 points per game. It is putting up 70.4 points per game, 208th in college basketball, and is allowing 74.6 per contest to rank 305th in college basketball.
The 31.3 rebounds per game SMU accumulates rank 212th in the nation, 3.0 fewer than the 34.3 its opponents pull down.
SMU makes 6.4 three-pointers per game (284th in college basketball) while shooting 31.5% from beyond the arc (322nd in college basketball). It is making 1.2 fewer threes than its opponents, who drain 7.6 per game at 33.8%.
SMU averages 87.7 points per 100 possessions on offense (317th in college basketball), and allows 93.0 points per 100 possessions (229th in college basketball).
At home the Mustangs are putting up 71.5 points per game, 4.0 more than they are averaging on the road (67.5).
Memphis Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Tigers is Kendric Davis, who scores 21.3 points and distributes 5.6 assists per game.
DeAndre Williams is Memphis’ best rebounder, hauling in an average of 7.9 boards in each contest while scoring 17.5 points per game.
The Tigers get the most three-point shooting production out of Davis, who knocks down 1.6 threes per game.
The Memphis steals leader is Davis, who averages 2.1 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Kaodirichi Akobundu-Ehiogu, who compiles 1.6 rejections per contest.
SMU Key Players to Watch
Zhuric Phelps scores 17.6 points and tacks on 3.2 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Mustangs’ leaderboards in those statistics.
Samuell Williamson is at the top of the SMU rebounding leaderboard with 7.2 rebounds per game. He also scores 9.1 points and adds 2.7 assists per game.
Zach Nutall is the most prolific from deep for the Mustangs, hitting 2.0 threes per game.
SMU’s leader in steals is Phelps with 2.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is Williamson with 0.8 per game.
Memphis vs. SMU Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Memphis 79, SMU 70
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How to Bet on Memphis vs. SMU
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