Mercer vs. Citadel SoCon Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The No. 8 seed Mercer Bears (13-18, 6-12 SoCon) are 6.5-point favorites to win and move closer to a guaranteed berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket against the No. 9 seed Citadel Bulldogs (10-21, 5-13 SoCon) in the SoCon Tournament Friday at Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville, tipping off at 5:00 PM on ESPN+. The matchup has an over/under of 134.5 points.
Mercer vs. Citadel Odds
- Mercer odds to win: -302
- Citadel odds to win: +242
- Spread: Mercer (-6.5)
- Total: 134.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 5:00 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Asheville, North Carolina
- Venue: Harrah’s Cherokee Center Asheville
Who Will Win Mercer vs. Citadel?
Mercer and Citadel Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Mercer is 4-2 against the spread when favored by 6.5 points or more this season.
Citadel has a 6-9-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 6.5 points or more.
The Bears and Bulldogs average three more points between them than the over/under of 134.5 for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.6 more points per game, 142.1, than this game’s total of 134.5 points.
Mercer’s average point total in matchups this season is 136.8, 2.3 points higher than the over/under in this game.
The average over/under for Bulldogs games this season is 8.2 more points than the point total of 134.5 for this outing.
The Bears have gone 13-17-0 ATS this season.
The Bulldogs are 12-17-1 against the spread this year.
Mercer Stats & Insights
Mercer’s +47 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.6 points per game) is a result of scoring 69.2 points per game (248th in college basketball) while allowing 67.6 per outing (106th in college basketball).
Mercer ranks 217th in college basketball at 31.2 rebounds per game. That’s 1.5 more than the 29.7 its opponents average.
The Bears connect on 6.1 three-pointers per game (310th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 6.2. They shoot 34.4% from deep while their opponents hit 33.6% from long range.
Mercer’s 93.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 200th in college basketball, and the 91.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 172nd in college basketball.
The Bears are putting up 72.5 points per game at home. When playing on the road, they are averaging 66.9 points per contest.
Citadel Stats & Insights
Citadel is being outscored by 6.2 points per game, with a -191 scoring differential overall. It puts up 68.3 points per game (269th in college basketball), and allows 74.5 per outing (304th in college basketball).
Citadel grabs 29.2 rebounds per game (306th in college basketball) while conceding 34.3 per outing to opponents. It is outrebounded by 5.1 boards per game.
Citadel makes 7.3 three-pointers per game (198th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 8.2 on average.
Citadel’s 90.3 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 264th in college basketball, and the 98.4 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 339th in college basketball.
At home, the Bulldogs score 70.6 points per game. On the road, they average 65.5.
Mercer Key Players to Watch
Jalyn McCreary leads the Bears in scoring and rebounding, putting up 15.2 points and 5.5 boards per game.
Luis Hurtado leads Mercer in assists, averaging 3.3 per game while also scoring 7.4 points per contest.
Kamar Robertson leads the Bears in three-point shooting, making an average of 1.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Robertson is Mercer’s leader in steals, averaging one steal per game, while McCreary leads them in blocks with 0.6 per contest.
Citadel Key Players to Watch
Stephen Clark has the top spot on the Bulldogs leaderboards for scoring (16.6 per game), rebounds (6.5 per game), and assists (2.8 per game).
Austin Ash hits 3.4 three-pointers per game, the most on the Bulldogs.
Citadel’s leader in steals is Elijah Morgan (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is Clark (1.8 per game).
Mercer vs. Citadel Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Mercer 71, Citadel 67
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How to Bet on Mercer vs. Citadel
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