Missouri State vs. UIC MVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The MVC conference tournament continues Thursday as the No. 6 seed Missouri State Bears (16-14, 12-8 MVC) face off against the No. 11 seed UIC Flames (12-19, 4-16 MVC) at Enterprise Center, beginning at 9:30 PM on ESPN+. Missouri State is an 8-point favorite to move one step closer to an automatic berth in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The point total is set at 127.5 in the matchup.
Missouri State vs. UIC Odds
- Missouri State odds to win: -390
- UIC odds to win: +308
- Spread: Missouri State (-8)
- Total: 127.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: St. Louis, Missouri
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Who Will Win Missouri State vs. UIC?
Missouri State and UIC Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season it was favored by 8 points or more, Missouri State has a 3-3 record against the spread.
In games it has played as at least a 8-point underdog this year, UIC is 6-6 against the spread.
These two teams average 133.3 points per game combined, 5.8 more than the over/under of 127.5.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 7.7 more points per game, 135.2, than this game’s over/under of 127.5 points.
The average total Missouri State has had set in games this season is 1.9 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Flames games this year is 11.5 more points than the point total of 127.5 in this outing.
The Bears’ ATS record is 14-15-0 this season.
The Flames are 17-11-2 against the spread this year.
Missouri State Stats & Insights
Missouri State is outscoring opponents by 2.1 points per game with a +63 scoring differential overall. It puts up 65.8 points per game (324th in college basketball) and gives up 63.7 per contest (29th in college basketball).
The 32.4 rebounds per game Missouri State averages rank 139th in the country, and are 3.9 more than the 28.5 its opponents pull down per outing.
The Bears make 8.0 three-pointers per game (109th in college basketball), 1.2 more than their opponents (6.8).
Missouri State averages 91.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (243rd in college basketball), and gives up 88.2 points per 100 possessions (91st in college basketball).
In home games, the Bears are posting 3.3 more points per game (67.5) than they are in road games (64.2).
UIC Stats & Insights
UIC is being outscored by 4.0 points per game, with a -126 scoring differential overall. It puts up 67.5 points per game (287th in college basketball), and allows 71.5 per outing (226th in college basketball).
The 28.3 rebounds per game UIC accumulates rank 336th in the country, 5.9 fewer than the 34.2 its opponents collect.
UIC connects on 8.1 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) at a 33.2% rate (243rd in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 per game its opponents make, at a 33.9% rate.
UIC ranks 324th in college basketball averaging 87.1 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 206th, allowing 92.3 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Flames average 68.5 points per game. On the road, they average 64.1.
Missouri State Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Bears is Donovan Clay, who scores 11.9 points and dishes out 3.5 assists per game.
Missouri State’s best rebounder is Jonathan Mogbo, who averages 7.0 boards per game in addition to his 8.0 PPG average.
Chance Moore makes more threes per game than any other member of the Bears, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.7 per contest.
Mogbo is Missouri State’s leader in steals and blocks, racking up 1.3 steals and 1.1 blocks per game.
UIC Key Players to Watch
Jace Carter is at the top of the Flames scoring leaderboard with 16.7 points per game. He also pulls down 7.0 rebounds and averages 1.6 assists per game.
The UIC leaders in rebounding and assists are Toby Okani with 7.1 rebounds per game (he also adds 11.1 points and 2.3 assists per game) and Trevante Anderson with 3.6 assists per game (he also tacks on 13.2 points and 3.2 rebounds per game).
Anderson knocks down 1.9 three-pointers per game, the most on the Flames.
Carter (1.7 steals per game) is the steal leader for UIC while Okani (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Missouri State vs. UIC Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Missouri State 71, UIC 64
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How to Bet on Missouri State vs. UIC
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