Navy vs. American Patriot Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

The No. 2 seed Navy Midshipmen (18-12, 11-7 Patriot) are favored by 6.5 points in their Patriot Tournament matchup against the No. 7 seed American Eagles (16-14, 7-11 Patriot) on Thursday at Navy Alumni Hall, tipping off at 7:00 PM on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup’s over/under is set at 126.

Navy vs. American Odds

• Navy odds to win: -291
• American odds to win: +234
• Spread: Navy (-6.5)
• Total: 126

Navy vs. American Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Annapolis, Maryland
• Venue: Navy Alumni Hall

Who Will Win Navy vs. American?

Navy and American Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

In games it has played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, Navy is 1-5 against the spread.

American has a 2-1 record against the spread when an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 9.5 more points per game, 135.5, than this game’s total of 126 points.

Navy and American have seen its opponents average a combined 5.2 more points per game than the point total of 126 set for this game.

The average total Navy has had in its games this year is 9.4 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for the Eagles this season is 5.3 points higher than this game’s over/under.

The Midshipmen are 16-13-0 against the spread this season.

The Eagles are 12-18-0 ATS this year.

Navy Stats & Insights

Navy is outscoring opponents by 4.6 points per game with a +140 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70 points per game (219th in college basketball) and allows 65.4 per outing (56th in college basketball).

Navy wins the rebound battle by 3.1 boards on average. It records 31.9 rebounds per game, which ranks 171st in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 28.8 per outing.

The Midshipmen connect on 7.8 three-pointers per game (136th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.3. They shoot 37.4% from deep while their opponents hit 34% from long range.

Navy puts up 95.1 points per 100 possessions (145th in college basketball), while giving up 88.7 points per 100 possessions (108th in college basketball).

Offensively, the Midshipmen have played better when playing at home this year, averaging 70.3 points per game, compared to 69.8 per game in road games.

American Stats & Insights

American scores 65.5 points per game (327th in college basketball) and concedes 65.8 (65th in college basketball) for a -10 scoring differential overall.

The 27.9 rebounds per game American accumulates rank 350th in the country, 1.6 more than the 26.3 its opponents grab.

American knocks down 6.3 three-pointers per game (296th in college basketball) at a 34.7% rate (160th in college basketball), compared to the 6.6 its opponents make, shooting 38.2% from beyond the arc.

American’s 94 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 173rd in college basketball, and the 94.4 points it concedes per 100 possessions rank 267th in college basketball.

In 2022-23 the Eagles are scoring 2.1 more points per game at home (66.6) than on the road (64.5).

Navy Key Players to Watch

Daniel Deaver leads the Midshipmen in points, rebounds and assists, scoring 13.4 points, pulling down 6.8 boards and dishing out 2.8 assists per game.

Tyler Nelson makes more threes per game than any other member of the Midshipmen, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.8 per contest.

Nelson is a standout on the defensive end for Navy, leading the team in steals with 1.2 per game and blocks with one per contest.

American Key Players to Watch

Matt Rogers averages 13.7 points per game to be the top scorer for the Eagles.

Johnny O’Neil has a stat line of 6.5 rebounds, 11.1 points and 1.2 assists per game for American to take the top rebound spot on the team. Elijah Stephens has the top spot for assists with four per game, adding 9.7 points and two rebounds per contest.

O’Neil is the top scorer from deep for the Eagles, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

American’s leader in steals is Stephens (1.7 per game), and its leader in blocks is O’Neil (1.6 per game).

Navy vs. American Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Navy (-6.5)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (126)
  

• Prediction:
  Navy 72, American 62

How to Bet on Navy vs. American

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