Old Dominion vs. Texas State Sun Belt Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023

The No. 6 seed Old Dominion Monarchs (19-11, 11-7 Sun Belt) are favored by four points in the Sun Belt Tournament over the No. 11 seed Texas State Bobcats (14-18, 6-12 Sun Belt). The teams will hit the court Thursday at 6:00 PM live on ESPN+, with the winner moving closer to a guaranteed spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The matchup has an over/under set at 130 points.

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Odds

• Old Dominion odds to win: -191
• Texas State odds to win: +160
• Spread: Old Dominion (-4)
• Total: 130

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
• Time: 6:00 PM ET
• TV: ESPN+
• Where: Pensacola, Florida
• Venue: Pensacola Bay Center

Who Will Win Old Dominion vs. Texas State?

Old Dominion and Texas State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

Old Dominion has a 5-5 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.

When it has played as at least a 4-point underdog this year, Texas State is 4-6 against the spread.

The Monarchs and the Bobcats combine to average four more points per game than the over/under of 130 set for this game.

Opponents of the two teams average a combined 3.9 more points per game (133.9) than this matchup’s total of 130 points.

The average over/under Old Dominion has had in its games this season is 4.1 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The average point total for the Bobcats this year is 3.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.

So far this season, the Monarchs have compiled a 16-13-0 record against the spread.

The Bobcats’ ATS record is 10-18-1 this season.

Old Dominion Stats & Insights

Old Dominion outscores opponents by 1.7 points per game (scoring 67.9 per game to rank 275th in college basketball while allowing 66.2 per contest to rank 70th in college basketball) and has a +50 scoring differential overall.

Old Dominion ranks 32nd in college basketball at 34.9 rebounds per game. That’s 4.4 more than the 30.5 its opponents average.

The Monarchs hit 5.4 three-pointers per game (341st in college basketball), two fewer than their opponents (7.4). They are shooting 31.8% from deep (305th in college basketball) while allowing opponents to shoot 31.2%.

Old Dominion ranks 272nd in college basketball with 90.1 points scored per 100 possessions, and 84th in college basketball defensively with 87.9 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Monarchs average 67.9 points per game when playing at home, compared to 66.9 points per game when playing on the road, a difference of one points per contest.

Texas State Stats & Insights

Texas State’s -51 scoring differential (being outscored by 1.6 points per game) is a result of putting up 66.1 points per game (319th in college basketball) while giving up 67.7 per outing (108th in college basketball).

Texas State is 284th in college basketball at 29.8 rebounds per game. That’s 1.8 more than the 28 its opponents average.

Texas State knocks down 4.3 three-pointers per game (361st in college basketball), two fewer than its opponents.

Texas State ranks 239th in college basketball with 91.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and 248th defensively with 93.6 points conceded per 100 possessions.

The Bobcats score 66.1 points per game at home, and 63.9 away.

Old Dominion Key Players to Watch

The leader in points and assists for the Monarchs is Chaunce Jenkins, who scores 13.8 points and dishes out 2.9 assists per game.

Mekhi Long leads Old Dominion in rebounding, pulling down 8.7 boards per game while also scoring 10.9 points a contest.

The Monarchs get the most three-point shooting production out of Tyreek Scott-Grayson, who knocks down 1.4 threes per game.

Long is Old Dominion’s leader in steals, averaging 1.5 steals per game, while Dericko Williams leads them in blocks with 0.9 per contest.

Texas State Key Players to Watch

Mason Harrell’s points (15.9 per game) and assists (2.4 per game) stat lines give him the top scoring and assists spots on the Bobcats’ leaderboards.

Tyler Morgan grabs 6.1 rebounds per game (he also scores 9.1 points per game and adds 1.6 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Texas State rebounding leaderboard.

Harrell is consistent from three-point range and leads the Bobcats with 1.4 made threes per game.

Texas State’s leader in steals is Harrell with 1.1 per game, and its leader in blocks is Nate Martin with 0.8 per game.

Old Dominion vs. Texas State Prediction

• Pick ATS:

  Old Dominion (-4)
  

• Pick OU:

  Over (130)
  

• Prediction:
  Old Dominion 69, Texas State 64

How to Bet on Old Dominion vs. Texas State

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