Oregon vs. Cal Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The California Golden Bears (3-26, 2-16 Pac-12) are heavy underdogs (+20) as they try to break a 10-game road slide when they take on the Oregon Ducks (16-13, 10-8 Pac-12) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at Matthew Knight Arena. The game airs at 11:00 PM ET on Fox Sports 1. The over/under in the matchup is 129.5.
Oregon vs. Cal Odds
- Oregon odds to win: -3697
- Cal odds to win: +1420
- Spread: Oregon (-20)
- Total: 129.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 11:00 PM ET
- TV: Fox Sports 1
- Where: Eugene, Oregon
- Venue: Matthew Knight Arena
Who Will Win Oregon vs. Cal?
Oregon and Cal Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Oregon is a perfect 1-0 against the spread when favored by 20 points or more this season.
Cal is 1-1 against the spread when an underdog by 20 points or more this year.
The Ducks and the Golden Bears combine to average 0.5 fewer points per game than the total of 129.5 set for this game.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 136.9 points per game, 7.4 more than the over/under for this game.
The average total Oregon has had set in games this season is 8.2 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under for Golden Bears games this year is 1.3 fewer points than the point total of 129.5 in this outing.
The Ducks are 13-16-0 ATS this season.
The Golden Bears’ ATS record is 12-17-0 this season.
Oregon Stats & Insights
Oregon’s +95 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 3.3 points per game) is a result of scoring 70.5 points per game (206th in college basketball) while allowing 67.2 per outing (94th in college basketball).
Oregon ranks 64th in the nation at 33.8 rebounds per game. That’s 4.9 more than the 28.9 its opponents average.
The Ducks connect on 7.1 three-pointers per game (215th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.5. They shoot 32.1% from deep while their opponents hit 34.3% from long range.
Oregon records 93.9 points per 100 possessions (176th in college basketball), while allowing 89.5 points per 100 possessions (126th in college basketball).
The Ducks are averaging 72.9 points per game at home. On the road, they are averaging 67.4 points per contest.
Cal Stats & Insights
Cal has been outscored by 11.2 points per game (posting 58.5 points per game, 362nd in college basketball, while giving up 69.7 per outing, 173rd in college basketball) and has a -324 scoring differential.
Cal is 339th in the nation at 28.2 rebounds per game. That’s 4.0 fewer than the 32.2 its opponents average.
Cal connects on 5.0 three-pointers per game (351st in college basketball), 2.1 fewer than its opponents.
Cal ranks 358th in college basketball averaging 81.2 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 314th, allowing 96.7 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Golden Bears average 60.5 points per game. On the road, they score 56.2.
Oregon Key Players to Watch
The Ducks leader in points and rebounds is N’Faly Dante, who scores 13.6 points and pulls down 8.1 rebounds per game.
Will Richardson is Oregon’s best passer, distributing 5.3 assists per game while scoring 12.8 PPG.
Richardson makes more threes per game than any other member of the Ducks, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 1.6 per contest.
Richardson is Oregon’s leader in steals, averaging 1.6 steals per game, while Dante leads them in blocks with 1.3 per contest.
Cal Key Players to Watch
Lars Thiemann averages 9.6 points and 5.6 rebounds per game for the Golden Bears, enough to make him the leading scorer and rebounder on the team.
Joel Brown’s assist statline paces Cal; he racks up 3.1 assists per game.
Sam Alajiki averages 1.2 three-pointers per game, the most on the Golden Bears.
Grant Newell (1.0 steal per game) is the steal leader for Cal while Thiemann (0.7 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Oregon vs. Cal Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Cal (+20)
- Pick OU:
Over (129.5)
- Prediction:
Oregon 75, Cal 58
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How to Bet on Oregon vs. Cal
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