Purdue vs. Wisconsin Prediction: Spread, Total Points, Moneyline Picks – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The No. 5 Purdue Boilermakers (24-5, 13-5 Big Ten) are favored (by 3.5 points) to break a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Wisconsin Badgers (16-12, 8-10 Big Ten) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET. The matchup has an over/under of 128.
Purdue vs. Wisconsin Odds
- Purdue odds to win: -177
- Wisconsin odds to win: +149
- Spread: Purdue (-3.5)
- Total: 128
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- TV: Fox Sports 1
- Where: Madison, Wisconsin
- Venue: Kohl Center
Who Will Win Purdue vs. Wisconsin?
Purdue and Wisconsin Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Purdue is 8-14-1 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
Wisconsin has a 5-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 3.5 points or more this year.
The two teams average a combined 10.5 more points per game, 138.5, than this game’s total of 128 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 125.9 points per game, 2.1 fewer than the point total in this matchup.
The average total Purdue has had in its games this year is 7.7 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average over/under for Badgers games this year is 0.8 more points than the point total of 128 for this outing.
The Boilermakers’ ATS record is 12-16-1 this season.
The Badgers are 12-16-0 ATS this year.
Purdue Stats & Insights
Purdue has a +324 scoring differential, topping opponents by 11.2 points per game. It is putting up 73.4 points per game to rank 137th in college basketball and is giving up 62.2 per outing to rank 17th in college basketball.
Purdue wins the rebound battle by an average of 12.4 boards. It is pulling down 36.7 rebounds per game (ninth in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 24.3 per outing.
The Boilermakers hit 7.0 three-pointers per game (223rd in college basketball) at a 33.1% rate (251st in college basketball), compared to the 6.1 their opponents make while shooting 30.6% from beyond the arc.
Purdue ranks 29th in college basketball by averaging 100.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 42nd in college basketball, allowing 85.2 points per 100 possessions.
The Boilermakers put up 76.3 points per game when playing at home, compared to 67.7 points per game away from home, a difference of 8.6 points per contest.
Wisconsin Stats & Insights
Wisconsin’s +41 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 1.4 points per game) is a result of putting up 65.1 points per game (331st in college basketball) while giving up 63.7 per outing (29th in college basketball).
Wisconsin loses the rebound battle by 3.9 boards on average. It records 29.4 rebounds per game, 300th in college basketball, while its opponents pull down 33.3.
Wisconsin connects on 8.4 three-pointers per game (69th in college basketball) while shooting 35.5% from deep (110th in college basketball). It is making 2.1 more threes than its opponents, who drain 6.3 per game at 32.2%.
Wisconsin scores 91.6 points per 100 possessions (235th in college basketball), while giving up 89.6 points per 100 possessions (127th in college basketball).
The Badgers score 65.2 points per game at home, and 67.6 on the road.
Purdue Key Players to Watch
The scoring and rebounding leader for the Boilermakers is Zach Edey, who averages 22.3 points and 12.9 rebounds per game.
Braden Smith is Purdue’s best passer, distributing 4.3 assists per game while scoring 9.8 PPG.
Fletcher Loyer leads the Boilermakers in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 1.8 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Smith is Purdue’s leader in steals, averaging 1.2 steals per game, while Edey leads them in blocks with 2.4 per contest.
Wisconsin Key Players to Watch
The Badgers’ Chucky Hepburn averages enough points (12.1 per game) and assists (3.0 per game) to sit atop the team’s leaderboards.
Steven Crowl grabs 7.1 rebounds per game (he also scores 11.6 points per game and adds 2.7 assists per game) which puts him at the top of the Wisconsin rebounding leaderboard.
Connor Essegian is dependable from deep and leads the Badgers with 2.2 made threes per game.
Wisconsin’s leader in steals is Hepburn with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Crowl with 0.5 per game.
Purdue vs. Wisconsin Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Purdue 68, Wisconsin 64
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How to Bet on Purdue vs. Wisconsin
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