Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State OVC Tournament Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The No. 5 seed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (16-16, 10-8 OVC) are favored by 1 point in their OVC Tournament matchup against the No. 4 seed Tennessee State Tigers (18-13, 10-8 OVC) on Thursday at Ford Center, starting at 7:30 PM on ESPN+. The winner will move one step closer to earning an automatic spot in the NCAA Tournament bracket. The over/under for the matchup is 159.5.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State Odds
- Southeast Missouri State odds to win: -117
- Tennessee State odds to win: -103
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State (-1)
- Total: 159.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- TV: ESPN+
- Where: Evansville, Indiana
- Venue: Ford Center
Who Will Win Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State?
Southeast Missouri State and Tennessee State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 1-point favorites this season, Southeast Missouri State is 8-5 against the spread.
Tennessee State has a 6-6 record against the spread when an underdog by 1 point or more this year.
The Redhawks and the Tigers combine to average 4.3 fewer points per game than the over/under of 159.5 set for this game.
Southeast Missouri State and Tennessee State have seen their opponents average a combined 8.9 fewer points per game than the point total of 159.5 set for this game.
Southeast Missouri State’s average point total in outings this season is 153.4, 6.1 points fewer than the over/under in this game.
The average over/under for Tigers games this year is seven fewer points than the point total of 159.5 for this outing.
The Redhawks are 16-13-1 ATS this season.
So far this year, the Tigers have compiled a 13-15-0 record against the spread.
Southeast Missouri State Stats & Insights
Southeast Missouri State averages 77.3 points per game (50th in college basketball) while giving up 76.1 per contest (332nd in college basketball). It has a +37 scoring differential overall and outscores opponents by 1.2 points per game.
Southeast Missouri State averages 32.1 rebounds per game (156th in college basketball) while conceding 33.6 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 1.5 boards per game.
The Redhawks connect on 8.1 three-pointers per game (100th in college basketball) at a 32.5% rate (273rd in college basketball), compared to the 7.3 their opponents make while shooting 35.3% from beyond the arc.
Southeast Missouri State ranks 170th in college basketball with 94.2 points scored per 100 possessions, and 224th in college basketball defensively with 92.8 points conceded per 100 possessions.
The Redhawks are posting 79.9 points per game in home games. In road games, they are averaging 76 points per contest.
Tennessee State Stats & Insights
Tennessee State is outscoring opponents by 3.4 points per game, with a +106 scoring differential overall. It puts up 77.9 points per game (42nd in college basketball) and allows 74.5 per outing (303rd in college basketball).
The 32.6 rebounds per game Tennessee State accumulates rank 125th in the country. Their opponents record 32.
Tennessee State connects on 8.9 three-pointers per game (41st in college basketball) at a 35.4% rate (118th in college basketball), compared to the 7.3 per game its opponents make, at a 34.3% rate.
Tennessee State ranks 89th in college basketball averaging 97.5 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 234th, allowing 93.2 points per 100 possessions.
At home, the Tigers score 85.8 points per game. On the road, they average 67.7.
Southeast Missouri State Key Players to Watch
The leader in points and assists for the Redhawks is Phillip Russell, who scores 18.2 points and dishes out 5.1 assists per game.
Josh Earley is Southeast Missouri State’s best rebounder, pulling down an average of five boards in each contest while scoring 8 points per game.
The Redhawks get the most three-point shooting production out of Russell, who knocks down 2.4 threes per game.
The Southeast Missouri State steals leader is Aquan Smart, who averages 1.6 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is Nate Johnson, who compiles 0.8 rejections per contest.
Tennessee State Key Players to Watch
The Tigers’ Jr. Clay racks up enough points (18.8 per game) and assists (5.5 per game) to top the squad’s leaderboards.
Adong Makuoi’s stat line of 5.6 rebounds, 9.2 points and 0.4 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Tennessee State rebounding leaderboard.
Dedric Boyd is the most prolific from the three-point line for the Tigers, hitting 2.6 threes per game.
Tennessee State’s leader in steals is Clay with 1.5 per game, and its leader in blocks is Makuoi with 1.1 per game.
Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Tennessee State (+1)
- Pick OU:
Under (159.5)
- Prediction:
Tennessee State 77, Southeast Missouri State 76
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How to Bet on Southeast Missouri State vs. Tennessee State
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