Southern Utah vs. Cal Baptist Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023

March 2, 2023, by Andy Molitor College Basketball Predictions

The Cal Baptist Lancers (16-14, 8-9 WAC) visit the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (19-11, 11-6 WAC) after losing four road games in a row. The Thunderbirds are favored by 6.5 points in the contest, which begins at 9:00 PM ET on Friday, March 3, 2023. The point total in the matchup is set at 147.5.

Southern Utah vs. Cal Baptist Odds

Southern Utah odds to win: -284
Cal Baptist odds to win: +229
Spread: Southern Utah (-6.5)
Total: 147.5

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Game Time and Information

Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
Time: 9:00 PM ET
TV: ESPN+
Where: Cedar City, Utah
Venue: America First Event Center

Who Will Win Southern Utah vs. Cal Baptist?

Southern Utah and Cal Baptist Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

When it has played as at least 6.5-point favorites this season, Southern Utah is 3-2 against the spread.

Cal Baptist has a 1-1 record against the spread in games it was an underdog by 6.5 points or more this season.

The two teams average a combined 5.6 more points per game, 153.1, than this matchup’s total of 147.5 points.

Southern Utah and Cal Baptist have seen their opponents average a combined 8.9 fewer points per game than the over/under of 147.5 set in this matchup.

The average total Southern Utah has had set in games this season is 9.2 more points than this outing’s point total.

Lancers games this season have averaged a total of 135 points, 12.5 fewer than the point total in this matchup.

So far this season, the Thunderbirds have compiled a 14-10-2 record against the spread.

The Lancers have a 13-14-1 record against the spread this season.

Southern Utah Stats & Insights

Southern Utah’s +284 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 9.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 83.1 points per game (sixth in college basketball) while allowing 73.6 per contest (284th in college basketball).

The 35.8 rebounds per game Southern Utah averages rank 20th in the country, and are 5.6 more than the 30.2 its opponents pull down per outing.

The Thunderbirds connect on 8.3 three-pointers per game (76th in college basketball) compared to their opponents’ 7.6. They shoot 35% from deep while their opponents hit 33.9% from long range.

Southern Utah’s 100 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 36th in college basketball, and the 88.6 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 106th in college basketball.

In home games, the Thunderbirds are scoring 19.8 more points per game (93.6) than they are in road games (73.8).

Cal Baptist Stats & Insights

Cal Baptist is outscoring opponents by five points per game, with a +151 scoring differential overall. It puts up 70 points per game (216th in college basketball) and allows 65 per contest (43rd in college basketball).

The 34.4 rebounds per game Cal Baptist accumulates rank 44th in the nation, 3.9 more than the 30.5 its opponents collect.

Cal Baptist hits 2.8 more threes per game than the opposition, 8.4 (69th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 5.6.

Cal Baptist’s 93.9 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 178th in college basketball, and the 87.1 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 70th in college basketball.

The Lancers average 76 points per game at home, and 62.4 on the road.

Southern Utah Key Players to Watch

The scoring leader for the Thunderbirds this season is Tevian Jones, who averages 18 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 1.3 assists per game.

Harrison Butler leads Southern Utah in rebounding, averaging 6.7 per game, while Drake Allen leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 3.4 in each contest.

Jones leads the Thunderbirds in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.5 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Allen is Southern Utah’s leader in steals, averaging 1.4 steals per game, while Jason Spurgin leads them in blocks with 1.6 per contest.

Cal Baptist Key Players to Watch

The Lancers’ Taran Armstrong puts up enough points (11.5 per game) and assists (4.9 per game) to sit atop the team’s leaderboards.

Hunter Goodrick’s stat line of 6.8 rebounds, 8.9 points and 1.9 assists per game helps him grab the top spot on the Cal Baptist rebounding leaderboard.

Reed Nottage is the most prolific from distance for the Lancers, hitting 1.9 threes per game.

Cal Baptist’s leader in steals is Blondeau Tchoukuiengo (one per game), and its leader in blocks is Goodrick (0.4 per game).