Southern vs. Alabama State Prediction: Picks & Betting Odds – Thursday, March 2, 2023
The Alabama State Hornets (8-21, 6-10 SWAC) will attempt to end a four-game losing streak when they visit the Southern Jaguars (14-15, 10-6 SWAC) on Thursday, March 2, 2023 at F. G. Clark Center as heavy, 10-point underdogs. The matchup airs at 9:00 PM ET. The point total in the matchup is set at 140.5.
Southern vs. Alabama State Odds
- Southern odds to win: -547
- Alabama State odds to win: +406
- Spread: Southern (-10)
- Total: 140.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Thursday, March 2, 2023
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Where: Baton Rouge, Louisiana
- Venue: F. G. Clark Center
Who Will Win Southern vs. Alabama State?
Southern and Alabama State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games it has played as at least 10-point favorites this season, Southern is 2-0 against the spread.
Alabama State has a 6-4 record against the spread when an underdog by 10 points or more this season.
The two teams average a combined 3.7 fewer points per game, 136.8, than this matchup’s over/under of 140.5 points.
Southern and Alabama State have seen its opponents average a combined 4.3 more points per game than the over/under of 140.5 set for this outing.
The average point total in Southern’s games this year is 3.9 more points than the over/under of 140.5 in this matchup.
The average point total for the Hornets this season is 3.3 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
The Jaguars are 16-11-0 against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Hornets have put together a 14-15-0 record against the spread.
Southern Stats & Insights
Southern scores 72.6 points per game (158th in college basketball) and allows 71.8 (236th in college basketball) for a +23 scoring differential overall.
Southern records 31 rebounds per game (232nd in college basketball) while allowing 33.4 per contest to its opponents. It is outrebounded by 2.4 boards per game.
The Jaguars make 8 three-pointers per game (111th in college basketball), while their opponents have made 7.4 on average.
Southern’s 90.2 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 268th in college basketball, and the 89.2 points it allows per 100 possessions rank 115th in college basketball.
The Jaguars are posting 86.3 points per game this year in home games, which is 20.9 more points than they’re averaging in away games (65.4).
Alabama State Stats & Insights
Alabama State is being outscored by 8.8 points per game, with a -255 scoring differential overall. It puts up 64.2 points per game (339th in college basketball), and gives up 73 per outing (266th in college basketball).
Alabama State comes up short in the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. It records 32.8 rebounds per game (116th in college basketball) compared to its opponents’ 35.5.
Alabama State makes 6 three-pointers per game (316th in college basketball), 1.1 fewer than its opponents.
Alabama State ranks 358th in college basketball averaging 81.3 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively is 209th, allowing 92.4 points per 100 possessions.
At home the Hornets are putting up 66.3 points per game, 3.4 more than they are averaging on the road (62.9).
Southern Key Players to Watch
The Jaguars scoring leader is Brion Whitley, who averages 11.6 per contest to go with three rebounds and one assist.
Terrell Williams Jr. leads Southern in rebounding, averaging 4.3 per game, while P.J. Byrd leads the team in assists, distributing an average of 5.5 in each contest.
Whitley makes more threes per game than any other member of the Jaguars, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.3 per contest.
Bryson Etienne and Jalen Reynolds lead Southern on the defensive end, with Etienne leading the team in steals averaging 1.5 per game and Reynolds in blocks averaging 0.6 per contest.
Alabama State Key Players to Watch
Isaiah Range scores 14 points per game and is the top scorer for the Hornets.
Alabama State’s leader in rebounds is Jordan O’Neal with 7.2 per game, and its leader in assists is Alex Anderson with 3.4 per game.
Range is the top shooter from the three-point line for the Hornets, hitting 2.3 threes per game.
Alabama State’s leader in steals is Antonio Madlock with 1.4 per game, and its leader in blocks is O’Neal with 1.5 per game.
Southern vs. Alabama State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
Alabama State (+10)
- Pick OU:
Under (140.5)
- Prediction:
Southern 74, Alabama State 65
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