Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Friday, March 3, 2023
The Toledo Rockets (24-6, 15-2 MAC) are 4-point favorites as they try to build on a seven-game road win streak when they square off against the Ball State Cardinals (20-10, 11-6 MAC) on Friday, March 3, 2023 at John E. Worthen Arena. The game airs at 6:00 PM ET on CBS Sports Network. The matchup has an over/under of 160.5 points.
Toledo vs. Ball State Odds
- Toledo odds to win: -177
- Ball State odds to win: +149
- Spread: Toledo (-4)
- Total: 160.5
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Game Time and Information
- Date: Friday, March 3, 2023
- Time: 6:00 PM ET
- TV: CBS Sports Network
- Where: Muncie, Indiana
- Venue: John E. Worthen Arena
Who Will Win Toledo vs. Ball State?
Toledo and Ball State Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
Toledo has a 15-8 record against the spread this season when favored by 4 points or more.
In games this year in which it was an underdog by 4 points or more, Ball State has a 4-2 record against the spread.
These teams average 162.2 points per game combined, 1.7 more than the over/under of 160.5.
Toledo and Ball State have seen their opponents average a combined 14.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 160.5 set in this matchup.
The average over/under Toledo has had set in games this season is 1.1 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Cardinals games this year is 13.5 fewer points than the point total of 160.5 in this outing.
The Rockets have gone 18-11-0 ATS this season.
The Cardinals have gone 15-13-0 ATS this season.
Toledo Stats & Insights
Toledo is outscoring opponents by 9.8 points per game with a +294 scoring differential overall. It puts up 85.7 points per game (second in college basketball) and allows 75.9 per contest (328th in college basketball).
Toledo grabs 31.4 rebounds per game (204th in college basketball) compared to the 31.3 of its opponents.
The Rockets connect on 8.7 three-pointers per game (51st in college basketball), while their opponents have made 8.4 on average.
Toledo puts up 107.6 points per 100 possessions (second in college basketball), while giving up 95.3 points per 100 possessions (282nd in college basketball).
At home, the Rockets are posting 8.6 more points per game (90.5) than they are on the road (81.9).
Ball State Stats & Insights
Ball State has a +179 scoring differential, topping opponents by six points per game. It is putting up 76.5 points per game, 64th in college basketball, and is giving up 70.5 per outing to rank 193rd in college basketball.
Ball State averages 33 rebounds per game (109th in college basketball) while allowing 29.7 per outing to opponents. It outrebounds opponents by 3.3 boards per game.
Ball State knocks down 7.6 three-pointers per game (159th in college basketball), while its opponents have made 7.2 on average.
Ball State puts up 99.5 points per 100 possessions (42nd in college basketball), while giving up 91.8 points per 100 possessions (196th in college basketball).
The Cardinals are scoring more points at home (80.4 per game) than on the road (73.9).
Toledo Key Players to Watch
The Rockets leader in points and assists is Rayj Dennis, who puts up 19 points per game along with 5.8 assists.
Toledo’s best rebounder is Setric Millner Jr., who averages 5.8 boards per game in addition to his 16 PPG average.
The Rockets get the most three-point shooting production out of Dante Maddox Jr., who knocks down 1.8 threes per game.
The Toledo steals leader is Ra’Heim Moss, who averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while its blocks leader is JT Shumate, who compiles 1.1 rejections per contest.
Ball State Key Players to Watch
Jarron Coleman averages 14.5 points and adds 3.8 assists per game, putting him at the top of the Cardinals’ leaderboards in those statistics.
Payton Sparks is at the top of the Ball State rebounding leaderboard with 8.6 rebounds per game. He also notches 12.6 points and adds two assists per game.
Coleman is the most prolific from distance for the Cardinals, hitting 2.3 threes per game.
Coleman (1.4 steals per game) is the steal leader for Ball State while Demarius Jacobs (1.2 blocks per game) is the block leader.
Toledo vs. Ball State Prediction
- Pick ATS:
- Pick OU:
Toledo 79, Ball State 75
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How to Bet on Toledo vs. Ball State
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